University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh UNIVERSITY OF GHANA QUADRATIC RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN WORKING CAPITAL MANAGEMENT AND THE PROFITABILITY OF LISTED MANUFACTURING COMPANIES IN GHANA BY YAW BAMFO-DEBRAH (10700592) A LONG ESSAY SUBMITTED TO THE UNIVERSITY OF GHANA, LEGON IN PARTIAL FULFILLMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THE AWARD OF A MASTER OF SCIENCE IN ACCOUNTING AND FINANCE AUGUST 2019 i University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh DECLARATION I, YAW BAMFO-DEBRAH thusly pronounce that this work is my own work towards the honor of the Master of science qualification and that, as far as I could possibly know, it contains no material recently distributed by someone else nor material which has been acknowledged for the honor of some other college degree, aside from where due affirmations has been made in the content. I bear sole responsibility for any shortcomings. ……………………………... ……………………….. YAW BAMFO-DEBRAH DATE (10700592) ii University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CERTIFICATION This is to guarantee that this long essay was duly supervised as per the procedures laid down by the University of Ghana. ……………………. …………………… DR. R. A. BEKOE DATE (SUPERVISOR) iii University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh DEDICATION This long essay is primarily dedicated to God Almighty. This work is likewise dedicated to my dear parents Mr. and Mrs. MANU-DEBRAH for supporting and empowering me all through my study. I am genuinely grateful for having both of you in my life. This work is additionally devoted to my sisters NANA YAA POKUAH-DEBRAH, MAME YAA POKUAH-DEBRAH and AKOSUA TAKYIWA-DEBRAH. iv University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh ACKNOWLEDGEMENT I would like to thank the Almighty God for His immense mercies and guidance throughout my studies. I wish to also recognize the massive commitment of my supervisor, Dr. R. A. BEKOE for her unparalleled tolerance, insightful guidance and ageless commitment all through the supervision of this work. I likewise recognize and appreciate the commitments and contributions of JOAN ESINAM AKOSUA AGBENYA and ADWOA FREMAH NTOSOUR-AMPONSEM who assisted me with the effectively culmination of this long exposition. v University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh TABLE OF CONTENT DECLARATION .................................................................................................................. ii CERTIFICATION ............................................................................................................... iii DEDICATION ..................................................................................................................... iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ..................................................................................................... v TABLE OF CONTENT ....................................................................................................... vi LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................................................. viii LIST OF FIGURES ............................................................................................................. ix ABSTRACT ......................................................................................................................... x CHAPTER ONE ................................................................................................................... 1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................................ 1 1.1 Background ................................................................................................................. 1 1.2 Rationale of the Study .................................................................................................. 2 1.3 Aim ............................................................................................................................. 3 1.4 Objectives .................................................................................................................... 3 1.5 Limitation of the Study ................................................................................................ 4 1.6 Plan of Dissertation ...................................................................................................... 4 1.7 Summary ..................................................................................................................... 4 CHAPTER TWO .................................................................................................................. 5 LITERATURE REVIEW ...................................................................................................... 5 2.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................. 5 2.2 Approaches to Working Capital Management .............................................................. 5 2.2.1 Defensive policy.................................................................................................... 5 2.2.2 Aggressive Policy .................................................................................................. 6 2.2.3 Conservative Approach ......................................................................................... 7 2.3 Review of Empirical Literature .................................................................................... 7 2.3.1 Research on Linear Connection between Working Capital Management and Firm Performance .......................................................................................................... 7 2.3.2 Research on the quadratic connection between Working Capital management and Firm Performance................................................................................................ 16 2.3 Summary ................................................................................................................... 18 vi University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CHAPTER THREE ............................................................................................................. 