Numerical Modeling and Simulation of the Stability of Earth Slopes A Thesis Submitted to the Department of Nuclear Engineering DEPARTMENT OF NUCLEAR ENGINEERING SCHOOL OF NUCLEAR AND ALLIED SCIENCES COLLEGE OF BASIC AND APPLIED SCIENCES UNIVERSITY OF GHANA BY BRENDAN DAGEMANYIMA ATARIGIYA, 10507155 BSc (KNUST, Kumasi), 2012 In Partial Fulfilment of the Requirements for the Degree of MASTER OF PHILOSOPY IN COMPUTATIONAL NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING July 2016 1 DECLARATION I hereby declare that with the exception of references to other people’s work which have duly been acknowledged, this Thesis is the result of my own research work and no part of it has been presented for another degree in this University and elsewhere. …………………………… ………………………….. Brendan Dagemanyima Atarigiya Date (Candidate) I hereby declare that the preparation of this project was supervised in accordance with the guidelines of the supervision of Thesis work laid down by the University of Ghana ………………………… ………………………… Dr. Nii Kwashie Allotey Nana (Prof.) A. Ayensu Gyeabour I (Principal Supervisor) (Co-Supervisor) ………………………….. ………………………………….. Date Date ii DEDICATION I dedicate this work to God Almighty, my family and friends. iii ACKNOWLEDGMENT Firstly I want to thank and praise God for the good health and strength given me during all this period of schooling. My sincere and utmost gratitude goes to my Principal Supervisor, Dr. Nii Kwashie Allotey of the Ghana Atomic Energy Commission (GAEC) and the University of Ghana for his expertise in the field of research and exemplary guidance towards the progress of this research. I am also grateful to Prof. (Nana) A. Ayensu Gyeabour my Co- Supervisor for his creative suggestions and motivation through this research project. My thanks also goes to Ms. Rita Awura Abena Appiah of GAEC, thank you for pushing me to make this possible. You helped me improve my programming skills a lot. To my big family, the Atarigiya, Aguyire, and Allotey families, thank you for the support. I could not have done it without you. To my amazing course mate, Linda Sarpong, thank you for your words of encouragement during out period in school; you are a strong woman! Furthermore, to the nuclear engineering department (Samiru, Efia, Matilda, Henry…), thanks for the wonderful time we had together. Last and not the least, to the woman who stood firmly behind me from day one, from when this journey began, Mercy Selina Somhayin Namateng, I LOVE YOU. GOD RICHLY BLESS YOU ALL. iv ABSTRACT Ghana, as most other countries, has a considerable variation in its topography. In an attempt to build cheaper, but yet the safe structures (i.e., roads, apartments, etc.), we are most often times faced with building on hill-sides and in valleys. This then calls for the need to correctly assess the stability of any adjacent slopes. In recent times, due to the extensive need for stability analysis in engineering practice, slope stability analysis programs have been developed. It is noted that these commercial slope stability programs are used extensively in the industry but are very expensive and require purchasing yearly licenses. As a result of this, slope stability analysis is not routinely conducted in local geotechnical engineering practice. The need for cheaper more accessible options is thus considered needful. This research initiative uses MATLAB, a commercially available, user-friendly and easy to access computing platform to develop a slope stability analysis program. The method used is the General Limit Equilibrium Method (GLE) with the adoption of the Morgenstern-Price (M-P) factor of safety (FoS) approach to develop a cheap, efficient, and yet effective model for slope stability analysis and design. The results of the program are validated by comparing with the results of SLOPE/W, a commercial slope stability program. The results show four model outputs from the developed program and SLOPE/W for a homogeneous material. Two different failure mechanisms are shown (i.e., toe and base failures). It is noted that the percentage error in the M-P FoS is less than 5%. It is anticipated that with the availability of this computer code, Ghanaian Engineers can more readily assess the safety of slopes in routine design works. v Contents DECLARATION ........................................................................................................... ii DEDICATION .............................................................................................................. iii ACKNOWLEDGMENT............................................................................................... iv ABSTRACT ................................................................................................................... v LIST OF FIGURES ...................................................................................................... ix LIST OF TABLES ........................................................................................................ xi CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION ............................................................................ 1 1.1 Background ..................................................................................................... 1 1.2 Problem Statement .......................................................................................... 3 1.3 Relevance and Justification of Study .............................................................. 4 1.4 Research Goal ................................................................................................. 5 1.5 Research Objectives ........................................................................................ 5 1.6 Scope ............................................................................................................... 5 1.7 Format of the Thesis ........................................................................................ 6 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW ................................................................ 7 2.1 Factors Causing Instability .............................................................................. 7 2.2 Types of Slip Surfaces..................................................................................... 8 2.3 Definition of FoS ........................................................................................... 10 2.4 Slope Stability Analysis Methods ................................................................. 12 2.4.1 Limit Analysis Method .......................................................................... 