See discussions, stats, and author profiles for this publication at: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/324061003 Improved prediction of gestational hypertension by inclusion of placental growth factor and pregnancy associated plasma protein-a in a sample of Ghanaian women Article  in  Reproductive Health · March 2018 DOI: 10.1186/s12978-018-0492-9 CITATIONS READS 0 73 7 authors, including: Edward Antwi Kerstin Klipstein-Grobusch Utrecht University University Medical Center Utrecht 17 PUBLICATIONS   102 CITATIONS    260 PUBLICATIONS   4,777 CITATIONS    SEE PROFILE SEE PROFILE Joyce L. Browne Peter C J I Schielen Utrecht University National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM) 78 PUBLICATIONS   375 CITATIONS    118 PUBLICATIONS   1,591 CITATIONS    SEE PROFILE SEE PROFILE Some of the authors of this publication are also working on these related projects: Autoimmune effects of hexachlorobenzene View project CF screening View project All content following this page was uploaded by Peter C J I Schielen on 28 March 2018. The user has requested enhancement of the downloaded file. Antwi et al. Reproductive Health (2018) 15:56 https://doi.org/10.1186/s12978-018-0492-9 RESEARCH Open Access Improved prediction of gestational hypertension by inclusion of placental growth factor and pregnancy associated plasma protein-a in a sample of Ghanaian women Edward Antwi1,2* , Kerstin Klipstein-Grobusch1,4, Joyce L. Browne1, Peter C. Schielen5, Kwadwo A. Koram3, Irene A. Agyepong2 and Diederick E. Grobbee1 Abstract Background: We assessed whether adding the biomarkers Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A (PAPP-A) and Placental Growth Factor (PlGF) to maternal clinical characteristics improved the prediction of a previously developed model for gestational hypertension in a cohort of Ghanaian pregnant women. Methods: This study was nested in a prospective cohort of 1010 pregnant women attending antenatal clinics in two public hospitals in Accra, Ghana. Pregnant women who were normotensive, at a gestational age at recruitment of between 8 and 13 weeks and provided a blood sample for biomarker analysis were eligible for inclusion. From serum, biomarkers PAPP-A and PlGF concentrations were measured by the AutoDELFIA immunoassay method and multiple of the median (MoM) values corrected for gestational age (PAPP-A and PlGF) and maternal weight (PAPP-A) were calculated. To obtain prediction models, these biomarkers were included with clinical predictors maternal weight, height, diastolic blood pressure, a previous history of gestational hypertension, history of hypertension in parents and parity in a logistic regression to obtain prediction models. The Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUC) was used to assess the predictive ability of the models. Results: Three hundred and seventy three women participated in this study. The area under the curve (AUC) of the model with only maternal clinical characteristics was 0.75 (0.64–0.86) and 0.89(0.73–1.00) for multiparous and primigravid women respectively. The AUCs after inclusion of both PAPP-A and PlGF were 0.82 (0.74–0.89) and 0.95 (0.87–1.00) for multiparous and primigravid women respectively. Conclusion: Adding the biomarkers PAPP-A and PlGF to maternal characteristics to a prediction model for gestational hypertension in a cohort of Ghanaian pregnant women improved predictive ability. Further research using larger sample sizes in similar settings to validate these findings is recommended. Keywords: Prediction model, Gestational hypertension, Biomarkers, Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy * Correspondence: ed_antwi@yahoo.com 1Julius Global Health, Julius Center for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Center Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands 2Ghana Health Service, P.M.B, Ministries, Accra, Greater Accra, Ghana Full list of author information is available at the end of the article © The Author(s). 