MEASURING THE AFFORDABILITY OF NUTRITIOUS DIETS IN AFRICA: PRICE INDEXES FOR DIET DIVERSITY AND THE COST OF NUTRIENT ADEQUACY WILLIAM A. MASTERS, YAN BAI, ANNA HERFORTH, DANIEL B. SARPONG, FULGENCE MISHILI, JOYCE KINABO, AND JENNIFER C. COATES Policies and programs often aim to improve the affordability of nutritious diets, but existing food price indexes are based on observed quantities that may not meet nutritional goals. To measure changes in the cost of reaching international standards of diet quality, we introduce a new cost of diet diversity in- dex based on the lowest-cost way to include at least five different food groups as defined by the widely used minimum dietary diversity for women (MDD-W) indicator and compare that to a Cost of Nutrient Adequacy indicator for the lowest-cost way to meet estimated average requirements of essential nutrients and dietary energy. We demonstrate application of both indexes using national av- erage monthly prices from two very different sources: an agricultural market information system in Ghana (2009–14) and the data used for national consumer price indexes in Tanzania (2011–15). We find that the cost of diet diversity index for Ghana fluctuated seasonally and since mid-2010 rose about 10% per year faster than national inflation, due to rising relative prices for fruit, which also drove up the cost of nutrient adequacy. In Tanzania there were much smaller changes in total daily costs, but more adjustment in the mix of food groups used for the least-cost diet. These methods can show where and when nutritious diets are increasingly (un)affordable, and which nutritional criteria account for the change. These results are based on monthly national average prices, but the method is generaliz- able to other contexts for monitoring, evaluation, and assessment of changing food environments. Key words: Food prices, diet quality, diet diversity, nutrient adequacy, CPI. JEL codes: I15, Q11, Q18. Price indexes for traded food commodities Organization (FAO 2018), while local whole- are widely reported by international agencies sale and retail prices are collected and used such as the Food and Agricultural in almost all countries to monitor producer prices, market conditions, overall inflation This article was invited by the President of the Agricultural & Applied Economics Association for presentation at the 2018 an- nual meeting of the Allied Social Sciences Association, after which numerous workshop and seminar participants for their collabora- it was subjected to an expedited peer-review process. tion and comments on this work. Data collection and analysis for this project occurred under a project entitled Indicators of William A. Masters is a professor, Yan Bai is a doctoral candidate, Affordability of Nutritious Diets in Africa (IANDA), funded by Anna Herforth is a consultant and Jennifer C. Coates is an associ- UKAid through the Department for International Development ate professor, all in the Friedman School of Nutrition Science and (DFID) as part of its program on Innovative Methods and Metrics Policy at Tufts University; Daniel Sarpong is Dean for the School for Agriculture-Nutrition Actions (IMMANA), with additional of Agriculture and an associate professor in agricultural economics support for data analysis from the Feed the Future Policy Impact at the University of Ghana; and Fulgence Mishili is a senior lec- Study Consortium as a subaward from Rutgers University under turer in agricultural economics and Joyce Kinabo is a professor of USDA Cooperative Agreement TA-CA-15-008, and the Feed the human nutrition, both at Sokoine University of Agriculture in Future Innovation Lab for Nutrition under USAID grant contract Tanzania. This paper was presented in a session on Agricultural AID-OAA-L-10-00006. We are especially grateful for a successor Production, Diets and Health at the annual meetings of the ASSA, project on Changing Access to Nutritious Diets in Africa and 5 January 2018. We thank Andrew Dillon and other participants in South Asia (CANDASA) to extend this work, with funding from that session as well as the AJAE editor, Travis Lybbert, and two UKAid and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (OPP1182628). anonymous reviewers for very valuable feedback on this paper, Model code and data for replication of results is available on that and thank John Nortey, Rebecca Heidkamp, Zachary Gersten and project’s website at http://sites.tufts.edu/candasa. Amer. J. Agr. Econ. 100(5): 1285–1301; doi: 10.1093/ajae/aay059 Published online August 13, 2018 VC The Author(s) 2018. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Agricultural and Applied Economics Association. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited. Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 1286 October 2018 Amer. J. Agr. Econ. and living standards (World Bank 2017a, assistance programs meet specific needs of 2017b). Formulas to aggregate individual items children and other vulnerable groups, as in into price indexes were first introduced more the Cost-of-the-Diet approach developed by than 300 years ago (Diewert 1993), with contin- Save the Children UK and others (Chastre ued changes needed to reflect what and how et al. 2007; Deptford et al. 2017; Akhter et al. goods and services are consumed (Diewert, 2018), and Optifood developed by the London Greelees, and Hulten 2010; Rippy 2014). School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine and The purpose of most price indexes is to others (Optifood 2012; Vossenaar et al. 2017). capture changes in the cost of what is actually Our aim in this paper is to extend the litera- bought and sold, which can vary greatly in ture on the cost of nutritious diets to diversity nutritional quality over time and across among food groups. Consuming foods from a groups (Beatty, Lin, and Smith 2014; variety of different categories is often seen as Clements and Si 2018). To make nutritious desirable for reasons beyond nutrient ade- diets more affordable, policies and programs quacy, leading nutritionists to standardize diet may aim to lower the relative cost of more diversity measurement by grouping foods in nutritious foods, and sometimes also raise the terms of various functional characteristics. The cost of less healthy items. The aim of this pa- specific criteria we use in this paper are from per is to develop improved indexes for the the Minimum Diet Diversity for Women cost of a nutritious diet relative to other pri- (MDD-W) indicator for women of reproduc- ces in the African context, where healthier