Simulation Modelling of Self-Destructive Behaviour Related to the Spread of HIV/AIDS Disease in Port Harcourt, Nigeria

Abstract

This paper explores the contemporary debate concerning choosing a partner (Positive (+) or negative (-)) and being promiscuous, and their effects on the spread of the HIV virus and AIDS disease. An agent-based simulation model is constructed to analyse the effect of these factors on the spread of the virus and the AIDS disease among sexually-active, high-risk people in Port Harcourt, Nigeria. The results of the analysis suggest that choosing a partner (Positive (+) or negative (-), a decision making practice about whether or not to engage in sexual activity based on one's HIV positive or negative status, is an effective strategy in containing the disease when practised consistently. The level of promiscuity has mixed results regarding the spread of the disease