2018 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The Creative Commons Public Domain Dedication waiver (http://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/zero/1.0/) applies to the data made available in this article, unless otherwise stated. Antwi et al. Reproductive Health (2018) 15:56 Page 2 of 10 Plain English summary maternal clinical characteristics (diastolic blood pres- Gestational hypertension and preeclampsia affect between sure, family history of hypertension in parents, history of 5 to 10% of all pregnancies and can result in complications gestational hypertension (GH) in a previous pregnancy, in the mother and the fetus. Early prediction of pregnant parity, height and weight) improved prediction of gesta- women at risk of these conditions will lead to better moni- tional hypertension. toring and appropriate management. This study was con- ducted in antenatal clinic settings in Ghana to investigate Methods whether adding two biomarkers, placental growth factor Study design and study population and pregnancy associated plasma protein A, to a previ- This study was nested in a prospective cohort of 1010 ously developed prediction model based on maternal clin- adult pregnant women with a singleton pregnancy and ical characteristics improved the performance of the without known pre-existent hypertension recruited model. between July 2012 and March 2014 at Ridge Regional Logistic regression was used to derive a prediction Hospital and Maamobi General Hospital in Accra. model. Adding biomarkers to a previously validated pre- Accra, the capital city of Ghana, is cosmopolitan with diction model improved the performance of the model high, middle and low-income persons from different eth- for gestational hypertension. nic backgrounds living and working in the city [18]. We recommend further research using larger sample Persons from all the social strata access health services, sizes in similar settings to validate our findings. including antenatal and delivery care in these public hospitals. These hospitals were also chosen because they Background have a high attendance so the recruitment of pregnant Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) are leading women into the study could be completed in a shorter causes of maternal morbidity and mortality globally and time. Eligibility criteria for this study were gestational affect about 5 to 10% of all pregnancies [1, 2]. The burden age at enrollment of between between 8 and 13 weeks, of these conditions is greatest in low and middle income based on ultrasound scan. This specific subset of women countries (LMICs) [3, 4]. Early identification of pregnant was selected based on evidence that prediction with women at risk of developing these conditions result in these biomarkers is most appropriate at this gestational better monitoring and management to minimize compli- age [7–10, 19–21]. Women with gestational age at cations to the mother and the fetus. Prediction models enrollment of less than 8 weeks or more than 13 weeks have been used to identify women at high risk of HDPs, (n = 411), without PlGF MoM values (n = 95) or women particularly preeclampsia [3–6]. In addition, prevention without outcome data (n = 131) were excluded. We used interventions could be started such as calcium and aspirin the principle of 10 outcome events per variable for logis- supplementation that have been shown to reduce the risk tic and Cox regression analysis [22–25] to obtain a of HDPs, particularly preeclampsia [7–12]. For example, sample size adequate for our analysis. With an incidence in the ASPRE (Combined Multimarker Screening and of gestational hypertension of 10% in the Ghanaian Randomized Patient Treatment with Aspirin for population [26], and eight variables in the prediction Evidence-Based Preeclampsia Prevention) trial with risk model, a sample size of 393 women was considered selection based on screening, a reduction in the incidence adequate for the analysis. of preterm preeclampsia in the aspirin arm by 62% was The women were included in the study after they had observed [12]. given written informed consent and were interviewed by PAPP-A is a protease that is involved in the local trained research assistants using a structured question- release of insulin-like growth factors. Low first trimester naire for socio-demographic characteristics and obstetric levels of PAPP-A is associated with hypertensive disor- history. They were followed up at each antenatal clinic ders of pregnancy [13–15]. Placental growth factor visit till they delivered. None of the women who devel- (PIGF) is an angiogenic factor and low concentrations oped gestational hypertension progressed to preeclamp- have been observed in pregnant women who develop