12 2.4.2 Variational Calculus Method ................................................................. 13 2.4.3 Strength Reduction Method ................................................................... 14 2.4.4 General Discussion on Limit Equilibrium Method ................................ 15 2.5 General Limit Equilibrium Method of Slices (GLE method) ....................... 19 vi 2.6 The Ordinary or Fellenius Method (OMS) ................................................... 20 2.7 Simplified Bishop’s Method ......................................................................... 21 2.8 Janbu’s Simplified Method ........................................................................... 22 2.9 Morgenstern-Price (M-P) Method ................................................................. 23 CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND SOFTWARE USED ... 27 3.1 Selection of Factor of safety method............................................................. 27 3.2 Morgenstern-Price Method ........................................................................... 28 3.3 Assumptions .................................................................................................. 29 3.4 Numerical Method Development .................................................................. 29 3.5 Derivation of Equations ................................................................................ 30 3.6 Structured Program ....................................................................................... 32 3.7 Numerical Algorithm .................................................................................... 33 3.8 Software and Programs Used ........................................................................ 34 3.8.1 SLOPE/W ............................................................................................. 34 3.8.2 MATLAB ............................................................................................... 36 CHAPTER FOUR: RESULTS AND DISCUSSION .................................................. 37 4.1 Introduction ................................................................................................... 37 4.2 Programme Test Examples............................................................................ 37 4.2.1 Toe Failure ............................................................................................. 37 4.2.2 Base Failure ........................................................................................... 42 4.3 Comparison with Cases from Literature ....................................................... 46 4.3.1 Case 1 ..................................................................................................... 46 4.3.2 Case 2 ..................................................................................................... 50 CHAPTER FIVE: CONCLUSIONS ........................................................................... 53 5.1 Conclusions ................................................................................................... 53 5.2 Recommendations ......................................................................................... 54 REFERENCES ............................................................................................................ 55 vii APPENDICES ............................................................................................................. 60 Appendix A: Structured Programme ........................................................................ 60 Appendix B: MATLAB Code for Solving FoS ....................................................... 63 viii LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1.1: Over 40 m high slope on the Ayi-Mensah-Aburi road 3 Figure 2.1: Types of circular slip failure surface 9 Figure 2.2: Typical non-circular slip surfaces 10 Figure 2.3: Various definitions for FoS 11 Figure 2.4: Swedish Slip Circle Method 16 Figure 2.5: Slice Discretization and Slice Forces in a Sliding Mass 17 Figure 2.6: Forces considered in the Ordinary Method of Slices 21 Figure 2.6: Forces considered in the Ordinary Method of Slices 22 Figure 2.8: Forces considered in the M-P method 24 Figure 2.9: Inter-slice force function types 25 Figure 2.10: Variation of FoS with respect to Fm and Ff vs. λ for the M-P method 26 Figure 3.1: Sketch of a Slope Section 30 Figure 3.2: Forces acting on a Single Slice from a Mass Slope 31 Figure 3.3: Algorithm flowchart for solving for the FoS 33 Figure 3.4: SLOPE/W KeyIn Analyses Page 35 Figure 3.5: SLOPE/W KeyIn Material Page 35 Figure 3.6: SLOPE/W KeyIn Entry and Exit Range Page 36 Figure 4.1: SLOPE/W Output of Toe Failure: Case 1 38 Figure 4.2: MATLAB Output of Toe Failure: Case 1 39 Figure 4.3: SLOPE/W Output for Toe Failure: Case 2 40 ix Figure 4.4: MATLAB Output for Toe Failure: Case 2 41 Figure 4.5: SLOPE/W Output for Base Failure: Case 42 Figure 4.6: MATLAB Output for Base Failure: Case 1 43 Figure 4.7: SLOPE/W Output for Base Failure: Case 2 44 Figure 4.8: MATLAB Output for Base Failure: Case 2 45 Figure 4.9: Homogeneous Slope without Foundation 46 Figure 4.10: Analysis using SLOPE/W - FoS = 1.385 47 Figure.4.11: FoS based on M-P approach for Toe failure - FoS = 1.451 48 Figure 4.12: FoS based on M-P approach for Base Failure: FoS = 1.375 49 Figure 4.13: Slope Model Geometry from Slide 3. 50 Figure 4.14: FoS based on M-P Approach for ACAD Problem 51 x LIST OF TABLES Table 2.1: The Main Limit Equilibrium Methods 18 Table 3.1: Brief Comparison of Limit Equilibrium Methods 27 Table 4.1: Slope Dimensions and Material Properties for Toe Failure: Case 1 38 Table 4.2: Slope Dimensions and Material Properties for Toe Failure: Case 2 40 Table 4.3: Slope Dimensions and Material Properties for Base Failure: Case 1 42 Table 4.4: Slope Dimensions and Material Properties for Base Failure: Case 2 44 Table 4.5: Slope dimensions and material properties 46 Table 4.6: Slope Dimensions and Material Properties for ACAD Problem 50 Table 5.1: Summary of FoS Outputs for all Case Studies. 