19 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY......................................................................................... 19 3.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 19 3.2 Research Approach .................................................................................................... 19 3.3 Data Source and Sample Selection ............................................................................. 19 3.4 Measurement of Estimation Variables ........................................................................ 20 3.5 Empirical Estimation Models ..................................................................................... 21 3.6 Summary Statistics and Correlation Analysis ............................................................. 21 3.6.1 Descriptive Statistics ........................................................................................... 21 3.6.2 Correlation Analysis ............................................................................................ 22 3.7 Methodological Issues ............................................................................................... 23 3.8 Summary ................................................................................................................... 23 CHAPTER FOUR ............................................................................................................... 24 PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF RESULTS .......................................................... 24 4.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 24 4.2 Cash Conversion Cycle and Profitability .................................................................... 24 4.3 Components of Cash Conversion Cycle and Profitability ........................................... 26 4.3.1 Receivable Period and Profitability ...................................................................... 26 4.3.2 Inventory Period and Profitability ........................................................................ 28 4.3.3 Payable Period and Profitability .......................................................................... 30 4.4 Optimal Working Capital Policies .............................................................................. 32 4.5 Summary ................................................................................................................... 38 CHAPTER FIVE ................................................................................................................ 39 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ............................................................... 39 5.1 Introduction ............................................................................................................... 39 5.2 Summary ................................................................................................................... 39 5.3 Recommendations...................................................................................................... 40 REFERENCES ................................................................................................................... 42 vii University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh LIST OF TABLES Table 3.1 Descriptive Statistics…..........................................................................................22 Table 3.2 Correlation Matrix..................................................................................................23 Table 4.1 Regression 1 Results…………..............................................................................25 Table 4.2 Hausman Test 1……………….............................................................................25 Table 4.3 Regression 2 Results.............................................................................................27 Table 4.4 Hausman Test 2………………............................................................................27 Table 4.5 Regression 3 Results............................................................................................29 Table 4.6 Hausman Test 3………………...........................................................................29 Table 4.7 Regression 4 Results...........................................................................................31 Table 4.8 Hausman Test 4.………………..........................................................................31 Table 4.9 Roots and Turning Points....................................................................................33 viii University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1.1 Maximum Quadratic Relationship Illustration ..................................................2 Figure 4.1 NPM-RP Quadratic Relationship Curve…………...........................................34 Figure 4.2 NPM-IP Quadratic Relationship Curve……....................................................35 Figure 4.3 NPM-PP Quadratic Relationship Curve...........................................................36 Figure 4.4 NPM-CCC Quadratic Relationship Curve........................................................37 ix University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh ABSTRACT As of late, analysts have led concentrates to explore the straight connection that may exist between working capital administration and profitability. Some researchers have discovered a positive linear connection between working capital administration and profitability while others have discovered a negative straight connection between working capital and profitability. A couple of different specialists have likewise discovered blended outcomes with regards to the connection between working capital administration and profitability. Is it possible that the researchers finding a positive linear connection between working capital administration and profitability are seeing one side of a maximum quadratic curve while the studies that found a negative straight connection are also taking a gander at the opposite side? This study consequently looks to analyze the quadratic