sia. Pregnancy outcomes were obtained at delivery and preeclampsia. Suboptimal secretion of PlGF between 8 from the hospital maternity register. to 14 weeks gestation as a result of placental dysfunction has been associated with disorders such as preeclampsia, Variables intrauterine growth restriction, small-for-gestational age Independent variables and still births [16]. Maternal weight (measured in kilogrammes with a bath- The aim of this study was to assess whether the room scale), height (measured in centimeters with a addition of the biomarkers, placental growth factor stadiometer), blood pressure (measured in millimeters of (PIGF) and pregnancy-associated protein A (PAPP-A) to mercury) and urine protein (defined as 2+ or more on a previously developed prediction model [17] based on urine dipstick) were obtained at the initial and Antwi et al. Reproductive Health (2018) 15:56 Page 3 of 10 subsequent antenatal clinic visits from the maternal PlGF was not corrected for maternal weight because health record books. serum PlGF concentration is not correlated with mater- Blood pressure measurements were performed by nal weight [29]. trained midwives using a mercury sphygmomanometer. The appropriate adult sized cuff was placed on the bare Outcome left upper arm with the woman comfortably seated and The outcome, gestational hypertension, was defined as a her back supported and legs uncrossed. The arm was at systolic BP of 140 mmHg or more and or a diastolic BP the level of the heart and neither the patient nor the ob- of 90 mmHg or more on at least two separate occasions, server talked during the measurement. Korotkoff phase and present for the first time after 20 weeks of preg- V sounds were used [27]. Two readings were taken at nancy [30]. interval of five minutes and the average used as the woman’s blood pressure. Ethical considerations Ethical approval for the study was granted by the Ethical PAPP-A and PlGF assay Review Committee of the Ghana Health Service (GHS- Blood specimen was obtained from women on the day ERC 07/09/11). All participating women gave written of their enrollment into the study by a phlebotomist. informed consent before they were enrolled in the study. After the blood had coagulated, it was centrifuged to obtain the serum which was stored at a temperature of Statistical analysis -20 °C in a freezer at the Maamobi General Hospital. SPSS software (version 20.0, IBM SPSS Statistics Inc., Serum samples from the Ridge Hospital were stored Chicago, Illinois, USA) and R statistical software (R ver- temporarily in a fridge at 4 °C and transported daily in a sion 3.1.0 (2014–04-10). The R Foundation for Statistical cold box with ice packs to the laboratory at Maamobi Computing Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/× 64 (64- General Hospital for storage. The frozen serum samples bit)) were used for statistical analysis. The mean and were air-freighted on dried ice to the Dutch Institute for standard deviation of continuous predictors were calcu- Public Health and Environment (RIVM) in Bilthoven, lated for women who developed gestational hypertension the Netherlands, where they were stored at a and those who did not. Means were compared using the temperature of − 80 °C until they were analyzed for Student’s t-test; percentages for categorical data were PIGF and PAPP-A. PAPP-A and PlGF concentrations assessed by Chi-square test. The median with interquar- were determined using commercially available immuno- tile range was reported for non-normally distributed assays and the AutoDelfia automated analyzer (PerkinEl- variables. mer, Turku, Finland). Details of the assay method are Logistic regression was used to derive the original pre- described elsewhere by Browne et al. [28]. PAPP-A con- diction model using gestational hypertension as the out- centrations were corrected for gestational age and ma- come and the following maternal clinical characteristics ternal weight and expressed as multiple of the median as the predictors: maternal height, weight, parity, previ- (MoM) using the reference equations from the Dutch ous history of gestational hypertension, family history of national prenatal screening programme for Down syn- hypertension and diastolic blood pressure. The maternal drome based on PAPP-A measurements between 8 to weight, height, diastolic blood pressure, parity, PAPP-A 13 weeks gestation of