tive age (FAO and FHI360 2016; Martin- foods such as dairy, eggs, fruits and vegeta- Prevel et al. 2017). MDD-W is defined as con- bles vary greatly in price (Green et al. 2013; suming foods from at least five out of ten spe- Harttgen, Klasen, and Rischke 2016). cific food groups during the previous day or The oldest and most widely used approach night. This has been linked to nutrient ade- to measuring the cost of healthy diets is the quacy in several low-income countries cost of nutrient adequacy. Soon after the dis- (Arimond et al. 2010) and may confer addi- covery of essential nutrients, Stigler (1945) tional health benefits associated with phyto- pioneered the development of linear program- chemicals and other diet qualities in addition ming methods for calculating how much of to nutrients (Shiraseb et al. 2016). Different each food would be needed to meet recom- functional groups and thresholds could be used mended intake of each required nutrient at for other populations at risk of malnutrition. lowest total cost. Allen (2017) uses this kind For example, the standard international indica- of price index for poverty measurement, and tor for dietary diversity in children aged 6– others use these least-cost diets to track the 23 months is whether they consumed at least cost of nutrients over time (O’Brien-Place one item from at least four out of seven spe- and Tomek 1983; Håkansson 2015; Omiat and cific food groups in the previous day or night Shively 2017), make comparisons across coun- (World Health Organization [WHO] and tries (Chastre et al. 2007) or compare actual UNICEF 2007; UNICEF 2016). Dietary diver- choices to least-cost diets within a country sity based on the number of food groups con- (Jensen and Miller 2010; Maillot et al. 2017). sumed in the past 24 hours is operationally Least-cost diets are often used to make nutri- useful for policy analysis and program manage- tional recommendations for low-income con- ment, since it can be measured quickly using a sumers. At the United States Department of list-based method, whereas the volume of food Agriculture (USDA), the “Minimum-Cost consumed and its nutrient composition are Food Plan” proposed for people facing ex- much more difficult to quantify and analyze. treme poverty during the depression of the Designing a food price index around this crite- 1930s (Cofer et al. 1962) evolved with the use rion allows us to determine whether including of linear programming into the Thrifty Food diverse foods in the diet is increasingly (un)af- Plan (TFP) to calculate and justify the amount fordable for consumers at each time and place, of money provided in food stamps and supple- to reach a minimum number of groups or to in- mental nutrition assistance for low-income clude at least one item from every food group. Americans (USDA 2017). The same method is used internationally, for example to make recommendations in Denmark (Parlesak et al. Methods 2016) and the Netherlands (Gerdessen and De Vries 2015). One of the most important To track changes in the cost of nutritious uses for least-cost diets is to help nutrition diets with broad relevance for the adult Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 Masters et al. Measuring the Affordability of Nutritious Diets in Africa 1287 population, we compute a price index defined consumed above one serving of each food, so around the MDD-W and compare that to the prices and hence the overall index are stan- corresponding cost of nutrient adequacy, us- dardized to cost per kcal. Additional informa- ing monthly national average food prices in tion in the supplementary online material is Ghana and Tanzania. We refer to the two provided on costs per gram. Also by defini- measures as the cost of dietary diversity tion only the least-cost food within each (CoDD), defined as the least-cost foods group is included, so the foods included in needed to meet the MDD-W, and the cost of CoDD are not necessarily a positive descrip- nutrient adequacy (CoNA), defined as the tion of what people actually consume or a least-cost foods needed to meet average nu- normative prescription for what they should trient requirements. Both are computed rela- consume. Instead, CoDD1 provides a lower tive to all other prices in the local economy bound on the cost of including the fifth group and converted to constant US dollars at to just meet the MDD-W threshold, while purchasing-power parity (PPP) exchange CoDD2 provides a lower bound on the cost rates. This provides comparable inflation- of acquiring some of each MDD-W food adjusted price indexes, measuring the cost of group, thereby tracking changes in access to reaching these two nutritional standards rela- foods needed to meet that nutritional tive to all prices in the economy. Some foods standard. appear in our nutritional price index also ap- As a benchmark for comparison we use the pear in the PPP price level but with different same data to compute the cost of nutrient ad- weights. Overall inflation is based on average equacy (CoNA), defined as the minimum expenditure in each country as computed by cost of foods that meet all known require- the International Comparisons Project ments for essential nutrients and dietary en- (World Bank 2017a), while our indexes are ergy requirements for an adult woman of based on each food’s contribution to meeting reproductive age. While we focus on women international nutrition standards. of reproductive age for both CoDD and Our price index for the cost of dietary di- CoNA, CoNA can be computed for other age versity, CoDD, is defined as the least expen- or population groups, such as young children, sive way of acquiring some food from each simply by using energy and nutrient require- food group needed to reach the MDD-W. To ments specific to those groups. CoNA can be aggregate over groups, we provide two dis- written formally as: tinct measures: a simple CoDD1 counts only X the least-cost food in the fifth least expensive ð3Þ CoNA : minimize C ¼ pi  qi food group, while a broader CoDD2 counts i the average of the least-cost food in all food Subject to: groups. CoDD1 reflects a narrow version of the MDD-W defined so that dietary diversity X can be achieved just by reaching the fifth ð4Þ aij  qi  EAR ðj ¼ 1;2;3; : : : ; nÞi group, while CoDD2 reflects a broader ver- X sion in which consumers include all food ð5Þ qie  qi ¼ Ei groups with equal frequency. The CoDD con- cept is based on rank order optimization ð6Þ q1  0; q2  0; : : : ; qi  0 based on food prices within groups, defined as: Here the quantity of the jth