connection that may exist between working capital administration and profitability and furthermore endeavor to determine the ideal working capital policies that would guarantee greatest profitability. Listed manufacturing companies in Ghana were the entities used for this study. The study considered the audited annual financial statements of these entities from 2006 to 2015. The results of the investigation revealed that there is a quadratic connection between working capital management and profitability and that there is an optimum cash conversion cycle period, receivables collection period, inventory turnover period and payables payment period that would have maximum positive impact on profitability measured by net profit margin. x University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background Over the years, countless number of articles have been published on the impact of working capital management on business profitability. The majority of these articles investigated the linear connection that may exist between working capital management and profitability. Kasozi (2017), Jakpar et al (2017), Akoto et al (2013) and others under took similar studies and discovered a positive linear connection between working capital management and profitability. These researchers attributed the positive influence of working capital management on profitability to potential increase in sales as a result of increase in credit period to customers. They also mentioned that elimination of stock out which catalyses low production can also be achieved by keeping high levels of inventory. Likely discounts from suppliers who are paid quickly was another reason given for the positive linear relationship between working capital management and profitability. These researchers also asserted that default risk is reduced when high levels of current assets relative to current liabilities are kept because there would be more than enough current assets to defray short term liabilities (Vishnani and Shah, 2007). On the other hand, Raheman & Nasr (2007), Gill, Biger & Mathur (2010), Mathuva (2010) and some others found a negative linear connection between working capital and profitability. These researchers argued that keeping high levels of current assets result in locked up funds. Funds held in receivables do not yield returns with time and therefore loss value. Having high levels of receivables also increase the risk of experiencing rampant bad debts which negatively impact profitability. The findings of these researchers have advocated the aggressive approach to working capital management which says that it is better to fund short term assets with short 1 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh term liabilities because short term liabilities are generally cheaper than long term liabilities (Andrew and Gallagher, 2000). Why are some researchers finding a negative linear connection between working capital management and profitability and others finding a positive linear connection between working capital management and profitability? Are these researchers looking at different sides of a curve (see figure 1.1)? Is there an optimum cash conversion cycle period for maximum profitability? Figure 1.1 Maximum Quadratic Relationship Illustration ProfitabPilirtyo fi Cycle Period Red area- The red area signifies the area of positive connection between cycle period and profitability. Blue area- The blue area signifies the area of negative connection between cycle period and profitability. 1.2 Rationale of the Study A study was made on 160 companies listed on the alternative investment market to ascertain how working capital level influence SME profitability (Afrifa et al, 2016). According to Afrifa et al (2016), there is a quadratic connection between working capital level and profitability and 2 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh that there is an optimal working capital level at which SMEs can maximize their profitability. Abdul-Hamid et al (2017) also recently tried to address the above questions by studying the quadratic connection between working capital management and firm performance. Their study considered 75 non-financial firms listed on the Nigerian stock exchange from 2007 to 2015. This study concluded that the connection between working capital management and profitability is quadratic. This is to suggest that an optimal level of investment in working capital exists. A general recommendation made by Abdul-Hamid et al (2017) was that more studies should be conducted to further understand the quadratic connection between working capital management and profitability, hence the justification for the study. 1.3 Aim The general objective of the study is to investigate the quadratic connection that may exist between working capital management and the profitability of listed manufacturing firms in Ghana. 1.4 Objectives The study seeks to: 1. Examine the quadratic connection that may exist between cash conversion cycle and profitability of listed manufacturing companies in Ghana 2. Examine the quadratic connection that may exist between the various components of cash conversion cycle and the profitability of listed manufacturing companies in Ghana 3. Determine the roots and turning points of the quadratic functions estimated in objective 1 and 2. 3 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 1.5 Limitation of the Study The study has a few limitations which will be elaborated in this section. Firstly, the study is limited by geography. The study only considers entities in Ghana and therefore results from this study cannot be generalized beyond Ghana. The second limitation is that the study considers only manufacturing companies in Ghana. This makes the results of this study industry specific. The results of this study can only therefore be associated with manufacturing concerns. 