more than 10,000 pregnancies MoM and PlGF MoM were included in the logistic [29]: regression model as continuous variables. The principle PAPP-A MoM gestational age correction of 10 events per variable for logistic and Cox regression  analysis [31] was applied in model building. A history ofy ¼ 12; 605:9606–552:53697   hypertension in parents and history of gestational hyper-þ7:42649 2–0:0278 3; tension in a previous pregnancy were included in the lo- gistic regression as dichotomous variables. As the where x = gestational age at blood sampling in days. variable ‘previous history of gestational hypertension’ PAPP-A MoM weight correction; Exp (1.23234075– was not applicable to primigravid women, a separate 0.0181912*x), where x = weight in kilograms. model was fitted for them. PlGF concentrations were also corrected for gestational PAPP-A MoM and PlGF MoM were included in the age and expressed as MoM [28] by using the manufac- model as continuous variables so as not to lose power turer’s (Perkin Elmer) reference equation for gestational through categorization, and also because the appropriate age in days (between 9 to 13 weeks gestation) as follows: cut-off value of these biomarkers for the Ghanaian y ¼ 75:08–1:7769  þ0:015892 population is not known [28]. The PAPP-A and PlGF as MoM values were included in turns and then together where x = gestational age at blood sampling in days. to the logistic regression. The predictive ability of each Antwi et al. Reproductive Health (2018) 15:56 Page 4 of 10 model (PAPP-A only, PlGF only, combined) was between women with and without gestational hyperten- assessed. The models were internally validated using the sion (159.1 cm (SD 7.1) vs. 161.4 cm (SD 6.3), p = 0.08). bootstrapping technique. The resulting shrinkage factor However, there was a difference in the mean weight of after bootstrapping was used to adjust the regression co- women with and without gestational hypertension efficients, thus correcting for model overfitting. (72.9 kg (SD 16.3) vs. 66.0 kg (SD 12.9), p = 0.013). The The performance of the models was assessed by the mean diastolic blood pressure differed between women area under the receiver operating characteristic curve who developed gestational hypertension and those who (AUC) or c-statistic. The AUC of the original model did not (74.3 mmHg (SD 13.6) vs. 68.5 mmHg (SD 9.9), with only maternal clinical characteristics was compared p = 0.006). to that of the models with PAPPA and maternal clinical Table 3 presents the median and interquartile range of characteristics, PlGF with maternal characteristics and MoM of PAPP-A and PlGF by gestational week. The both PAPP-A, PlGF and maternal characteristics. median MoM PAPP-A (adjusted for gestational age and maternal weight) ranged between 1.68 and 4.36. The Results median MoM PlGF ranged between 0.90 and 1.68. Characteristics of the 373 study participants are pre- Table 4 shows the regression coefficients and the AUC sented in Table 1. Most of the women (81%) were mul- of the various models for multiparous women. The AUC tiparous. The mean age was 28.3 (SD 4.9) years and the of the model with only maternal characteristics was 0.75 mean gestational age at booking was 11.6 weeks (SD (0.64–0.86). The AUC of the model with maternal char- 1.4). acteristics and PAPP-A was 0.78 (0.70–0.87), with ma- The flow chart for selection of study participants is ternal characteristics, and PlGF was 0.76 (0.64–0.87), shown in Fig. 1. Of 1010 women in the original cohort, and maternal characteristics with both biomarkers 0.82 373 women met the inclusion criteria. (0.74–0.89). Figure 2 shows the Receiver Operating Table 2 compares characteristics of women who devel- Characteristic curves for the prediction models for mul- oped gestational hypertension to those who did not. tiparous women. Table 5 shows the regression coeffi- Twenty-five women (6.7%) developed gestational hyper- cients and the AUC of the models for primigravid tension. There was a difference in mean age between women. The AUC of the model with only maternal char- women who developed gestational hypertension and acteristics was 0.89 (0.73- 1.00). The AUC of the model those who did not (30.3 (SD 5.3) years vs. 28.2 (SD 4.9) with maternal characteristics and both biomarkers was years, p = 0.04). There was no difference in mean height 0.95 (0.87-1.00). Table 1 Baseline