nutrient in food i is denoted aij, which multiplied by its ð1Þ CoDD1 ¼ min5fminf g quantity consumed (qi) must meet the popu-pi1 ; lation’s estimated average requirement minfpi2g; : : : ; minfpimgg (EAR) for nutrient j, at lowest total cost ð Þ ¼ f f g given all prices (pi) within the further con-2 CoDD2 ave min pi1 ; straint of overall energy balance (E) which minfpi2g; : : : ; minfpimgg for convenience we set at 2,000 kcal/day. There are twenty-one known essential where min5 denotes the fifth lowest of all m nutrients, but for nutritional adequacy we food groups, and pij is the price of item i in drop vitamin D and cholesterols, which can the jth food group. By definition, the MDD- be synthesized in human bodies, and iodine W indicator and hence CoDD price indexes and molybdenum due to lack of data in the make no reference to the quantities food composition databases, leaving n¼ 17 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 1288 October 2018 Amer. J. Agr. Econ. nutrient constraints plus a constraint for en- for nutrients may differ, we construct a semi- ergy balance. This computation provides a elasticity denoted SP’ as increment in cost of lower bound on the cost of meeting the the CoNA diet when the constraint is in- EARs, allowing us to track changes in the creased by 1%, expressed as: cost of limiting nutrients much as the CoDD tracks changes in the cost of limiting foods. @C0 For both CoDD and CoNA we report ð8Þ SPj ¼ %DEARþ which foods would be needed to meet each j nutritional target at lowest cost, thereby 0 P ’ ’ tracking changes in access to that interna- The sum of SPj ( j SPj or SP ) of all sev- tional standard. By defining “access” to mean enteen nutrients and dietary energy equals to a lower bound on total cost, these price in- the change of CoNA when all nutritional and dexes deliberately differ from what any group energy constraints are increased by 1% to- might actually consume (for which we would gether. For ease of comparison with CoNA use a consumption price index), or should itself we report SP’ multiplied by 100, which consume (in the sense of a recommended we refer to as the shadow price contribution diet). Actual diets may exceed or fall short of (SPC) of nutrient j or dietary energy: any given nutritional standard, and methods 0 designed to make dietary recommendations ð9Þ SPCj ¼ SPj  100 include additional stipulations to obtain a lo- cally acceptable, “normal” diet (Chastre et al. Similarly, we further calculated the shadow 2007; Deptford et al. 2017; Cost of Nutritious price elasticity (SPE) of nutrient j defined as Diets Consortium 2018). For our purposes, the percentage change of the cost of the we avoid specifying local eating habits and CoNA diet package evaluated at the optimal cultural norms so as to compare food prices basis in response of 1% increase in EAR of only with respect to international standards nutrient j: for nutritional content. The foods whose pri- ces are included in CoDD and CoNA are the %DC lowest cost way to meet those standards at ð10Þ SPEj ¼ %DEARþ each location, which may point to foods that j are currently consumed in small quantities The SPE is useful to identify the limiting but could play a larger role in local diets if cu- nutrients for which the level of EAR contrib- linary practices were to change in response to utes the most to CoNA at each time and relative prices. Apart from those two price in- place. It measures the change in total cost as- dices presented here, parallel work is under sociated with a marginal change in each nutri- way to construct nutritionally weighted con- ent requirement, thereby revealing the sumer price indexes (nCPI) that would reflect degree to which that particular requirement nonmarket (dis)utilities from the foods actu- accounts for differences in the cost of acquir- ally consumed, and to construct globally rele- ing all essential nutrients. vant cost of a recommended diet (CoRD) Calculations for all equations were com- indexes that would reflect normative dietary pleted in R and resulting index values guidelines published by national or interna- exported to Stata or Excel for visualization tional agencies (Herforth 2017). purposes, with model code and data for repli- The focus of CoNA is the cost of nutrients, cation posted online at the project website which is reflected in their shadow prices (SP) referenced in this paper’s acknowledgements. defined as the cost increase associated with increasing each constraint by one unit: Data ð Þ ¼ @C  7 SPj @EARþj Our empirical application draws on four main data sources. Food price data are na- where C* denotes the (minimum) cost of tional average monthly food prices in Ghana the CoNA diet. SPj is the SP of nutrient j between March 2009 and December 2014, (or daily dietary energy), and EARþj refers to and in Tanzania between January 2011 and one unit increase in EAR of nutrient j (or December 2015. These were collected by na- daily dietary energy). Since units of measure tional authorities and cover a total of 34 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 Masters et al. Measuring the Affordability of Nutritious Diets in Africa 1289 Table 1. Descriptive Statistics for Monthly Food Prices per 1,000 kcal – Ghana (2011$) Food Groups No. Foodstuffs Obs. Mean Std. Dev. CV Min Max Grains, white roots and 1 Cassava 70 0.33 0.07 0.20 0.23 0.48 tubers, and plantains 2 Cocoyam 70 1.07 0.24 0.23 0.71 1.62 3 Kokonte 70 0.38 0.06 0.17 0.27 0.54 4 Garri 70 0.44 0.07 0.17 0.34 0.72 5 Rice (imported) 70 0.73 0.12 0.16 0.60 1.09 6 Rice (local) 70 0.52 0.06 0.12 0.42 0.75 7 Maize 70 0.26 0.05 0.18 0.19 0.40 8 Millet 70 0.39 0.05 0.13 0.31 0.51 9 Paddy Rice 56 0.40 0.13 0.32 0.24 0.86 10 Plantains 70 1.47 0.49 0.33 0.91 3.38 11 Sorghum 70 0.37 0.04 0.11 0.29 0.47 12 Yam 70 1.04 0.17 0.16 0.76 1.48 Pulses 13 Cowpea 70 0.61 0.10 0.17 0.43 0.85 14 Soybeans 70 0.29 0.07 0.24 0.13 0.47 Nuts and seeds 15 Groundnuts (shelled) 70 0.58 0.11 0.19 0.40 0.79 Meat, poultry, and fish 16 Anchovies 70 4.83 1.04 0.22 2.43 8.92 17 Tilapia (dried) 70 2.53 0.61 0.24 1.03 4.32 18 Herring (smoked) 70 1.99 0.45 0.22 1.27 3.45 Eggs 19 Eggs 70 6.23 0.44 0.07 5.22 7.58 Vitamin A-rich vegetables 20 Mangoes 70 1.41 0.51 0.36 0.64 2.94 and fruits Other vegetables 21 Eggplant 70 9.16 2.37 0.26 4.78 16.55 22 Onions (large) 70 8.95 2.90 0.32 4.20 14.51 23 Tomatoes 70 20.77 6.88 0.33 10.09 39.91 Other fruits 24 Bananas 70 1.90 0.37 0.20 1.15 2.84 25 Oranges 70 2.94 0.90 0.31 1.20 6.72 26 Pineapples 70 2.94 0.32 0.11 2.29 3.87 Note: Authors’ calculations, from Ghana Ministry of