1.6 Plan of Dissertation The organization of the remaining chapters of this long essay will be described in this section. Chapter 2 contains a discussion of the various approaches to working capital management and empirical literature pertinent to the area of study. Chapter 3 spells out the research approach, Data source and sampling, estimation variables and methods and a statistical description of empirical data. Chapter 4 presents analysis of data as well as a discussion of the findings and discoveries that were made in the course of the analysis. Lastly, chapter 5 concludes the discourse and gives recommendations for further studies. 1.7 Summary This chapter discusses the background and rational of this study. The chapter also spells out the general aim and specific objectives of the research. The limitation of the study as well as a description of the outline of the dissertation can also be found in this chapter. The next chapter reviews the various approaches to working capital management and empirical literature to support the gap identified in section 1.2. 4 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1 Introduction In this chapter, the ways to deal with working capital management as it identifies with profitability are discussed. Additionally, the findings of other researchers who have conducted similar studies in other jurisdictions and populations have also been reviewed. 2.2 Approaches to Working Capital Management Working capital administration approach can be best depicted as a system which gives the rule to deal with the present resources and current liabilities in a manner that lessens the danger of default (Brian, 2009). Working capital approach is for the most part centered around making enough short term resources accessible so as to meet short term obligations. When the level of liquidity is excessively high, an organization has a lot of inactive assets and will have to shoulder the cost of these inert assets. Be that as it may, in the event that the liquidity is excessively low, the company will face scarcity of assets to meet its short term obligations (Vishnani and Shah, 2007). Short term resources are key parts of working capital and the working capital policy also relies upon the level of short term resources against the level of current liabilities (Afza and Nazir, 2007). Accounting and finance literature by and large classify working capital strategy into three categories (Arnold, 2008). 2.2.1 Defensive policy An organization pursues defensive strategy by utilizing long haul obligations and equity to back its long term resources and major portions of short term assets. Accordingly, such an organization encounters extremely low risks as there will be all that could possibly be needed to settle current liabilities. This methodology consequently influences profitability in light of 5 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh the fact that long haul obligations offers high loan fee which will shoot up the cost of financing (Andrew and Gallagher, 2000). This suggests that such an organization is not eager to take risks and feels it is suitable to keep money or close to money balances, high inventories and maintain liberal credit terms. Generally, the organizations that are working in an uncertain environment prefer to adopt such an approach since they do not know what prices, demands and transient financing cost will be on a later date. In such a circumstance, it is smarter to have a high level of current assets. A typical exemplary scenario is to keep elevated amounts of inventory so as to meet the unexpected ascent in demand and to dodge the danger of stoppage in production. This approach gives a more drawn out cash conversion cycle for the organization. Defensive policy gives the shield against distress caused by the absence of assets to meet short term obligations yet as talked about before, long haul obligations for the most part have high interest cost which will build the cost of financing. Furthermore, capital tied up in a business on account of liberal credit arrangement of the organization consiquently have its opportunity cost. Hence, this arrangement may decrease the profitability and the cost of following this strategy may surpass the advantages of the approach (Arnold, 2008). 2.2.2 Aggressive Policy An organization pursue aggressive strategy by financing its current assets with short term funds since it gives low financing cost however the hazard related with momentary obligation is higher than long haul obligation. This methodology is exceptionally unsafe on the grounds that the contrast between liquid resources and momentary liabilities turns practically nothing. Also, few managers go out on a limb by financing long haul resources with short term funds and this methodology sometimes pushes working capital to a negative. Managers attempt to enhance profitability by paying lesser interest rates, however this methodology can demonstrate exceptionally dangerous if transient financing costs change or the money inflows are not sufficient to satisfy the present liabilities (Andrew and Gallagher, 2000). Such an approach is 6 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh embraced by an organization which is working in a steady economy and is very sure about future money streams. An organization with aggressive working capital strategy offers short credit period to clients, holds minimal inventory and has a limited amount of money close by. This arrangement builds the danger of default in light of the fact that an organization may encounter an absence of assets to meet the transient liabilities yet it gives an exceptional yield as the exceptional yield is related with high risk (Vishnani and Shah, 2007). 2.2.3 Conservative Approach A number of organizations decide neither to be aggressive by decreasing the level of current assets relative to current liabilities nor to be defensive by expanding the level of current assets relative to current liabilities. So as to balance risk and return, these organizations pursue the conservative approach. This methodology is a blend of defensive working capital policy and aggressive working capital policy. With this methodology, temporary current assets which show up on the statement of financial position for brief period are financed with the transient borrowings whiles long haul obligations are utilized to back fixed resources and permanent current assets. Along these lines, the adherent of this methodology finds the moderate level of working capital with moderate risk and return (Andrew and Gallagher, 2000). In addition, this arrangement lessens the danger of default, also it likewise diminishes the opportunity cost of extra interest in the current resources. 