characteristics of the study population Discussion (n = 373) The addition of PlGF and PAPP-A together to the model Variable Mean (SD) or N (%) markedly improved its predictive ability, with an Age (years) 28.3 (4.9) increase in AUC from 0.75 to 0.82 for multiparous women and 0.89 to 0.95 for primigravid women, whereas Height (cm) 161.2 (6.3) adding either one of the two had only marginal effect. Weight (kg) 66.5 (13.3) These findings are in line with other studies that Systolic blood 110.5 (12.9) reported improved prediction by the addition of bio- pressure (mmHg) markers to maternal characteristics [5, 19, 32–34]. Diastolic blood 68.9 (10.3) Several issues arise in comparing this study to other pressure (mmHg) prediction studies. The first is that most prediction Gestational age at 11.6 (1.4) models predict preeclampsia rather than gestational booking (weeks) hypertension [35]. Hence there were fewer prediction PlGF MoM corrected Median 1.28, IQR for gestational age (0.96–1.88) models for gestational hypertension to which we could directly compare our models. Therefore we included PAPP-A MoM corrected Median 2.29, IQR for gestational age (1.15–3.86) models for preeclampsia as well in the comparison of the model performance. PAPP-A MoM corrected Median 2.34, IQR for gestational age and (1.19–3.82) The second issue is that we derived separate models maternal weight for multiparous and primigravid women. This was Parity: because the primigravid women could not respond to Primigravid women 71 (19.0%) the question of ”a previous history of gestational hyper- tension or preeclampsia”. Being an important predictor, 2–3 pregnancies 116 (31.1%) we maintained that variable in the model and in a sub > 4 pregnancies 186 (49.9%) analysis fitted a different model for primigravid women Antwi et al. Reproductive Health (2018) 15:56 Page 5 of 10 Fig. 1 Flow chart illustrating participant selection (n = 71). However because of the relatively small number maternal factors, biophysical and biomarkers compared of primigravid women and outcome events on which with using only maternal factors [19]. these estimates are based, they should be interpreted Poon et al also reported that PAPP-A and PlGF in with caution The third issue is that the same types of combination with maternal characteristics and uterine biomarkers are not used across prediction studies. artery pulsatility index improved detection rates of pre- Hence finding studies with the same predictors as in this eclampsia [21]. We did not include uterine artery pulsa- study was a challenge. A number of prediction studies tility index in our study because uterine artery Doppler also added uterine artery pulsatility index to biomarkers is not readily available in low resource settings. and maternal characteristics [19, 21, 32] because it im- Another issue is that most of the prediction studies proves prediction. For instance, Kuc et al. reported that have been conducted in Europe and North America. the best detection rates for preeclampsia were obtained There are few studies in Sub Saharan African popula- when maternal characteristics, biomarkers and uterine tions to which we could directly compare our results. artery pulsatility index were combined [32]. Akolekar et Ukah et al in a prospective cohort study of pregnant al. also reported a three-fold increase in detection rates women attending antenatal care in Maputo, in screening for preeclampsia by the combination of Mozambique, measured the serum PlGF concentration Table 2 Baseline characteristics of the study population by the outcome, gestational hypertension Variable (Mean (SD)) Gestational hypertension (No) Gestational hypertension (Yes) p-value N = 348 N = 25 Age (years) 28.2 (4.9) 30.3 (5.3) 0.04 Height(cm) 161.4 (6.3) 159.1 (7.1) 0.08 Weight (kg) 66.0 (12.9) 72.9 (16.3) 0.013 Systolic blood pressure 110.1 (12.7) 116.4 (14.2) 0.018 (mmHg) Diastolic blood pressure 68.5 (9.9) 74.3 (13.6) 0.006 (mmHg) Gestational age at 11.6 (1.4) 11.3 (1.5) 0.38 booking (weeks) Antwi et al. Reproductive Health (2018) 15:56 Page 6 of 10 Table 3 Median and interquartile range of MoM of PAPP-A and PlGF by gestational week (n = 373) Gestational week Number of MoM PAPP-A, median (IQR), MoM PAPP-A, median MoM PlGF, median (IQR), women (%) adjusted for gestational age (IQR), adjusted for adjusted for gestational and maternal weight maternal weight age 8 