53 xi LIST OF SYMBOLS AND ABBREVIATIONS A cross-sectional area of slice dx width of slice l length of the bottom of the slice c cohesion of soil G total unit weight of soil τf shear strength τ shear stress γw unit weight of water  angle of internal friction of soil α inclination from horizontal of the bottom of the slice (degrees) cal cos(α) sal sin(α) tph tan() H Height of slope N total normal force on the bottom of the slice S shear force on the bottom of the slice W weight of the slice havg = average height of slice u pore water pressure xii ∆X shear component of the inter-slice force ∆E inter-slice force on the downslope of the slice ns number of slice faces FoS factor of safety F assumed factor of safety Ff force factor of safety Fm moment factor of safety Xc x coordinate of centre of slip circle Yc y coordinate of centre of slip circle R Radius of slip circle ytop Ground surface ybot Slope surface FSom Factor of Safety for Ordinary Method of Slices FFm Moment Factor of Safety for Morgentern-Price Method of Slices FFf Force Factor of Safety for Morgentern-Price Method of Slices F(x) Interslice force function λ Scale factor of the assumed f(x) xiii CHAPTER ONE: INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background Slope stability is the potential for ground slopes to resist movement [1]. Slope instability has been the subject of continued concern because of the tremendous loss of life, property and infrastructure caused annually in many places in the world [2]. In the field of construction, slope instability can occur due to rainfall, increasing the water table, and the change in stress conditions. Similarly, tracks of land that have been stable for years may suddenly fail due to changes in the geometry, external forces and loss of shear strength [3]. Slope failures, also called slides or landslides, whether sudden or gradual, are due to the increased stress of slope materials or foundations compared with their mobilized strength [3]. The majority of the slope stability analyses performed in practice still use traditional limit equilibrium approaches involving the method of slices, and has remained virtually unchanged for decades. Analysis of the slope stability is carried out to assess the safety of artificial or natural slopes (e.g., dams, road cuts, mining open pit excavations and landfills). For human made slopes, analysis of slope stability is used to evaluate various design options, which then provides a basis for a form of engineering design with associated costing comparisons. The efficient engineering of natural and artificial slopes has therefore become a common challenge faced by both researchers and practitioners. Slope stability assessment mainly involves the use of the factor of safety (FoS) method to determine how close a given slope is to the onset of instability, or to what extent the state of the slope is from failure. 1 When this ratio is well above 1, the resistance to shear failure is generally higher than the driving shear stress, and the slope is considered stable. When this ratio is near to 1, the shear strength is almost equal to the shear stress, and the slope is close to failure. If the FoS is less than 1, the slope is considered to have failed, or considered to be trigger- point ready [4]. Ghana is not noted to be a frequent serious victim of mass movement (slope failures). It is, however, noteworthy that Ghana has not been without slope failures. In Ref. [5], reference is made of a slope failure which occurred in 1968 near Jamasi in the Sekyere District involving about 1,500 cubic meters of rock, soil and vegetation. The failure blocked the main Kumasi-Mampong truck road for a total of ten days. Reference is also made in Refs. [6 & 7] on potential slope failures on the stretch of the Accra-Aburi road, when rocks began to fall unhindered onto the road in 2014. Furthermore, Ref. [8] notes that in 2013 after a heavy downpour of rain, loose parts of the Akoaso Mountain fell and blocked the Kasoa-Weija portions of the road, resulting in a significant traffic jam for hours. These recent records of slope instability in the country have served as a wakeup call for researchers and practicing engineers to take a critical look at this issue. 2 Figure 1.1: Over 40 m high slope on the Ayi-Mensah-Aburi road 1.2 Problem Statement In an attempt to build cheap and yet the safe structures (i.e., roads, living apartments, etc.) for man-kind, we are most times faced with building in valleys and on mountains. Either way, we are faced with the problem of slope instability. In the past decades, computer software for slope stability analysis and design have been developed and marketed extensively. These commercial software, which have been developed over many years, are able to perform rigorous stability calculations, and give fast and accurate answers to complex slope stability problems. These software have become widely accepted in industry, and are now part of most large design engineering offices. These software are, however, expensive and normally require the annual renewal of licenses. Notwithstanding, their wide acceptance in industry, most Ghanaian geotechnical engineers still resort to the use of the rule of thumb slope stability analysis methods, and old charts for their daily slope stability analysis. This is 3 due to the relatively high cost of these commercial software, and the limited financial capacity of local engineering firms. This has created a gap between local and international engineers, and has resulted in major geotechnical engineering projects involving complex slope instability problems being awarded to international firms, rather than local engineering firms. 1.3 Relevance and Justification of Study Landslides, rock falls, and mass movement of any kind, are undoubtedly, one of the oldest natural disasters that have resulted in huge damages, loss of lives, and a great deal of pain to mankind. Like other mountainous countries, Ghana has large variations in its topography. The impending threat of landslides in the case of [5 or 6], or rock falls in the case of [7] is now accepted as life threating, and the need for these slopes to be properly engineered is critical. It has been already noted that the available commercial slope stability programs that are extensive slope stability analysis are very expensive and require purchasing yearly licenses. This has necessitated the need to develop a simple, yet efficient slope stability program, that can be easily accessed by local engineers to appraise local slope stability problems using the most rigorous and accurate methods available. This research initiative uses MATLAB, (a commercially available, and easily accessible computing platform with great user-friendly interface) using General Limit Equilibrium method (GLE) and adopting the Morgenstern-Price FoS to develop a cheap and efficient, yet effective model for slope stability analysis and design. 4 1.4 Research Goal The goal of this thesis is to develop and implement a slope stability numerical model that will aid local geotechnical engineers to readily appraise the stability of slopes in local practice. 