2.3 Review of Empirical Literature 2.3.1 Research on Linear Connection between Working Capital Management and Firm Performance Kasozi (2017) conducted an investigation into the impact of working capital administration on profitability of listed manufacturing firms in South Africa. In this study, the researcher sought 7 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh to explore the association between working capital administration and profitability, estimated utilizing the cash conversion cycle and the return on assets of his population respectively. He likewise tried to evaluate the association between the different segments of working capital administration (in this way, receivables gathering period, payables payment period and inventory turnover period) and profitability. The discoveries of the investigation uncovered that average receivables gathering period and average payment period are negatively related with profitability. This is to propose that entities that give shorter credit periods to their clients and pay their suppliers on time enjoy better profitability. Inventory holding period was observed to be positively corresponded with profitability. This is likewise to recommend that organizations which stock-up and keep up their stock level endure less stock-outs and dodge difficulties in securing financing when required (Kasozi, 2017). In Kasozi's investigation, it was not determined as to whether a shorter or longer cash conversion cycle improves the profitability of the organizations. Jakpar et al (2017) directed an investigation on the association between working capital administration and profitability in Malaysia's manufacturing sector. This analysis tried to test five (5) hypothesis. These are: 1. H1: There is an association between log of money conversion cycle and company's profitability 2. H2: There is an association between the log of average collection period and firm's profitability 3. H3: There is an association between the log of inventory turnover period and firm profitability 4. H4: There is an association between debt ratio and firm profitability 5. H5: there is an association between firm size and firm profitability 8 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh The discoveries of the analysis depicted above uncovered that the log of the money conversion cycle had no power over firm profitability and in this manner an organization that improves its money conversion cycle would not enjoy any additional profitability. The investigation additionally uncovered that there is a positive association between the log of average collection period and firm profitability. This additionally implies that managers ought to be urged to give clients longer credit periods so as to enhance profitability. The investigation likewise found a positive association between the log of inventory turnover period and firm profitability. This infers that firms with higher inventory turnover periods have better profitability. The analysis further uncovered that there is a negative association between debt ratio and firm profitability, while there exists a positive association between firm size and profitability. Akoto et al (2013) spearheaded an analysis of working capital administration and profitability of listed Ghanaian manufacturing organizations. The goal of this investigation was to look at how the working capital administration practices of listed manufacturing firms in Ghana sway their profitability for the period covering 2005-2009. The discoveries of this investigation uncovered that accounts receivable days is contrarily connected with profitability. It likewise found that there is a positive inconsequential association between accounts payable period and profitability. This is to assert that the accounts payable period is not so significant with regards to ascertaining the profitability of a manufacturing company. The analysis additionally found that there exists a positive association between money conversion cycle and firm profitability. This suggests that so as to improve profitability, supervisors should chip away at keeping up longer money conversion cycles. This investigation likewise asserted that current assets and sales essentially and positively determine profitability. Supervisors are hence to keep up adequate current assets and produce most feasible extreme sales so as to improve profitability (Akoto et al, 2013). 9 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Raheman and Nasr (2007) found a solid negative association between the net operating profit and debt gathering period, inventory holding period and credit payment period when they played out a comparative report on 94 listed Pakistani firms. Their analysis found that supervisors can make additional profit for their investors by lessening the number of days for gathering receivables and the number of days for inventory turnover. Raheman and Nasr (2007) additionally referenced that the negative association between accounts payable period and profitability is consistent with the view that less lucrative firms take longer in paying their bills. Khalid (2012) studied the association between working capital efficiency and profitability, with a sample of sixteen (16) Indian firms recorded on Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) for the time of 2006-2011. The results of the investigation demonstrated that there is a negative association between the variables of money conversion cycle and profitability. Khalid (2012) concluded that if account receivables and inventory holding days are decreased the organization will make more profit and the negative association of the accounts payable with profit additionally affirms other writings that say less profitable firms will haggle for longer periods to pay obligation. Rehn (2012) considered the impact of working