17 (4.5) 4.36 (1.06–8.47) 4.46 (1.19–6.42) 1.17 (0.85–1.51) 9 40 (10.7) 1.68 (1.04–4.64) 2.04 (0.86–4.25) 0.90 (0.73–1.36) 10 86 (23.1) 2.39 (1.45–3.83) 2.33 (1.44–4.12) 1.15 (0.97–1.66) 11 71 (19.3) 1.76 (0.85–3.05) 1.96 (0.88–3.01) 1.21 (0.95–1.49) 12 66 (17.6) 2.21 (1.06–3.65) 2.26 (1.20–3.34) 1.29 (1.03–1.91) 13 93 (24.8) 2.63 (1.49–4.51) 2.55 (1.57–4.05) 1.68 (1.34–2.94) Total 373 2.29 (1.15–3.86) 2.34 (1.19–3.82) 1.28 (0.96–1.88) IQR Interquartile range, MoM multiple of the median The median MoM value of the reference population by default is 1. The gestational age and weight adjusted PAPP-A median MoM was 2.29. The weight adjusted PAPP-A median MoM was 2.34 and the median PlGF MoM was 1.28 in women suspected of having preeclampsia after study, for the multiparous women, the AUC of the pre- 20 weeks of gestation. This study had as its primary out- diction model with only maternal clinical characteristics come, the time-to-delivery after confirmation of pre- was 0.75 and this increased to 0.82 upon the addition of eclampsia [36]. This study differed from ours in terms of both PlGF and PAPP-A to the prediction model. For the being a diagnostic study rather than a prediction study. primigravid women, the AUC of the prediction model The AUC is used to quantify the overall ability of a with only maternal clinical characteristics was 0.89 and test or a logistic regression model to discriminate this increased to 0.95 upon the addition of both PlGF between two outcomes such as disease or non-disease and PAPP-A to the prediction model This is an indica- [37–40]. It generally ranges from 0.5 to 1 and represents tion that the addition of both biomarkers simultaneously the prediction model’s ability to correctly classify a ran- to the models improved the prediction performance. domly selected individual as being from one of two The higher median MoM values of PlGF (1.28) and hypothetical populations [40–43]. An AUC value of 1.0 PAPP-A (2.29) in our study compared to the reference is considered perfect, 0.9–0.99 excellent, 0.8–0.89 good, population of Dutch women (median MoM of 1 by 0.7–0.79 fair and 0.51–0.69 poor. An AUC of 0.5 is con- default) is consistent with other studies that have shown sidered non-informative. Hence the AUC of 0.82 racial and ethnic differences in the levels of these bio- obtained in our study shows that the model with mater- markers, particularly in women of African and Asian nal characteristics and both PAPP-A and PlGF has good decent [45–54]. The median MoM of PAPP-A between predictive ability. 8 weeks gestation to 13 weeks gestation ranged between Pencina et al. [44] and Peters et al. [33] have also indi- 1.68 and 4.36. That of PlGF MoM ranged from 0.90 at cated that increase in the AUC upon the addition of a gestational week 9 to 1.68 at gestational week 13. Differ- predictor to a model shows that the predictor has ences in the median MoM PlGF and PAPP-A levels improved the predictive ability of the model. In our between some ethnic groups in Ghana have also been Table 4 Regression coefficients and AUC of prediction models for multiparous women (n = 302) Variable Model with only maternal Model with addition Model with addition Model with addition of PlGF characteristics of PlGF MoM of PAPP-A MoM MoM and PAPP-A MoM Intercept 9.68 10.0 10.46 12.18 History of hypertension in −1.52 −1.50 − 1.60 −1.65 parents Previous history of 0.47 0.55 0.42 0.72 hypertension in pregnancy Weight 0.026 0.025 0.024 0.023 Height −0.097 −0.099 −0.102 − 0.112 Parity 0.29 0.29 0.33 0.34 Diastolic BP 0.036 0.036 0.037 0.042 PlGF MoM – −0.15 – −0.713 PAPP-A MoM – 0.033 0.098 AUC 0.75 (0.64–0.86) 0.76 (0.64–0.87) 0.78 (0.70–0.87) 0.82 (0.74–0.89) Antwi et al. Reproductive Health (2018) 15:56 Page 7 of 10 impact is a useful strategy to improving maternal and perinatal outcomes. Biomarkers have shown some promise in improving the prediction of gestational hypertension and other hypertensive disorders in pregnancy, although a lot more research is still needed. Future studies using lar- ger sample sizes should be conducted to confirm the findings of this study. When confirmed, one factor to be considered in the use of biomarkers in prediction models in the clinical setting would be the cost of carrying out biomarker tests, especially in LMIC set- tings. A feasible approach in this regard would be the use of dried blood spot samples (DBS) instead of serum which requires refrigeration during storage and transport. DBS have been widely used in newborn screening for sickle cell disease [55, 56], human im- Fig. 2 Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of prediction munodeficiency virus screening in newborns and for models for multiparous women. Model 1 (black line): Maternal characteristics only, Model 2 (red line): Maternal characteristics and other disorders [57–66]. It is cheaper than conven- PlGF MoM, Model 2 (red line): Maternal characteristics and PlGF tional serum assay and logistically simpler to imple- MoM, Model 2 (red line): Maternal characteristics and PlGF MoM ment in screening programmes because samples can be obtained and transported from remote locations where the laboratory infrastructure is limited. The reported in this population [28]. As a result of the higher technique for sample taking is also simpler and requires less MoM values, there is the need for a correction factor for training compared to venepuncture. In using DBS however, the Ghanaian population and sub populations to prevent an issue to be considered is how well the concentration of the under estimation of risk calculations for placental the biomarkers in whole blood correlates with that of DBS. disorders and aneuploidies. Pennings et al. [67] and Browne et al. [68] have shown that the correlation coefficient between serum and DBS concen- trations for PAPP-Aand ß-hCG were both greater than Clinical and research implications 0.94. Cowans et al also reported that ß-hCG stability is Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, including gesta- improved in DBS as compared to serum storage. This tional hypertension and preeclampsia, are among the makes the collection, storage, transport and assay of leading causes of maternal morbidity in LMICs. In biomarkers using DBS feasible in low resource settings. Ghana they rank as the third leading cause of mortality, It is recommended that this study should be replicated having overtaken hemorrhage [26]. The ability to predict locally and externally in similar settings using larger this in women at increased risk (of the disorder) and sample sizes to validate the findings of this study before thereby institute preventive measures to minimize their possible translation to clinical practice. Table 5 Regression coefficients and AUC of prediction models for primigravid women (n = 71) Variable Model with only maternal Model with addition of Model with addition of Model with addition of characteristics PlGF MoM PAPP-A MoM PlGF MoM and PAPP-A MoM Intercept 17.64 21.96 19.41 14.92 History of hypertension in parents −1.47 −1.63 −1.49 −1.92 Previous history of hypertension in – – – – pregnancy Weight 0.123 0.154 0.134 0.148 Height −0.216 −0.264 −0.237 −0.214 Parity – – – – Diastolic BP 0.110 0.118 0.116 0.118 PlGF MoM – 0.323 – 0.834 PAPP-A MoM – – 0.098 −0.373 AUC 0.899 (0.732–1.000) 0.925 (0.808–1.000) 0.903 (0.749–1.000) 0.951 (0.870–1.000) Antwi et al. Reproductive Health (2018) 15:56 Page 8 of 10 The feasibility and sustainability of any planned intro- Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. 5 duction and eventual scale-up in the use of biomarkers Center for Infectious Diseases Research, Diagnostics and Screening (IDS), National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven, to improve prediction of hypertensive disorders has to the Netherlands. be assessed using a cost-benefit analysis. Received: 21 December 2017 Accepted: 9 March 2018 Conclusion The addition of PAPP-A and PlGF to prediction models based on maternal clinical characteristics (diastolic blood References pressure, family history of hypertension in parents, his- 1. Hutcheon JA, Lisonkova S, Joseph KS. Epidemiology of pre-eclampsia and the other hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. Best Pract Res Clin Obstetr tory of gestational hypertension in a previous pregnancy, Gynaecol. 2011;25(4):391–403. parity, height and weight) markedly improved prediction 2. Peters RM, Flack JM. Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. J Obstet Gynecol of gestational hypertension. This study should be repli- Neonatal Nurs. 2004;33(2):209–20. 