Food and Agriculture file data. Two food groups in the MDD-W are not represented in this data set: Dairy, and Dark Green Leafy Vegetables. Data were imputed by carry-over from the previous month to fill missing observations for soybeans (Feb 2010) and mango (Aug, Sep, and Oct 2009; Feb 2011; Sep and Oct 2013). Kokonte and garri are forms of processed cassava. distinct foods in Ghana and 71 in Tanzania. extremes, as mangoes in Ghana generally ma- Prices for each item are unweighted averages ture between May and August, with some va- over a variety of retail markets, covering all rieties in southern Ghana also maturing ten regions of Ghana and all twenty-one between December and February (MoFA regions of mainland Tanzania. Primary data 2017). collection was conducted by the Ministry of To compute the price indexes, the price of Food and Agriculture (MoFA) in Ghana for each food was converted from reported units, their market information system, and by the such as price per dozen eggs, to cost per unit National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) in of weight and/or of dietary energy of the edi- Tanzania for the purpose of inflation moni- ble portion, and then converted to a common toring. In this paper we deliberately use data currency and adjusted for inflation by with different institutional origins to show purchasing-power-parity (PPP) conversion the range of applicability for these indexes, factor provided by the World Bank (2017a). recognizing that differences between coun- We excluded most processed foods and clas- tries also reflect differences in data-collection sified foods into one of ten mutually exclusive methods. There were no missing values in the food groups based on the FAO and FHI360 Tanzania data, but for Ghana there are miss- (2016) guidelines for calculating MDD-W: ing observations for soybeans (Feb 2010) and (1) Grains, white roots and tubers, and plan- mango (Aug, Sep, and Oct 2009; Feb 2011; tains, (2) pulses, (3) nuts and seeds, (4) dairy, Sep and Oct 2013). To complete the data set (5) meat, poultry and fish, (6) eggs, (7) dark for results shown here we impute prices by green leafy vegetables, (8) vitamin A-rich carry-over from the previous month. This fruits and vegetables, (9) other vegetables, method is unlikely to truncate seasonal and (10) other fruits. Additional foods that Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 1290 October 2018 Amer. J. Agr. Econ. Table 2. Descriptive Statistics for Monthly Food Prices per 1,000 kcal–Tanzania (2011$) Food Group No. Foodstuff Obs. Mean Std. Dev. CV Min Max Grains, white roots and 1 Cassava (dried flour) 60 0.60 0.07 0.11 0.48 0.79 tubers, and plantains 2 Cassava (fresh) 60 0.77 0.07 0.09 0.60 0.90 3 Plantain 60 1.64 0.09 0.05 1.45 1.90 4 Finger millet 60 0.68 0.11 0.17 0.50 0.87 5 Maize flour 60 0.47 0.06 0.12 0.37 0.63 6 Potatoes – round 60 2.25 0.13 0.06 1.97 2.63 7 Rice 60 0.74 0.12 0.16 0.57 0.98 8 Sweet potatoes 60 1.70 0.14 0.08 1.46 1.97 9 Wheat flour 60 0.62 0.04 0.06 0.56 0.71 10 Maize (white) 60 0.31 0.04 0.12 0.24 0.41 Pulses 11 Soybeans 60 0.65 0.03 0.04 0.59 0.70 12 Lentils 60 1.28 0.12 0.09 1.08 1.48 13 Beans (red) 60 0.78 0.04 0.05 0.72 0.87 Nuts and seeds 14 Groundnuts 60 0.66 0.05 0.08 0.58 0.78 Dairy 15 Milk (fresh) 60 2.89 0.16 0.05 2.38 3.07 16 Milk (powdered) 60 7.99 0.38 0.05 7.02 8.72 Meat, poultry, and fish 17 Beef sausage 60 4.32 0.08 0.02 4.18 4.54 18 Beef with bones 60 3.92 0.19 0.05 3.47 4.43 19 Beef without bones 60 1.11 0.04 0.04 1.01 1.26 20 Dried sardines 60 5.99 0.46 0.08 5.12 6.91 21 Goat meat 60 9.51 0.38 0.04 8.37 10.19 22 Chicken (live, industrial) 60 6.57 0.31 0.05 5.6 6.99 23 Pork meat 60 3.17 0.28 0.09 2.45 3.63 24 Chicken (live, traditional) 60 11.9 0.79 0.07 9.94 13.26 Eggs 25 Eggs (layers) 60 8.42 0.28 0.03 7.89 8.88 26 Eggs (traditional) 60 11.81 0.69 0.06 10.3 12.66 Dark green leafy vegetables 27 Amaranth (mchicha) 60 5.74 0.57 0.10 4.85 6.81 Vitamin A-rich 28 Carrots 60 7.05 0.69 0.10 6.01 9.08 vegetables and fruits 29 Mangoes 60 4.46 0.63 0.14 2.97 6.06 30 Papaya 60 5.63 0.50 0.09 4.71 6.64 Other vegetables 31 Tomatoes (bitter) 60 8.86 0.46 0.05 7.85 10.72 32 Eggplant 60 9.44 0.49 0.05 8.47 10.83 33 Cabbage 60 2.80 0.27 0.10 2.30 3.48 34 Green peas 60 24.78 1.74 0.07 20.72 28.40 35 Green bell pepper 60 16.46 0.92 0.06 14.78 19.16 36 Okra (ladies fingers) 60 11.28 0.75 0.07 9.97 13.25 37 Onions 60 6.43 0.77 0.12 5.21 8.86 38 Tomatoes (red) 60 10.44 1.19 0.11 8.36 13.53 Other fruits 39 Apples (imported) 60 19.58 1.62 0.08 15.85 23.62 40 Avocado 60 1.91 0.12 0.06 1.67 2.18 41 Coconut (mature) 60 5.52 0.51 0.09 4.78 6.85 42 Lemons 60 11.75 2.03 0.17 8.26 17.99 43 Limes 60 15.62 2.87 0.18 12.00 23.57 44 Oranges 60 4.43 0.46 0.10 3.47 5.63 45 Pineapples 60 6.66 0.65 0.10 5.54 7.98 46 Sweet banana 60 3.35 0.28 0.08 2.71 3.91 Note: Authors’ calculations, from Tanzania Bureau of Statistics file data. people might consume are not included in the forty-six foods from all ten groups. The miss- MDD-W calculation, notably oils and fats, ing food groups in Ghana are dairy and dark sweets and other foods, beverages other than green leafy vegetables. We use these data to dairy, condiments and seasonings. The avail- highlight that data gaps are often present able price data for Ghana cover twenty-six in food price data monitoring systems, foods from eight of the ten MDD-W food where staple crops are the focus and nutri- groups, and price data for Tanzania cover tionally important foods may be missing. Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 Masters et al. Measuring the Affordability of Nutritious Diets in Africa 1291 2009m1 2009m7 2010m1 2010m7 2011m1 2011m7 2012m1 2012m7 2013m1 2013m7 2014m1 2014m7 Year/Month CoDD1 index CoDD2 index Maize Cassava (dried) Cassava (fresh) Soybeans Groundnuts Mangoes Banana Oranges Tilapia (dried) Herrings (smoked) Eggs Eggplant (garden eggs) Onions (large) Figure 1. Cost of diet diversity in Ghana, March 2009–December 2014. Note: Foods shown are the least-cost item in their food group, as defined by the minimum dietary diversity for women (MDD-W) indicator, ranked in cost per unit of dietary energy. CoDD1 is the cost of reaching the fifth group, and CoDD2 is the cost of including all groups. Groups in ascending order of usual cost are starchy staples (maize and cassava), pulses (soybeans), nuts/seeds (groundnuts), vitamin-A rich fruits and vegetables (mangoes), other fruit (banana and oranges), meat and fish (tilapia and herring), eggs, and other vegetables (eggplant and onion). The MDD-W offers a quick way to