capital administration on organizational profit. It was an industry-wise study of Finnish and Swedish public organizations. The factors used to determine working capital administration was money conversion cycle and net trade cycle. The results demonstrated that there is a noteworthy impact of working capital administration on gross profit. The connection between the working capital variables and gross profit were negative. This proposes that effective administration of working capital can build profitability in those businesses. Badu and Asiedu (2013), inspected the impact of working capital administration on the profitability of manufacturing organizations listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange (GES), explicitly those in the Accra. The principal target of the analysis was to look at the effect of the 10 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh different working capital administration variables on the profitability of listed manufacturing organizations in Ghana, and to likewise set up the association between liquidity and profitability of listed manufacturing organizations. The outcome of the analysis demonstrated that there is a negative association between accounts payable days and net operating profit in spite of the fact that the measurable outcome was of no noteworthy incentive on profit; it infers that the shorter the account payable period the more profitable the organization is. Furthermore, a negative association was found between the inventory holding time frame and net operating profit, the statistical worth is of no noteworthy incentive on profit; it proposes that whether it takes longer or shorter period to sell the products it does not generally have any effect on the benefit of the organization. Be that as it may, there was a positive association between money conversion cycle and net operating profit. This shows the period between payment of liabilities and collection of credit sales affects profit. Therefore, these factors ought to be overseen appropriately and productively to an ideal level so the desired profit of the company can be accomplished. Bhunia and Das (2015) examined the fundamental association between working capital administration and profitability of pharmaceuticals organizations in India for the time of 2004- 2013 with a sample of 140 pharmaceutical organizations. In the investigation, 8 ratios were recognized as pointers of working capital; current ratio, quick ratio, money position proportion, debt to equity ratio, inventory turnover ratio, indebted individuals' turnover proportion, lenders' turnover proportion and working capital cycle whereas one ratio was used as a pointer of profitability, return on capital utilized. The investigation of results demonstrated that there is no critical association between working capital administration and profitability despite the fact that the working capital cycle demonstrated some impact on the profit, it is not huge. 11 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Gill, Biger and Mathur (2010) endeavored to assess the association between working capital administration and profitability of 88 firms listed on the New York stock exchange. No huge association was found between inventory holding period and profitability whereas a positive association was found between money conversion cycle and profitability. Directors can make wealth for investors by decreasing the number of days for accounts receivables collection (Gill, Bigger and Mathur, 2010). Mathuva (2010) additionally examined the impact of working capital administration components on corporate profitability. It was found that there exists an exceptionally noteworthy negative association between cash collection period and corporate profitability, a profoundly huge positive association between inventory turnover period and corporate profitability and very huge positive association between payment period and corporate profitability. Baveld (2012) explored the administration of working capital in the most productive ways, during non-crisis period and crisis period. 37 listed organizations from the Netherlands were examined with the non-crisis period going from 2004-2006 and the crisis time frame going from 2008 to 2009. The analysis uncovered that the number of days of accounts receivable has a negative association with the firm profitability during a non-crisis period whiles in the crisis time frame, there was no noteworthy association. This suggests that the association between number of days of account receivables and a firm profitability changes in the midst of crisis. The accounts payable and profitability additionally demonstrated a negative association in the two time frames. Conceivable reason cited for this was that firms who pay earlier, get discount which results in a higher profit. There was negative association among inventory turnover period and profitability in the two time frames. This recommends that during crisis and non- 12 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh crisis periods, more consideration ought to be given to inventory and it ought to be kept up at a minimal level. NG'ANG'A (2009) also explored the association between working capital and profitability of listed organizations in the Nairobi Stock Exchange. The scientist studied 23 firms, a sample of firms listed at Nairobi Stock Exchange (NSE) for a time of 2003-2008. As per NG'ANG'A, in Kenya, studies have focused on explicit drivers such as creditor liabilities, accounts receivables and their effect on profitability without evaluating the association with working capital in its entirety. The return on assets was utilized as the dependent variable while money conversion cycle, debt collection period, creditor period, inventory period and leverage were utilized as independent variables. Empirical discoveries of the investigation demonstrated that accounts receivable period, creditor period, inventory period and money conversion cycle influence the firm profitability adversely. In its conclusion, the investigation proposed some strategy implications for the managers and financial specialists of Kenyan markets. The