Remittances, Banks and Stock Markets: Panel Evidence from Developing Countries

Abstract

The study investigates dynamic and causal linkages among international remittance inflows, banking sector development and stock market development in a large panel of developing countries. We use two stage least squares and impulse response functions to shed light on the remittance-bank-stock market nexus. We find that remittances promote banking sector development in low remittance receiving countries, but not in high remittance receiving economies. We establish a bi-causal negative link between stock markets and remittances in countries with developed banking systems. In low remittance recipient countries, remittances decrease stock market development; however, in remittance dependent countries, remittances promote stock market development. Again, stock market development promotes remittance inflows in remittance dependent countries, while obstructing it in low remittance recipient countries. We suspect lingering doubts about the quality of developing country stock markets to be behind this latter result, though the fact that most developing countries’ financial systems are bank based could also play a role.