assess defined as the average daily nutrient intake whether monitoring systems cover sufficient level estimated to meet requirements at least diversity to estimate the cost of nutritious half of the healthy individuals in a group, is diets: if there are no or few items represent- the primary reference point for assessing the ing each of the ten MDD-W categories, then adequacy of estimated nutrient intakes of those data gaps should be corrected. Based groups and is a tool for planning intakes for on these analyses, we collaborated with the groups (Institute of Medicine 2006). A de- Ghana MoFA to add nutritious food items to tailed table with energy and nutrients criteria their food price monitoring system (Nortey is presented in online supplementary material 2017). By definition, cooking oil is not in- table A3. cluded in the MDD-W or CoDD, but we do include it as a source of dietary energy for CoNA. Results Additional data required for the calcula- tion of CoNA include the nutrient composi- Descriptive statistics for prices per unit of di- tion and edible portions of each food as etary energy are summarized in tables 1 purchased, obtained from the two standard and 2. The underlying descriptive statistics sources: FAO’s West African Food for prices per unit of weight are provided in Composition Table (Stadlmayr 2012), com- the online supplementary material, as tables plemented by the U.S. National Nutrient A3 and A4. For Ghana, we have a total of 70 Database for Standard Reference (USDA monthly observations from March 2009 to 2013). Detailed food lists with nutrients com- December 2014 for twenty-five items, and positions for both countries are presented in fifty-six monthly observations from May 2010 online supplementary material tables A4 and to December 2014 for paddy rice. Of these, A5. Nutrient requirements are obtained from twelve food items are in the starchy staple the estimated average requirements (EARs) group, reflecting the strong focus of data col- for adult women from nineteen to thirty years lection efforts on that category. The average old, as specified in dietary reference intakes price of each item per 1,000 kcal ranges (DRIs) developed by the U.S. Institute of widely, from $0.26 for maize to $20.77 for to- Medicine of the National Academies. EAR, matoes, while prices per kg range from $0.53 Cost per 1,000 kcal in 2011 intl $ (log scale) .2 1 3 10 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 1292 October 2018 Amer. J. Agr. Econ. 2011m1 2011m7 2012m1 2012m7 2013m1 2013m7 2014m1 2014m7 2015m1 2015m7 2016m1 Year/Month CoDD1 index CoDD2 index Maize (white) Soybeans Groundnuts Beef Avocado Cabbages Milk Mangoes Papaya Amaranth leaves Eggs Figure 2. Cost of diet diversity in Tanzania, January 2011–December 2015. Note: Foods shown are the least-cost item in their food group that month, as defined by the minimum dietary diversity for women (MDD-W) indicator. Items are ranked in cost per unit of dietary energy. CoDD1 is the cost of reaching the fifth group, and CoDD2 is the cost of including all groups. Groups in ascend- ing order of usual cost are a starchy staple (maize), pulses (soybeans), nuts/seeds (groundnuts), meat or fish (beef for stew), other fruit (avocado), other vege- table (cabbage), dairy (milk), vitamin-A rich fruit (mangoes or papaya), green leafy vegetables (amaranth), and eggs. 200 175 Ghana - CoDD1 Ghana - CoDD2 150 Tanzania-CoDD2 Tanzania-CoDD1 125 100 75 50 Figure 3. Cost of diet diversity indexes for Ghana and Tanzania, 2009–2015 (January 20115 100). Source: Index values shown represent changes in the cost of meeting energy needs from diverse food groups, when using the lowest-priced food in each food group as defined for the minimum dietary diversity for women (MDD-W) indicator. CoDD1 shows the cost of reaching five food groups, and CoDD2 shows the average cost of including all available groups. Which foods and food groups are included in this minimally diverse diet varies over time and space. Data shown here are relative to Jan. 2011 prices in real USD/kcal. for cassava to $8.90 for eggs shown in online January 2011 to December 2015 for forty-six supplementary material table A1. The volatil- items spanning ten food groups as the final ity of food prices over time, as represented by data base for index calculation. Starchy sta- coefficient of variation (CV), varies widely ples group, as the largest food group in terms from 0.07 for eggs to 0.36 for mangoes. of the number of food items, contains 10 For Tanzania, we have a total of sixty items. Average prices per 1,000 kcal range monthly observations over five years from from $0.31 for white maize to $24.78 for Index value (Jan. 2011=100) per unit of dietary energy (kcal) Cost per 1,000 kcal in 2011 intl $ (log scale) .2 1 3 10 Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 Masters et al. Measuring the Affordability of Nutritious Diets in Africa 1293 green peas, and prices per kg range from $1.11 for white maize to $39.56 for powered milk. The volatility of prices ranges from a CV of 0.02 for beef sausage and goat meat to 0.18 for limes. Turning to the CoDD indexes, figure 1 presents results for Ghana, showing the price per unit of dietary energy for the lowest cost item in each food group. The lowest-cost foods are usually one of the starchy staples (either maize or cassava), but for several months in 2009 and early 2010 the lowest-cost calorie source was actually from the pulse group (soybeans). The third least expensive source is from the nut group (groundnuts), followed by vitamin A-rich vegetables and fruits (mangoes), and other fruits (bananas). Occasionally, some form of fish (salted dried tilapia or smoked herrings) becomes the fifth group. The cost of reaching the MDD-W is shown by the solid line tracing the price of in- cluding that fifth group (CoDD1). An alter- native measure showing the average cost of including any group (CoDD2), shown by the dashed line, is higher due to inclusion of the most expensive food groups. A similar analy- sis in terms of cost per unit of weight, shown in the online supplementary material figure A1, yields qualitatively similar results, except that the “other vegetable” group (repre- sented here by eggplants and onions) becomes cheaper than groundnuts due to its higher moisture content. Results for CoDD in Tanzania are pre- sented in figure 2, showing that the lowest- cost food group per unit of dietary energy is always the starchy staple (maize), with a pulse (soybean) and a nut (groundnuts) alter- nating as the second and third least-costly food