3. North RA, McCowan LME, Dekker GA, Poston L, Chan EHY, Stewart AW, cated using a larger sample size. et al. Clinical risk prediction for pre-eclampsia in nulliparous women: development of model in international prospective cohort. BMJ. Abbreviations 2011;342:d1875. AUC: Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve; BP: Blood 4. Park H, Kim S, Jung Y, Shim S, Kim J, Cho Y, et al. Screening models Pressure; DBS: Dried Blood Spot Sample; GH: Gestational Hypertension; using multiple markers for early detection of late-onset preeclampsia in HDP: Hypertensive Disorder of Pregnancy; IQR: Inter Quartile Range; low-risk pregnancy. BMC Pregnancy Childbirth. 2014;14(1):35. LMIC: Low and Middle Income Country; MoM: Multiple of the Median; PAPP- 5. Nijdam ME, Janssen KJ, Moons KG, Grobbee DE, van der Post JA, Bots ML, A: Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A; PE: Preeclampsia; PlGF: Placental Franx A. Prediction model for hypertension in pregnancy in nulliparous Growth Factor; RIVM: Dutch Institute for Public Health and Environment; women using information obtained at the first antenatal visit. J Hypertens. ROC: Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve; SD: Standard Deviation 2010;28(1):119–26. 6. Payne B, Hodgson S, Hutcheon JA, Joseph KS, Li J, Lee T, et al. Acknowledgements Performance of the fullPIERS model in predicting adverse maternal We acknowledge the midwives and the laboratory staff who played a role in outcomes in pre-eclampsia using patient data from the PIERS (pre- the study. We also thank Dr. Justice Ahetor for assisting with aspects of the eclampsia integrated estimate of RiSk) cohort, collected on admission statistical analysis. 3560. BJOG Int J Obstet Gynaecol. 2013;120(1):113–8. 7. Bujold E, Roberge SP, Lacasse Y, Bureau M, Audibert F, Marcoux S, et al. Funding Prevention of preeclampsia and intrauterine growth restriction with This research received funding from the UMC Utrecht Global Health Support aspirin started in early pregnancy: a meta-analysis. Obstet Gynecol. program. The funders played no role in the study design, data collection, 2010;116(2, Part 1):402–14. data analysis and interpretation as well as writing of the manuscript. 8. Duley L, Henderson‐Smart DJ, Meher S, King JF. Antiplatelet agents for preventing pre‐eclampsia and its complications. The Cochrane Library. 2007; Availability of data and materials (2):CD004659. The datasets used and/or analysed in this study are available from the 9. Hofmeyr GJ, Lawrie TA, Atallah AN, Duley L. Calcium supplementation corresponding author upon reasonable request. during pregnancy for preventing hypertensive disorders and related problems. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2010;8(8):CD001059. Authors’ contributions 10. Nicolaides KH. Turning the pyramid of prenatal care. Fetal Diagn Ther. 2011; EA designed the study, collected data, carried out statistical analysis and 29(3):183–96. wrote the initial draft of the manuscript. KK-G assisted with data analysis. 11. Roberge Sp VP, Nicolaides K, Giguire Y, Vainio M, Bakthi A, et al. Early KK-G, JLB, PCS, KAK, IAA and DEG provided scientific guidance and were also administration of low-dose aspirin for the prevention of preterm and term actively involved in the preparation and review of the manuscript. All the preeclampsia: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Fetal Diagn Ther. 2012; authors read and approved the final manuscript. 31(3):141–6. Ethics approval and consent to participate 12. Rolnik DL, Wright D, Poon LCY, Syngelaki A, O'Gorman N, de Paco Matallana Ethics approval for this study was granted by the Ghana Health Service C, Akolekar R, Cicero S, Janga D, Singh M, Molina FS, Persico N, Jani JC, Plasencia W, Papaioannou G, Tenenbaum-Gavish K, Nicolaides KH. ASPRE Ethics Review Committee (Committee Reference Number: GHS-ERC 07/09/ trial: performance of screening for preterm pre-eclampsia. Ultrasound 11). All participating women gave written informed consent before they Obstet Gynecol. 2017;50:492–95. https://doi.org/10.1002/uog.18816. were enrolled in the study. 13. Bonno M, Oxvig C, Kephart GM, Wagner JM, Kristensen T, Sottrup-Jensen L, Consent for publication et al. Localization of pregnancy-associated plasma protein-a and Not applicable. colocalization of pregnancy-associated plasma protein-a messenger ribonucleic acid and eosinophil granule major basic protein messenger Competing interests ribonucleic acid in placenta. Lab Investig. 1994;71(4):560–6. 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