1.5 Research Objectives The objectives of the research are to:  Develop a physical model to represent the problem  Develop mathematical equations to solve the problem  Develop a numerical algorithm and write a code to solve for the FoS of earth slopes.  Verify and validate the code using Geoslope International’s SLOPE/W commercial slope stability programme. 1.6 Scope For the purpose of this study, this thesis is limited to the development of a slope stability programme for homogenous soil and rock media. In this regard, the goal of the study is to develop the generic algorithm for slope stability analysis. Furthermore, similar to the existing commercial programmes, the study is limited to two-dimensional slope stability problems. 5 1.7 Format of the Thesis Following the introduction to slope stability problems in Chapter 1, a detailed literature review of the methods of slope stability analysis is provided in Chapter 2. Chapter 3 then presents the proposed solution method for calculating the factor of safety, in which the GLE method is explained, and the solution algorithm developed. Chapter 4 presents sample results from the developed MATLAB code. It presents comparisons between the results of the developed code and results from the commercial slope stability programme, SLOPE/W. Chapter 5 finally presents the conclusions of the study, and also provides recommendations for further studies. 6 CHAPTER TWO: LITERATURE REVIEW Analysis of slope stability problem is an important subject area in geotechnical engineering. The phenomenon of landslides and related slope instability is a problem in many parts of the world. Slope failure mechanisms and the geological history of a slope can be very complicated problems and required complex forms of analyses. 2.1 Factors Causing Instability The failure of the slopes occurs when the downward movements of soil or rock material because of gravity and other factors, creates shear stresses that exceed the inherent shear strength of the material. Therefore, factors that tend to increase the shear stress or decrease the shear strength of a material increases the risk of the failure of a slope. Various processes can lead to a reduction of the shear strength of a soil/rock mass. These include: increased pore pressure, cracking, swelling, decomposition of argillaceous rock fills, creep under sustained loads, leaching, softening, weather and cyclic loading, among others. On the other hand, shear stress within a rock/soil mass may increase due to additional loads on top of the slope, and increase in water pressure due to cracks at the top of the slope, an increase in the weight of soil due to increasing water content, the excavation of the base of the slope, and seismic effects. Furthermore, additional factors that contribute to the failure of a slope include the rock/soil mass properties, slope geometry, state of stress, temperature, erosion, etc. The presence of water is the most critical factor that affects the stability of slopes. This is because it increases both the driving shear stress, and also decreases the soil/rock mass’ shear strength. The speed of sliding movement in a slope failure can vary from 7 a few millimeters per hour to very fast slides where great changes have occurred within seconds. Slow slides occur in soils with a plastic stress-strain characteristics, where there is no loss of strength with increased strain. Fast slides occurs in situations where there is a sudden loss of strength, as in the liquefaction of sensitive clay or fine sand. Increase in shear stresses across the soil mass result in movement only when the shear strength mobilized on given possible failure surface in the ground is less than the driving shear stresses along that surface. 2.2 Types of Slip Surfaces To calculate the FoS of a slope, it is always assumed that the slope is failing in some shape, normally in a circular or non-circular shape. For computational simplicity, the slide surface is often seen as circular or composed of several straight lines [9]. Different sliding surfaces are normally assumed with the computation of a corresponding FoS. The sliding surface with the minimum FoS is then selected as the FoS of the slope in question. A circular sliding surface, like that shown in Figure 2.1, is often used because it is suitable to sum the moments about a centre. The use of a circle also simplifies the calculations. Wedge-like surfaces have their failure mechanisms defined by three or more straight line segments defining an active area, central block, and the passive area as shown in Figure 2.2. This type of sliding surface can be used for analysis of slopes where the critical potential sliding surface comprises a relatively long linear sector through low material bounded by a stronger material. As noted above, the critical slip surface is the surface with the lowest factor of safety. The critical slip surface for a given problem analysed by a given method, is found by a 8 systematic procedure to generate sliding test surfaces until the one with the minimum safety factor is found [9]. Figure 2.1: Types of circular slip failure surface [3] 9 Figure 2.2: Typical non-circular slip surfaces [9] 2.3 Definition of FoS FoS is usually defined as the ratio of the ultimate shear strength to the shear stress mobilized at imminent failure. There are several ways to formulate the FoS, The most common formulation assumes the safety factor to be constant along the sliding surface, and it is defined in relation to limit equilibrium, force and moment equilibrium [4]. 10 These definitions are given in Figure 2.3 below. As will be developed further in the limit equilibrium method, the first definition is based on the shear strength which can be obtained in two ways: a total stress approach (su‐analysis) and an effective stress approach (c’- φ’ −analysis). The type of strength consideration depends on the soil type, the loading conditions and the time elapsed after excavation. The total stress strength method is used for short–term conditions in cohesive soils, whereas, the effective stress method is used in long- term conditions in all soil types, or in short-term conditions in cohesive soils where the pore pressure is known [3]. Figure 2.3: Various definitions for FoS [3] 11 2.4 Slope Stability Analysis Methods Slope stability problems deal with the condition of ultimate failure of a soil or rock mass. Analyses of slope stability, bearing capacity and earth pressure problems, all fall into this area. The stability of a slope can be analysed by a number of methods, among others of which are the:  Limit analysis method,  Variational calculus method,  Strength reduction method and  Limit equilibrium method, 2.4.1 Limit Analysis Method The limit analysis method theory is based on a rigid-perfectly plastic model material. Drucker and Prager [10] first formulated and introduced the upper and lower bound plasticity theorems for soil/rock masses. The general analysis process includes construction of a statically admissible stress field for the lower-bound analysis, or a kinematically admissible velocity field for the upper- bound analysis. For both upper- and lower-bound analysis, one of the following two conditions has to be satisfied:  Geometrical compatibility between internal and external displacements or strains. This is usually concerned with kinetic conditions – velocities must be compatible to ensure no gain or loss of material at any point.  