group, followed by a meat (beef) and a food from the “other fruit” group (avocado). This figure reveals much more stability among the lower-cost food groups than among these foods in Ghana or relative to more expensive food groups in Tanzania. Such differences could reflect the type of market at which food prices are collected, as NBS in Tanzania aims to collect price data for inflation monitoring from the same sellers every time primarily in towns and cities, whereas MoFA in Ghana aims to collect price data for market information purposes from different sellers every time, in a wider variety and greater number of locations. In Tanzania, the relative cost of foods by unit of weight as shown in the online supplementary material figure A2 differs greatly from cost Table 3. Foods Selected for CoNA Diet Plans in Ghana, Mar 2009–Dec 2014 2009–2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Food Item Mean %Selected Mean %Selected Mean %Selected Mean %Selected Mean %Selected Mean %Selected Mean %Selected Cassava 21 11% 18 10%   47 25% 63 33%     Maize 50 69% 14 20% 48 67% 55 75% 36 50% 66 92% 74 100% Mangoes 900 100% 910 100% 904 100% 902 100% 905 100% 881 100% 899 100% Paddy Rice 14 49%   6 25% 18 67% 13 50% 15 42% 27 100% Palm Oil 4 51% 7 100% 6 75% 3 33% 4 50% 5 58%   Plantain 3 1%         19 8%   Smoked Herrings 15 100% 15 100% 15 100% 15 100% 15 100% 15 100% 15 100% Soybeans 256 100% 289 100% 267 100% 242 100% 252 100% 246 100% 243 100% Note: Data shown are mean intake (g/day) and intake frequency (percent of days) for lowest-cost diets that reach the estimated average requirement (EAR) of essential nutrients for an adult woman of 55 kg at an energy level of 2,000 kcal/day. Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 1294 October 2018 Amer. J. Agr. Econ. 2.50 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2.00 Vit. A-rich fruits & 1.50 veg. Other oils & fats 1.00 Meat, poultry & fish Pulses 0.50 Starchy staples 0.00 Figure 4. Cost of nutrient adequacy by food group in Ghana, Mar 2009–Dec 2014. Note: Data shown are total cost in each month of the foods needed for lowest cost of nutrient adequacy (CoNA), for an adult woman of 55kg at a dietary en- ergy level of 2,000 kcal/day. per unit of energy, due to the inclusion of enter with mean intakes of 900 and 256 g/day foods with high moisture content notably respectively, as they are the principal sources cabbage, amaranth leaves and milk. of limiting nutrients which are more costly to To compare changes over time in the mar- obtain from other sources in the Ghanaian ginal cost of obtaining any amount of dietary context. Such a high level of consumption for energy from the fifth food group (CoDD1) or these two foods is not realistic or recom- the average of all food groups (CoDD2), it is mended, but does reveal the degree to which convenient to standardize costs as index num- the nutrient profile of mango and soybean fills bers. Results shown in figure 3 reveal differen- gaps left by other foods listed in table 3 below. ces relative to the base period of January 2011, As shown in figure 4, the CoNA index for after which CoDD1 rose sharply with wide Ghana more than doubled from USD 0.78 swings in Ghana and changed much less in per day in March 2009 to USD 1.87 in Tanzania. Using all food groups instead of just December 2014. We can link the foods that the fifth, CoDD2 rose less than CoDD1 in account for this rise back to the food groups Ghana but more in Tanzania, due to differen- used for CoDD, noting that mangoes from ces in price trends among the most and least the vitamin A-rich fruits and vegetables expensive foods. A similar chart based on cost group accounted for more than 60% of per unit of weight is provided in our online CoNA on average. Soybeans from the pulses supplementary material figure A3, revealing group contributed about 28% of CoNA on qualitatively similar results in most months. average, while cassava from the starchy sta- Focusing on our preferred cost of dietary di- ples group, and smoke herrings from the versity measure in figure 3, CoDD1 per unit of flesh-foods group accounted for approxi- dietary energy rose by about 50% from mately 6% and 4%, respectively. The remain- January 2011 to late 2014, while in Tanzania, ing cost was palm oil, which is not included in the price indices were relatively stable from CoDD and which contributed about 1.5% of January 2011 to December 2015. CoNA before July 2013, then not selected for We can compare the cost of dietary diver- least-cost diet packages thereafter. sity by food group to the cost of nutrient ade- As shown in table 4, in Ghana a total of quacy (CoNA) using each month’s solution five nutrients have limiting EARs, four of to equations (3) – (6). For Ghana, a total of which were limiting nutrients in all months. eight distinct food items are ever included in Vitamin A, as the most expensive nutrient, those least-cost diets. Three of these foods has a shadow price elasticity (SPE) of 0.47, (mangoes, soybeans and smoked herring) are meaning that CoNA increases by 0.47% included every month. Mangoes and soybeans when the EAR for vitamin A increases by US dollars per day (at 2011 PPP prices) Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 Masters et al. Measuring the Affordability of Nutritious Diets in Africa 1295 1%, that is, from 500 mcg to 505 mcg per day. Dietary energy is still a very important con- straint in Ghana with an average SPE of 0.34. As shown in figure 5, the nutrients that are most limiting for CoNA in Ghana are vitamin A, followed by dietary energy, vitamin E, cal- cium and vitamin B12. For Tanzania, the CoNA solution to equa- tions (3) – (6) spans sixty months from January 2011 to December 2015. As shown in table 5, a total of eight food items are ever se- lected, of which two (white maize and mchi- cha or amaranth leaves) are included in every month with mean intakes of 255 and 197 g/d, respectively. Figure 6 reveals that the CoNA indicator for Tanzania fluctuated much less than for Ghana, rising gradually by about 25%, from 1.17 to 1.48 USD/day over these five years, but there is sharp variation in the composi- tion of this least-cost diet over time. Pulses enter periodically when soy is relatively inex- pensive, displacing both the lowest-cost starchy staple (maize) and the lowest-cost green leafy vegetable (mchicha), and cooking oil is displaced by nuts and seeds (ground- nuts). A dried fish (sardines) remains in this least-cost diet at about 10% of its total cost throughout the period. In Tanzania, as shown in table 6 there