researcher recommended that organizations need to blend policies of cash levels with that of trade payables and inventory so the balances are streamlined or optimized. In view of the investigation's discoveries, firms should concentrate on decreasing the accounts receivable period, creditor period and inventory period. Aondona et al (2014) analyzed the effect of working capital administration on profitability of Nigerian cement industry for a time of eight (8) years; 2002 to 2009. The data set constituted 4 out of 5 cement organizations listed on the Nigeria stock exchange. The investigation found a negative irrelevant association between firm profitability and accounts receivable period. The analysis likewise uncovered a critical negative association between profitability and the number of days within which inventory is held. However, the association between profitability and the money conversion cycle was observed to be altogether positive. The analysis 13 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh recommended that the number of days within which inventory is held and the money conversion cycle are significant and huge in improving profitability. Consequently, directors should screen the inventory levels so as to diminish the number of days within which inventory is held in stock before sales. This will upgrade profitability, liquidity and furthermore augment investors' wealth. Atta et al. (2017) looked into the relationship between the working capital and corporate performance in the textiles sector in Pakistan for the period 2008 to 2012. The data set was the yearly report of textile organizations published for that period. This study uncovered that average conversion period, money conversion cycle and operating cycle are significantly and positively connected with firm profitability. Golas et al (2013) conducted an analysis of the association between working capital and profitability in the food industry of Poland. Inventory administration, receivables, current liabilities and operating indicators were utilized in dissecting the effectiveness of working capital administration. Return on Non-financial assets was the variable utilized in estimating the profitability of the various food companies. The objective was to decide the direction and quality of the effect of the cycles on profitability. The dissection indicated unmistakably that shorter cycles result in higher profitability. This proposes so as to make organizations in the Polish food industry profitable, managers should attempt to deal with their operating and money conversion cycles so as to keep them as short as feasible. In a research carried out by Garg and Gumbochuma (2015) on the association between working capital administration and profitability in Johannesburg Stock Exchange listed retail organizations, it was expressed that literature on this area of study have been uncertain on the association between working capital and profitability but have nonetheless, found a negative association between working capital and profitability. The consequences of Garg and 14 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Gumbochuma's analysis showed that working capital administration influenced profitability and ought to be a necessary piece of the company's financial plan. In this present global environment of aggressive competition, practically all organizations have no other reasonable choice but to cut the expense of activities so as to be aggressive and be monetarily solid. Accordingly, productive working capital administration is an indispensable part of the overall corporate methodology to make investors wealthy. Dealing with an association between working capital and benefit is such a crucial thing for the association's survival (Khakhdia, 2014). Syed et al (2010) conducted an exploration on the association between working capital strategy and profitability of Swedish firms. A sample of 37 listed organizations on the OMX Stockholm stock exchange for a time of 5 years, that is 2004 to 2008 were utilized. Gross operating profit was used as an indicator of profitability and the money conversion cycle was used to determine the aggressiveness of the working capital strategy. The working capital strategy can either be aggressive, defensive or moderate. The results demonstrated that there exists no association between money conversion cycle and profitability. Nonetheless, profitability is positively connected with inventory holding period and payables payment period but has a negative connection with receivables collection period. Temtime (2016) inspected the association between working capital administration strategies and profitability of small manufacturing firms. The study made use of financial information for the period 2004 to 2013 of a sample of 176 publicly traded small United States manufacturing organizations. A regression analysis was performed where the measure of profitability was gross operating profit, return on asset and Tobin's q. The outcome affirmed that working capital administration and working capital strategies have a critical constructive effect on firms' profitability. 15 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 2.3.2 Research on the quadratic connection between Working Capital management and Firm Performance Thapa et al (2013) attempted an analysis of how profitability is influenced by working capital administration in the food and beverages industry. The study in its survey of related writing referenced that leverage, growth, cash flow, size, age, tangible fixed assets and profitability were a portion of the elements that impacted working capital administration. Right off the bat, dissimilar to past studies which promote a straight association between the working capital administration and gainfulness, the investigation researched the presence of a conceivable non- linear association. Additionally, the proficiency of working capital administration was checked utilizing performance index, utilization index and efficiency index as opposed to utilizing the regular turnover ratios. It was seen that the working capital measure, the money conversion cycle was