Stress equilibrium, i.e., the internal stress fields must balance the externally applied stresses (forces). 12 The basis of limit analysis rests upon two theorems, which can be proved mathematically. In simple terms, these theorems are:  Lower Bound: any stress system in which the applied forces are just sufficient to cause yielding.  Upper Bound: Any velocity field that can operate is associated with an upper bound solution. The lower- bound approach has been used in 2D slope stability analysis by Zhang [11] and Kim et al. [12]. The upper-bound approach was first used in 2D slope stability analysis by Drucker and Prager [10] to determine the critical height of a slope. Subsequently, Refs. [13, 14 & 15] also applied and extended the upper-bound approaches in 2D slope analysis. Michalowski [16] proposed an upper-bound approach based on a translational failure mechanism. The vertical slice techniques, which are often used in traditional limit equilibrium approaches, were employed to satisfy the force equilibrium condition for all individual slices. Two extreme kinematical solutions neglecting the inter-slice strength, or fully utilizing the inter-slice strength of the soil were then obtained. The traditional limit equilibrium solutions for slices with a proper implicit assumption of failure mechanism can fall into the range of these two extremes. Donald and Chen [17] also presented an upper-bound method on the basis of a multi- wedge failure mechanism, in which the sliding body was divided into a small number of discrete blocks. 2.4.2 Variational Calculus Method The variational calculus approach does not require assumptions on the inter-slice forces. It was first used for 2D stability analysis by Baker and Garber [18]. This 13 approach was subsequently employed by Jong [19] for vertical-cut analysis in cohesive directionless soils. Cheng, et al. [20] also used it in their research where they developed a numerical algorithm based on the extremum principle by Pan [21]. The formulation which relies on the use of a modern try and error optimization method and can be viewed as an equivalent form of the variational method in a discretized form, but is applicable for a complicated real life problem. 2.4.3 Strength Reduction Method In recent decades, there have been great developments in the area of the strength reduction method (SRM) for slope stability analysis. The general procedure of the SRM analysis is the reduction of the strength parameters by the FoS, while the body forces (due to the weight of soil and other external loads) are applied until the system cannot maintain a stable state. This procedure can determine the FoS within a single framework, for both two and three-dimensional slopes. The main advantages of the SRM are as follows;  The critical failure surface is automatically determined from the application of gravity loads and/or the reduction of shear strength,  It requires no assumption about the distribution of the inter-slice shear forces,  It is applicable to many complex conditions, and,  It can give information such as stresses, movements (deformations) and pore pressures. One of the main disadvantages of the SRM is the long time required to develop the computer model and to perform the analysis to arrive at a solution. With the 14 development of computer hardware and software, 2D -SRM can now be done in a reasonable amount of time suitable for routine analysis and design. This technique is also adopted in several well-known commercially available geotechnical finite element or finite difference programs. In strength reduction analysis, the convergence criterion is the most critical factor in the assessment of the FoS. Investigation results show that; the FoS obtained and the corresponding slip surface determined by the SRM, demonstrate good agreement with the results of the Limit Equilibrium Method (LEM). 2.4.4 General Discussion on Limit Equilibrium Method 2.4.4.1 Swedish Slip Circle Method of Analysis The Swedish Slip Circle method assumes that the friction angle of the soil or rock is zero. In other words, when angle of friction is considered to be zero, the effective stress term tends to zero, which is therefore equivalent to the shear cohesion parameter of the given soil. The Swedish slip circle method assumes a circular failure interface, and analyses stress and strength parameters using circular geometry and statics as shown in Figure 2.4. The moment caused by the internal driving forces of a slope is compared with the moment caused by resisting forces in the sliding mass. If forces resisting movement are greater than the forces tending to cause movement, then the slope is assumed to be stable. 15 Figure 2.4: Swedish Slip Circle Method [3] 2.4.4.2 Method of Slices Despite all the above methods, limit equilibrium methods are by far the most used form of analysis for slope stability studies. They are the oldest best-known numerical technique in geotechnical engineering. These methods involve cutting the slope into fine slices so that their base can be comparable with a straight line. The governing equilibrium equations equilibrium of the forces and/or moments, Figure 2.5 are then developed. According to the assumptions made on the efforts between the slices and the equilibrium equations considered, many alternatives have been proposed in Table 2.1. They give, in most cases, quite similar results. The differences between the values of the FoS obtained with the various methods are generally below 6% [22]. 