were in total of seven limiting nutrients, in- cluding the same five limiting nutrients as Ghana plus vitamin C and selenium. Dietary energy, calcium, vitamin C, B12 and E were limiting nutrients in all observations. Using the SPE as a criterion, dietary energy was the most constraining nutritional factor in Tanzania, as a 1% increase in daily dietary energy requirement from 2,000 to 2,020 kcal would increase CoNA by 0.4%. The most constraining individual nutrient was calcium with an average SPE of 0.3, meaning an in- crease in CoNA of 0.3% if calcium require- ments rose from 800 mg to 808 mg. Vitamin A is less costly in Tanzania than in Ghana, with an SPE of only 0.027. As shown in figure 7, energy became increasingly con- straining until early 2013, and then calcium became relatively more important until early 2015 when the relative cost of acquiring die- tary energy rose again. Discussion and Conclusions This paper presents nutritional price indexes to compare the relative cost of reaching Table 4. Nutrient Requirements Contributing to CoNA in Ghana, Mar 2009–Dec 2014 2009–2014 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Nutrient %EAR SPE %EAR SPE %EAR SPE %EAR SPE %EAR SPE %EAR SPE %EAR SPE Always limiting nutrients Energy 100% 0.344 100% 0.423 100% 0.344 100% 0.402 100% 0.391 100% 0.213 100% 0.302 Vitamin B12 100% 0.029 100% 0.032 100% 0.029 100% 0.030 100% 0.027 100% 0.027 100% 0.032 Vitamin A 100% 0.467 100% 0.420 100% 0.448 100% 0.407 100% 0.470 100% 0.548 100% 0.500 Vitamin E 100% 0.086 100% 0.109 100% 0.116 100% 0.082 100% 0.049 100% 0.107 100% 0.058 Sometimes limiting nutrients Calcium 104% 0.074 114% 0.016 107% 0.063 100% 0.079 103% 0.062 100% 0.104 100% 0.109 Note: Data shown are mean fraction of the estimated average requirement for an adult woman of 55 kg at an energy level of 2,000 kcal/day consumed each day (%EAR). The mean shadow price elasticity (SPE) of each nutrient when it is lim- iting. SPE is defined as the percentage change of CoNA if the EAR for that nutrient were increased by 1%. Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 1296 October 2018 Amer. J. Agr. Econ. 2.50 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2.00 1.50 Vitamin A Calcium Vitamin E 1.00 Vitamin B12 Energy 0.50 0.00 Figure 5. Cost of nutrient adequacy by limiting nutrient in Ghana, Mar 2009–Dec 2014. Note: Data shown are total cost in each month of the foods needed for lowest cost of nutrient adequacy (CoNA), for an adult woman of 55 kg at a dietary en- ergy level of 2,000 kcal/day. international nutrition standards at each time nutrient needs in both countries is also and place. We introduce a cost of diet diver- heavily driven by daily energy requirements, sity (CoDD) index, defined as the minimum with each 1% rise in energy intake leading to cost of acquiring at least five out of ten spe- an 0.3–0.5% rise in the least-cost diet. cific food groups, for comparison with the Comparing results for CoDD and CoNA cost of nutrient adequacy (CoNA), which reveals the continued importance of year- tracks the minimum cost of meeting esti- round access to basic staple foods for macro- mated average requirements of energy, pro- nutrients, while identifying the other foods tein and seventeen essential nutrients. These and specific micronutrients that limit access indexes reveal temporal and spatial differen- to healthier diets. ces in access to diverse diets and adequate The CoDD and CoNA indexes are nutrients, helping to guide policies and pro- intended to track access and affordability of grams aimed at improving their affordability foods required for a given nutritional stan- in local markets. dard, which may be very different from what Using national average monthly prices for is actually consumed. Actual diets often fall Ghana from 2009 through 2014, we find that short of international standards for some the cost of meeting the diet diversity standard nutrients, while exceeding minimal needs in fluctuated seasonally and rose sharply from other dimensions, driven in part by relative mid-2010 through 2014 at about 10% per prices among different foods. CoDD is a year faster than inflation, due primarily to ris- unit-free measure to track changes in relative ing relative prices for fruit. The cost of nutri- prices, while CoNA is a cost per day which ent adequacy doubled over this period, due we can compare to income levels or actual primarily to increased cost of foods needed to expenditure. In 2012, for example, the level meet standards for vitamin A and also cal- of CoNA in both Ghana and Tanzania was cium. Similar monthly data for Tanzania about $1.40 per person at 2011 PPP prices, show an upward trend from 2011 to 2012 and while national average per-capita food ex- then seasonal fluctuations through 2015, penditure in rural areas was estimated at switching among different leguminous grains $1.73 in Tanzania and $2.99 in Ghana (IFPRI and green leafy vegetables as the lowest-cost 2017). Low incomes make nutritious diets out way to meet nutrient needs. In both Ghana of reach for many people, especially in and Tanzania, vitamin B-12 needs lead to in- Tanzania, but even when incomes are higher clusion of dried fish in CoNA indexes, even as in Ghana the relative cost of different though it is not included for diet diversity foods will influence food choice. CoNA is purposes in CoDD. The cost of meeting particularly useful for identifying foods such US dollars per day (at 2011 PPP prices) Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 Masters et al. Measuring the Affordability of Nutritious Diets in Africa 1297 as soybeans that have recently become low- cost sources of essential nutrients, and might therefore play an increasing role in local diets as culinary practices evolve. Nutritional price indexes like CoDD and CoNA can guide public investment, policies and programs that make high-quality diets more accessible year-round even in remote areas, complementing farmers’ self-provision- ing with interventions that lower the relative cost of nutrient-dense foods on local markets. Introducing these indexes could increase de- mand for price data about a wider range of nutritious foods at various places. This paper uses two very different data sources: the Ministry of Food and Agriculture (MoFA) market information service in Ghana, and the National Bureau of Statistics system for mon- itoring inflation in Tanzania. The Ghana data are intended to inform production and mar- keting of traded crops, and historically omit- ted two nutritionally important kinds of food: dark green leafy