Determinants of the Promotion of University Of Ghana Lecturers: A Survival Analysis Approach

Abstract

The desire to reach the peak of one’s chosen career makes us curious and hardworking enough to attain positions and ranks. This is no different in the academia where lecturers look forward for promotion. However, there are perceived and actual factors contributing to promotion among University of Ghana lecturers which is examined. The factors contributing to promotion of University of Ghana lecturer and how long it takes a lecturer to earn a first promotion, were the objectives of this study. The Kaplan-Meier (KM) method was used in descriptive analyses. Proportional Hazards (PH); Cox, Exponential, Weibull and Gompertz and Acceleration Failure Time (AFT); Exponential, Weibull, Log-logistic and Lognormal modelling were techniques employed in further analyses. According to the KM estimate, the average time a lecturer first promotion is 8.09 years. Based on AIC values of 518.20076 and 3459.829, the best-fitting PH and AFT models were the Gompertz and Weibull distributions respectively. Married lecturers have the same chance to earn a first promotion as compared to their single counterparts. Again, male lecturers and female lecturers in the University of Ghana do not have different time to first promotion