16 Figure 2.5: Slice Discretization and Slice Forces in a Sliding Mass [23.24] The idea of dividing a potential sliding mass into slices dates back to the early 1900’s. The first documented use of the method of slices is the analysis of the 1916 failure at the Stigberg Quay in Gothenburg, Sweden [25]. This Limit Equilibrium method is well known to be a statically indeterminate problem and assumptions about the inter-slice shear forces are needed to make the problem statically determinate. On the basis of the assumptions on the internal forces and the force and/or moment equilibrium, there are more than ten methods developed for analysis of slope stability problems [26]. Famous methods include those by Fellenius [27], Bishop [28], Janbu [29, 30], Spencer [31], Morgenstern-Price [32] and the General Limit Equilibrium (GLE) [25]. Table 2.1 shows the differences between the various methods of stability analysis, on the basis of forces and moments equilibrium. 17 Table 2.1: The Main Limit Equilibrium Methods [5] Inter Inter Moment Force Moment Force Slice Slice Inter Slice No Methods Factor of Factor of Equilibrium Equilibrium Normal Shear Force Function Safety Safety Forces Forces Fellenius, Swedish Circle or 1 Yes No No No Yes No No Ordinary Method (1936) 2 Bishop Simplified (1955) Yes No Yes No Yes No No 3 Janbu Simplified (1954) No Yes Yes No No Yes No 4 Spencer Method (1967) Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Constant Constant Half- Sine Morgenstern-Price Method 5 Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Clipped-Sine (1965) Trapezoidal Specified 18 All limit equilibrium methods utilise the Mohr‐Coulomb criterion to determine the shear strength (τf) along the sliding surface. The mobilised shear stress at which a soil fails in shear is defined as the shear strength of the soil. According to Janbu [29], a state of limit equilibrium exists when the mobilised shear stress (τ) is expressed as a fraction of the shear strength. Nash [33] states that, at the moment of failure, the shear strength is fully mobilised along the failure surface when the critical state conditions are reached. The shear strength is usually expressed by the Mohr‐ Coulomb linear relationship as: 𝑓 = 𝑐 + tan(⁡ ) (2.1) and ⁡ = ⁡ 𝜏𝑓/𝐹𝑜𝑆 (2.2) where c is the soil cohesion and  is the soil frictional angle. The strength of the soil available depends partially on the type of soil and the normal stresses acting on it. The mobilized shear strength on the other hand depends on the external forces acting on the soil mass. This defines the FoS as a ratio of the τf to τ in a limit equilibrium analysis [30], as defined in Equation 2.2. 2.5 General Limit Equilibrium Method of Slices (GLE method) The GLE formulation was developed by Fredlund at the University of Saskatechewan [34, 35]. This method encompasses the key elements of all the other methods of slices (the Ordinary, Bishop’s, Janbu and M-P methods). The GLE formulation is based on two factors of safety equations. One equation gives the factor of safety with respect to 19 moment equilibrium, Fm (Equation 2.3) while the other equation gives the factor of safety with respect to horizontal force equilibrium, Ff (Equation 2.4). 𝑐∗𝑙∗𝑅∗𝑊∗cos[𝛼𝑖]−μl)∗𝑅∗tan[𝜙]𝐹𝑚 = ∑ (2.3) 𝑊∗𝑥 𝑐∗𝑙∗cos[𝛼𝑖]+(𝑁𝑖−μ𝑙)∗tan[𝜙]∗cos[𝛼𝑖]𝐹𝑓 = ∑ (2.4) 𝑁𝑖∗sin[𝛼𝑖] Where, l is the length of the bottom of the slice, R is the radius of the slip circle, W is the weight of slice, Ni is the total normal force on the bottom of the slice, c is the soil cohesion, µ⁡is the pore water pressure, α is the inclination of the slip surface at the middle of the slice. 2.6 The Ordinary or Fellenius Method (OMS) The ordinary method is considered the simplest of the methods of slices since it is the only procedure that results in a linear factor of safety equation. It is generally stated that the inter-slice forces can be neglected because they are parallel to the base of each slice [26]. This notwithstanding, the Newton's principle of 'action equals reaction' is not satisfied between slices. The change in direction of the resultant inter-slice forces from one slice to the next results in factor of safety errors that may be as much as 60% [37]. The normal force on the base of each slice is derived either from summation of forces perpendicular to the base or from the summation of forces in the vertical and horizontal directions. The forces considered to act in this method are represented in Figure 2.6 below. The FoS is based on moment equilibrium and computed as: 20 Figure 2.6: Forces considered in the Ordinary Method of Slices 𝑐∗𝑙+𝑁∗tan⁡() 𝐹𝑚 = (2.5) 𝑊∗sin⁡(𝛼) N⁡ = ⁡W ∗ cos(α)⁡– ⁡µ*l (2.6) where W is the weight of each slice µ⁡is the pore water pressure, l is the base length of the slice, α is the inclination of the slip surface at the middle of the slice. 2.7 Simplified Bishop’s Method The simplified Bishop method neglects the inter-slice shear forces and thus assumes that a normal or horizontal force adequately defines the inter-slice forces as shown in Figure 2.7 below. The normal force on the base of each slice is derived by summing forces in a vertical direction. The factor of safety is derived from the summation of moments about a common point as in OMS since the inter-slice forces cancel out. Therefore, the factor of safety equation is the same as for the ordinary method [28]. 21 However, the definition of the normal force is different. The FoS is based on moment equilibrium and computed as: Figure 2.7: Forces considered in the Simplified Bishop’s Method 𝑐∗𝑙+𝑁∗tan⁡() 𝐹𝑚 = (2.7) 𝑊∗x 𝑐∗𝑙∗sin[𝛼𝑖]−𝑢∗𝑙∗sin[𝛼𝑖]∗tan[𝜙]𝑊−[ ] 𝑁 = 𝐹𝑚𝑖 sin[𝛼𝑖]∗tan[𝜙] (2.8) Cos[𝛼𝑖]+ 𝐹𝑚 where ‘x’ is the horizontal distance from the mid-base of the slice to the centre of rotation. As can be seen in the equation above, the expression is nonlinear due to the appearance of Fm in both sides of the equation and will require an iterative procedure to reach a solution. 2.8 Janbu’s Simplified Method In Janbu's simplified method, the normal force in each slice is derived from the summation of vertical forces, with the inter-slice shear forces ignored. The horizontal force equilibrium equation is used to derive the factor of safety. The sum of the inter- slice forces must cancel and FoS equation becomes; 22 𝑐∗𝑙∗sin[𝛼𝑖]−𝑢∗𝑙∗sin[𝛼𝑖]∗tan[𝜙]𝑊−[ ] 𝑁 𝐹𝑓𝑖 = sin[𝛼𝑖]∗tan[𝜙] (2.9) Cos[𝛼𝑖]+ 𝐹𝑓 𝑐∗𝑙∗cos(𝛼)+(𝑁𝑖−⁡μ∗𝑙)∗cos⁡(𝛼)∗tan⁡() 𝐹𝑓 =⁡∑ (2.10) 𝑁𝑖∗sin⁡(α) 2.9 Morgenstern-Price (M-P) Method This has become the most widely used method developed for analysing generalized failure surfaces. The method was initially described by Morgenstern and Price [36]. The Morgenstern‐Price method also satisfies both force and moment equilibriums and the overall problem is made determinate by assuming a functional relationship between the inter-slice shear force and the inter-slice normal force. According to Morgentern and price [32], the inter-slice force inclination can vary with an arbitrary function f(x) as: 𝑋𝑖 = 𝐸𝑖 ∗ ⁡λ ∗ f(x)⁡ (2.11) where, f(x) = inter-slice force function that varies continuously along the slip surface and λ = scale factor of the assumed function. The method suggests assuming any type of force function, f(x), for example half‐sine, trapezoidal or user defined as shown in Figure 2.9. The relationships for the base normal force (N) and inter-slice forces (E, X) are the same as given in Janbu’s generalised method. The forces considered to act in this method are represented in figure 2.8 below. For a given force function, the inter-slice forces and the Newton-Raphson numerical technique can be used to solve the moment and force equations for the FoS and  until, Ff is equals to Fm in equations (2.12) and (2.13) [33] below. 