vegetables and dairy. Demand for data to construct CoDD and CoNA has already led MoFA to expand their market information service to a wider range of foods (Nortey 2017), with preliminary analysis of the new data by the World Food Program revealing additional opportunities to meet nutritional targets at lower cost be- yond the results in this paper (WFP 2017). Using CoDD and CoNA can also guide sta- tistical agencies to collect price data at times and places when nutritious diets are most out of reach. For example, ongoing studies using the Tanzania data identify regional differen- ces in seasonality (Bai et al. 2018), revealing where and when price fluctuations are most important to measure and eventually address with investments in market infrastructure tai- lored to the specific foods needed for more nutritious diets. Our CoDD index aims to guide interven- tions that target diet diversity, in this case to reach the MDD-W threshold of at least five food groups from a list of ten. This is useful for settings where diversity as such is impor- tant (Clements and Si 2018), across specific food groups as in the U.S. Healthy Eating Index used by Beatty, Lin, and Smith (2014) for the United States. In developing coun- tries, many agencies aim explicitly to increase the proportion of women whose diets meet the MDD-W threshold (e.g., Feed the Future 2018), and the CoDD price index can reveal which foods drive the cost of reaching that goal at each time and place. CoDD can also Table 5. Foods Consumed to Construct CoNA Diet Plans in Tanzania, Jan 2011–Dec 2015 2011–2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Mean Pct. of Mean Pct. of Mean Pct. of Mean Pct. of Mean Pct. of Mean Pct. of Food Item g/day months g/day months g/day months g/day months g/day months g/day months Cabbages 25 80% 14 33% 24 67% 34 100% 26 100% 27 100% Cassava flour 0.1 7%   1 33%       Cooking oil 9.2 32% 29 100% 12 42%     4 17% Dried sardines 14 100% 14 100% 14 100% 14 100% 14 100% 14 100% Mchicha (amaranth) 197 100% 263 100% 203 100% 143 100% 188 100% 187 100% Groundnuts 89 68%   74 58% 127 100% 131 100% 111 83% Soybeans 92 78% 69 100% 91 92% 122 83% 85 58% 92 58% White Maize 255 100% 369 100% 269 100% 183 100% 219 100% 232 100% Note: Data shown are mean intake (g/day) and intake frequency (percent of days) for lowest-cost diets that reach the estimated average requirement (EAR) of essential nutrients for an adult woman of 55 kg at an energy level of 2,000 kcal/day. Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 1298 October 2018 Amer. J. Agr. Econ. Figure 6. Cost of nutrient adequacy by food group in Tanzania, Jan 2011–Dec 2015. Note: Data shown are total cost in each month of the foods needed for lowest cost of nutrient adequacy (CoNA), for an adult woman of 55 kg at a dietary en- ergy level of 2,000 kcal/day. Table 6. Nutrient Requirements Contributing to CoNA in Tanzania, Jan 2011–Dec 2015 2011–2015 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 % % % % % % Nutrient EAR SPE EAR SPE EAR SPE EAR SPE EAR SPE EAR SPE Always limiting nutrients Energy 100% 0.433 100% 0.415 100% 0.430 100% 0.498 100% 0.422 100% 0.401 Calcium 100% 0.296 100% 0.312 100% 0.266 100% 0.254 100% 0.318 100% 0.327 Vitamin E 100% 0.157 100% 0.179 100% 0.189 100% 0.127 100% 0.139 100% 0.150 Vitamin B12 100% 0.080 100% 0.077 100% 0.079 100% 0.075 100% 0.083 100% 0.031 Sometimes limiting nutrients Vitamin A 100% 0.027 100% 0.011 100% 0.030 100% 0.031 100% 0.032 100% 0.031 Vitamin C 154% 0.006 198% 0.001 158% 0.003 119% 0.014 147% 0.006 147% 0.005 Folate 228% 0.001 151% 0.003 218% 0.004 278%  250%  243%  Note: Data shown are mean fraction of the estimated average requirement for an adult woman of 55 kg at an energy level of 2,000 kcal/day consumed each day (%EAR). The mean Shadow Price Elasticity (SPE) of each nutrient when it is limiting. SPE is defined as the percentage change of CoNA if the EAR for that nutrient were increased by 1%. inform where and when the cost of reaching data collection, but CoNA suggests that they MDD-W is highest, to help target interven- often play an outsized role in the cost of nutri- tions towards more universal access to ade- tious diets. Using CoNA can guide interven- quate dietary diversity. tions toward the lowest-cost way to achieve The CoNA index adds information about many aspects of food security targeted by the quantities of each food needed to meet international agreements (FAO 1996) and re- nutritional targets, identifying which veal which nutrients remain most difficult to nutrients are most expensive and which foods obtain even after policies and programs at- are most-effective at each time and place. tempt to expand food access. For those Our results reveal the universal importance nutrients, fortification and supplementation of a few staple foods to meet macronutrient are important options, as shown by an analy- constraints in both Ghana and Tanzania, sis of our data regarding opportunities for sta- even as a variety of other foods are also ple flour fortification in Ghana (WFP 2017). needed to reach micronutrient standards at In summary, the index proposed here for different locations and times of year. Fruits the cost of diet diversity, alongside traditional and vegetables have not traditionally been measures for the cost of nutrient adequacy, prioritized for either public investment or allow us to measure changes in the Downloaded from https://academic.oup.com/ajae/article-abstract/100/5/1285/5073250 by University of Ghana. Balme Library user on 24 July 2019 Masters et al. Measuring the Affordability of Nutritious Diets in Africa 1299 1.60 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 1.40 Folate 1.20 Vitamin C 1.00 Vitamin A 0.80 Vitamin B12 0.60 Vitamin E 0.40 Calcium 0.20 Energy 0.00 Figure 7. Cost of nutrient adequacy by limiting nutrient in Tanzania, Jan 2011–Dec 2015. Note: Data shown are total cost in each month of the foods needed for lowest cost of nutrient adequacy (CoNA), for an adult woman of 55 kg at a dietary en- ergy level of 2,000 kcal/day. (un)affordability of healthier diets than those References currently consumed. Monitoring changes in these indexes can reveal the degree to which Akhter, N., N. Saville, B. Shrestha, D.S. policy and program interventions improve ac- Manandhar, D. Osrin, A. Costello, and cess to nutritious diets, focusing on the needs A. Seal. 2018. Change in Cost and of low-income people who seek the least ex- Affordability of a Typical and pensive foods at each time and place. 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