23 Figure 2.8: Forces considered in the M-P method [24] 𝑐∗𝑙∗cos[𝛼𝑖]+(𝑁𝑖−μ𝑙)∗tan[𝜙]∗cos[𝛼𝑖]𝐹𝑓 = ∑ (2.12) 𝑁𝑖∗sin[𝛼𝑖] 𝑐∗𝑙∗𝑅∗𝑊∗cos[𝛼𝑖]−μl)∗𝑅∗tan[𝜙]𝐹𝑚 = ∑ (2.13) 𝑊∗𝑥 where 𝑐∗𝑙∗sin[𝛼 ]−𝑢∗𝑙∗sin[𝛼 ]∗tan[𝜙] 𝑊−∆𝑋𝑖−[ 𝑖 𝑖 ] 𝑁 = 𝐹𝑖 sin[𝛼𝑖]∗tan[𝜙] (2.14) Cos[𝛼𝑖]+ 𝐹 F is Fm or Ff depending on which equilibrium equation is being solved. and ∆𝑋𝑖 =⁡∆𝐸𝑖 ∗ λ ∗ f(x) (2.15) 24 Figure 2.9: Inter-slice force function types An alternative derivation for the Morgenstern-Price method was proposed by Fredlund and Krahn in [34]. It presents a complete description of the variation of the factor of safety with respect to λ. On the first iteration, the vertical shear forces are set to zero. On subsequent iterations, the horizontal inter-slice forces are first computed and then the vertical shear forces are computed using an assumed λ value and side force function. Fm and Ff are solved for a range of λ values and a specified side force function. These 25 FoS are plotted on a graph as shown in Figure 2.10. The FoS vs. λ are fit by a second order polynomial regression and the point of intersection satisfies both force and moment equilibrium. Figure 2.10: Variation of FoS with respect to Fm and Ff vs. λ for the M-P method [34] 26 CHAPTER THREE: RESEARCH METHODOLOGY AND SOFTWARE USED 3.1 Selection of Factor of safety method There are different limit equilibrium methods having varying superiorities over each other as discussed in Chapter 2. Methods are based on different assumptions on equilibrium conditions to be satisfied. Duncan and Wright [24] summarized some of limit equilibrium methods with respect to their limitations, assumptions and equilibrium conditions to be satisfied as shown in Table 3.1. Table 3.1: Brief Comparison of Limit Equilibrium Methods [24]. Procedure Use Swedish circle method Applicable to slopes where = 0. Applicable to non-homogeneous slopes soils where slip surface can be Ordinary method of slices approximated by a circle. Very convenient for hand calculations. In accurate for effective stress analysis with high pore water pressure. Applicable to non-homogeneous slopes soils where slip surface can be approximated by a circle. More accurate than ordinary method of slices, Simplified Bishop method especially for analysis with high pore water pressures. Calculations feasible by hand or spreadsheet. An accurate procedure applicable to virtually all slope geometries and soil Spencer's method profiles. The simplest complete equilibrium procedure for computing FoS. An accurate procedure applicable to virtually all slope geometries and soil Morgenstern and Price's profiles. Rigorous, well-established complete equilibrium procedure. method Requires solution of nonlinear equations with an iterative procedure. The analysis and design of failing slopes requires an in-depth understanding of the failure mechanism in order to choose the right slope stability analysis method. In this research, as stated above, the slice approach for GLE procedure is used and the FoS according to the Morgenstern-Price’s procedure, which satisfies all the 27 requirements for static equilibrium is adopted. Regardless of whether equilibrium is considered for a single free body or a series of individual vertical slices, there are more unknowns (forces, locations of forces, factor of safety, etc.) than the number of equilibrium equations; the problem of computing a FoS is thus statically indeterminate. Therefore, assumptions must be made to achieve a balance of equations and unknowns. This method allows for analysis of any failure shape (circular, non-circular or compound). The solution for the (FoS) is derived from the summation of forces tangential and normal to the base of a slice and the summation of moments about the centre of the base of base slice. The steps required to provide the input data for performing the slope stability analysis include [37].  A survey of the elevation of the ground surface on a section perpendicular to the slope.  Estimation of ground stratigraphy from borehole logs and soil/rock properties from engineering soil/rock tests.  The determination of ground water level from piezometer readings to estimate ground water pore-water pressures. 3.2 Morgenstern-Price Method Morgenstern and Price [32] developed the method for FoS similar to the Spencer method [31]. The method considers both normal inter slice force and shear forces. Therefore it satisfies both moment and force equilibrium. 28 3.3 Assumptions To begin with the generalized formulation, the following assumptions are made for a body of mass slope: 1. The failure surface is assumed to be circular. 2. The soil/rock is a homogeneous. 3. The soil/rock is an isotropic material. 4. The failure mass is a rigid body. 5. The base normal force acts at the middle of each slice. 6. The Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion is used. 3.4 Numerical Method Development In this work, the geotechnical generalized method of slices approach, which is a form of the Finite Strip Method would be used for the computation of the Factor of Safety (FoS), which is a measure of the degree of safety of the slope. The Finite Strip Method is a variant form of the known differential equation numerical discretization approaches. It discretizes the equilibrium differential equation (based on slices) and imposes equilibrium boundary conditions at the ends to solve for the required unknowns. The method of slices method is a numerical approach used to solve the equilibrium differential equation at the limiting condition, i.e., at the point of slope failure. The method consists of dividing the slope into a number of fine slices so that their bases can be comparable with a straight line. The equilibrium differential equations are then developed for each slice, and then the global force and moment equilibrium problem solved numerically to obtain the FOS [24]. 29 This study will make available a locally developed slope stability program that would simulate the behaviour of a simple slope undergoing circular failure. The results from this work, which will include both factor of safety for moment and force equilibrium, will be visualized in the command window of MATLAB. 3.5 Derivation of Equations Figure 3.1. is a sketch of a slope section and Figure 3.2 is a sketch of a slice of mass from Figure 3.1 with the forces acting on it at the point of failure. By taking moment about the midpoint of the base of the slice in Figure 3.1; ′ ′ dy ′ ′ ′ ′ dy dx𝐸 [(𝑦 − 𝑦𝑡) − (− )] − (𝐸 + dE ) [𝑦 + dy − 𝑦𝑡 − dy𝑡 + ( )] − 𝑋 ( ) − (𝑋 +2 2 2 dx dX) ( ) = 0⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡ (3.1) 2 After simplification and proceeding to the limit as dx→0, it can be shown readily that; 𝑑(𝐸′.𝑦′𝑡) dE ′ 𝑋 = − 𝑦( ) (3.2) dx dx Figure 3.1: Sketch of a Slope Section [23]. 30 Figure 3.2: Forces acting on a Single Slice from a Mass Slope [24]. For equilibrium in the N direction, we have, from Figure 3.2; dN′ = dWcos[𝛼] − dXcos[𝛼] − dE′sin[𝛼]⁡ (3.3) For equilibrium in the S direction, we have from Figure 3.2; dS = dE′cos[𝛼] − dXsin[𝛼] + dWsin[𝛼]⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡⁡ (3.4) The Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion in terms of effective stresses may be expressed as; 1 dS = {𝑐′dxsec[𝛼] + (dN′)tan[𝜙′]}⁡ (3.5) 𝐹 Equation (3.5) defines the factor of safety in terms of shear strength. Eliminating dS from Equations (3.4) and (3.5); 1 [𝑐′dx⁡sec[𝛼] + (dN′)sin[𝜙′]] = dE′cos[𝛼] − dXsin[𝛼] + dWsin[𝛼] (3.6) 𝐹 By eliminating dN′ from Equations (3.3) and (3.6) and dividing by dxcos[𝛼], we have; 𝑐′ 2 tan[𝜙 ′] dW dX dE′ dE′ dX dW sec [𝛼] + [ − − tan[𝛼]] = − + tan[𝛼] (3.7) 𝐹 𝐹 dx dx dx dx dx dx dy In the specified co-ordinate system, tan[𝛼]=- and equation (3.7) becomes; dx 31 𝑐′ dy 2 tan[𝜙′] dW dX dE′ dy dE′ dX dW dy [1 + ( ) ] + [ − + ( )] = − − ( ) (3.8) 𝐹 dx 𝐹 dx dx dx dx dx dx dx dx Therefore, the governing differential equation becomes using equations (3.2); dE′ tan[𝜙′] dy dX tan[𝜙′] dy 𝑐′ dy ′] [1 − ( )] + [ + ] = [1 + ( )2 dW tan[𝜙 dy ] + [ + ](3.9) dx 𝑓 dx dx 𝐹 dx 𝐹 dx dx 𝐹 dx E’ and E’+dE’ are the horizontal inter-slice forces, X and X+dX are the vertical inter-slice forces, 𝜙′ is the effective friction angle, W is the weight of ith slice, dN and dS are resultants of the normal and tangential forces on the slice base of length li α is the inclination of the slice with respect to the horizontal. F is the factor of safety. The governing differential equation is developed for each slice, and summed up to develop the equilibrium equation for entire mass. Based on the assumption on the inter- slice forces as provided in Chapter 2, the various expressions for Fm, Ff, N, X & E for the different slices are computed. 3.6 Structured Program Below (Appendix A) is an algorithm developed to solve for the force and moment factor of safety’s (Ff and Fm) using the M-P method. 32 3.7 Numerical Algorithm Figure 3.3 shows the numerical algorithm used to solve the problem. Equation numbers referred to here are that from appendix A. Generate ytop Input H, and ybot eq Xc, Yc, R 1&2 Compute lb, W and alpha-eq 10, 7& 6 Input c and phi Compute FSom-eq 15 &16 Set lambda and initial FoS for the first iteration Compute N, FSm, FSf and ∆E-eq 17, 15, 16 &11. No Is FSm-FoS0'); % x coordinate of center of circle Yc = 7; %input ('Enter the y coordinate of center of slip circle: Yc should be greater than H'); % y coordinate of center of circle R = 8; %:5: Yc+10 % radius of center of slip circle fr = 45; % slope angle in degrees ns = 31; % number of slice faces G = 20; % unit weigh of soil c = 40; % cohesion of soil phi = 20; % frictional angle of soil (degrees) tph = tand(phi); % tangent of the frictional angle of soil tfr = tand(fr); % slope angle in gradient %% Slip surface generation xmin = Xc - sqrt(abs(R^2 - Yc^2)) % Exit point of slip circle xmax = Xc + sqrt(abs(R^2 - (Yc-H)^2)) % Entry point of slip circle x = linspace (xmin,xmax,ns)'; % Positions where the forces will be analyzed. ybot = Yc - sqrt(abs(R^2-(x-Xc).^2)); % Equation for generating slip circle %% Slope surface generation ytop = (x>=0).*(x<(H/tfr)).*(x*tfr) + (x>=(H/tfr)).*H; % Slope surface. equation of a line is used figure(1) hold on plot (x,ybot,'-r',x,ytop,'-r') xlabel ('Distance (m)') ylabel ('Elevation (m)') plot(reshape([x,x,x].',1,[]),reshape([ytop,ybot,ytop*NaN].',1,[])) hold off %% Other parameters hs = ytop-ybot; % Height at each node havg = (hs(1:end-1)+hs(2:end))/2; % 5) Average height of each slice xavg = abs(((x(1:end-1)+x(2:end))/2)-Xc); % midpoint distance of each slice. dx = (xmax-xmin)/(ns-1); % Width of each slice yb = (diff(ybot)); alpha = rad2deg(atan2(yb,dx)); % Slice angle. With atan2 the sign is clear. sal = sind(alpha); cal = cosd(alpha); A = dx.*havg; % 6) Area of each slice. W = G*A; % 7) Weight of each slice. s= R*sal; % offset f for non-circular slip surfaces l = dx. /cal; % 12) Length of the bottom of the slice, assuming straight border. u = 0; %% factor of safety computation upO = sum((c.*l) + (W.*cal*tph) - (u.*l*tph)); downO = sum(W.*sal); FSom = upO. /downO OFSm = FSom; NFSm = 1.2*FSom; %initial guessed F OFSf = FSom; NFSf = 1.2*FSom; Tol =0.001; t =-1:0.2:0; y=t'; 63 i=1; k=1; n=1; %: ns-1; for lbd=t; E (1) =0; d=1: ns-1; f=sind (((xavg (d)-xmin)/ (xmax-xmin))*180); X=E.*lbd.*f; while abs(OFSm-NFSm)>tol OFSm = NFSm; Nbu = ((W-X) - ((c.*l.*sal) - (u.*l.*tph.*sal)). /OFSm); Nbd = cal + (tph.*sal). /OFSm; Nob = Nbu. /Nbd; upb = sum((c.*l*R) + (Nob.*tph*R) - (u.*l*tph*R)); downb = sum(W.*xavg); FSm = upb. /downb; FSmm = ((FSm)) %./(ns-1)); NFSm = FSmm; FSM (i)=FSmm; end while abs(OFSf-NFSf)>tol OFSf = NFSf; Nju = ((W-X) - ((c.*l.*sal) - (u.*l.*tph.*sal)). /OFSf); Njd = cal + (tph.*sal). /OFSf; Noj = Nju. /Njd; upj = sum( (c.*l.*cal) + (tph*cal.*Noj) - (u.*l.*tph.*cal) ); downJ = sum(Noj.*sal); FSf = (upj. /downJ); FSf = (FSf) %./(ns-1)); NFSf = FSf; FSF (i)= FSf; end E = (((c.*l-u.*l.*tph).*cal). /OFSm) + (sal.*Nob)-((tph.*cal).*Nob./OFSm); E = (((c.*l-u.*l.*tph).*cal). /OFSm) + (sal.*Noj)-((tph.*cal).*Noj./OFSm); OFSm = FSom; OFSf = FSom; i=i+1; end fSM=FSM' fSF=FSF' figure(2) plot(y,fSM,'-r',y,fSF,'-b') %% finding intersection point [xi, yi] = polyxpoly(y, fSM, y, fSF); xlabel('lambda') ylabel('FoS') legend('FSm', 'FSf') mapshow(xi,yi,'DisplayType','point','Marker','o', 'MarkerEdgeColor','k'); axis normal strValues = strtrim(cellstr(num2str([xi yi],'(%0.3f,%0.3f)'))); text (xi,yi,strValues,'VerticalAlignment','bottom'); [xi yi] % Display intersection points 64