positively identified with profitability and cash flow. Then again, the money conversion cycle was adversely connected with leverage, growth, size, age and fixed assets to total asset ratio. The analysis additionally dissected the non-linear association between profitability and the money conversion cycle. The positive and critical regression coefficient of money conversion cycle and its square proposed that there exists a non-linear connection. Ville (2015) examined the effect of working capital on corporate profitability and investor value in 1683 publicly listed US computer and electrical equipment organizations from 1990−2013. This exploration inspected the quadratic association between operational working capital and profitability. It additionally evaluated the impact of working capital on market value, that is to discover how equity holders’ worth is affected by working capital. The discoveries of this exploration demonstrates a concave association between the money conversion cycle and return on asset, which suggests that, a perfect level of working capital must be reached so as to maximize profit. When working capital falls beneath that perfect level, 16 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh it diminishes the profitability. A further decrease expands the danger of illiquidity and distress cost whiles too high increments tied-up capital and lost opportunity, thus opportunity cost. This declaration is in concurrence with that of Arnold (2008) and Vishnani and Shah (2007). However, money conversion cycle negatively affected return on equity, that is, as working capital expands the value of equity holders lessens. In 2016, an investigation was conducted to study the association between working capital level, estimated by the cash conversion cycle and profitability of small and medium enterprises (Afrifa et al, 2016). The analysis was performed on 160 organizations listed on the alternative Investment market of Ghana to discover how working capital level impacts SME profitability for the period of 2005-2010. The discoveries of this analysis uncovered that there is a concave association between working capital level and firm profitability and that there is an ideal working capital level at which firms' profitability is maximized. Moreover, an analysis with respect to whether deviations from the ideal working capital level diminishes firm profitability shows that deviations above or beneath the ideal declines profitability. Most recently, Abdul-Hamid et al (2017) also decided to also probed the quadratic connection that may exist between working capital administration and firm performance utilizing proof from the Nigerian economy. The investigation was carried out on an aggregate of 75 firms listed on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (barring money related firms). The investigation considered the period spreading over from 2007 to 2015. The empirical results of this investigation found that there is a quadratic association between working capital administration and firm performance. This advocates that there is an ideal level of interest in working capital that maximizes firm performance. In this same research, Abdul-Hamid et al (2017) made a general proposal that more research ought to be done on the quadratic association between working capital administration and profitability. 17 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 2.3 Summary The chapter gives a thorough review of literature on the connection between working capital management and profitability. The general observation is that there are numerous researches conducted to investigate the linear connection between working capital management and financial performance as against the few researches conducted to investigate the quadratic connection that may exist between working capital management and financial performance. As such, this study seeks to continue investigations into the possibility of a quadratic connection between working capital management and financial performance. If indeed there exists a quadratic connection between working capital management and financial performance, this would lead us to ascertain the optimum working capital policies that would yield high financial performance. 18 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CHAPTER THREE RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 3.1 Introduction The purpose of this chapter is to elaborate on the research methodology chosen in conducting this study. The chapter will explain the research approach, source of data collected, sample and selection criteria, execution strategy and other methodological issues. 3.2 Research Approach Research may take three forms; quantitative approach, qualitative approach or mixed approach, which is a blend of the first two approaches. This study would be carried out using the quantitative approach because its objectives require the quantitative measurement of working capital management and profitability using numerical variables gathered from secondary data and the analysis of the econometric connection that may exist between these variables. 3.3 Data Source and Sample Selection The study period will consider 2006-2015 so as to cover the most recent years with available data. Secondary data will be sourced from the annual audited financial statements of manufacturing companies listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange. The population for the study includes all eleven (11) manufacturing companies listed on the Ghana Stock Exchange and the entire population would be used for the study so as to capture all instances of the population. Manufacturing companies are the focus of this study because of the current government of Ghana’s intentions to industrialize the country by establishing one factory in every district (New Patriotic Party,2016). The results of this study will give the 19 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh management of these to-be-established factories a guide as to how they can manage their working capital in a fashion that will positively impact financial performance. 3.4 Measurement of Estimation Variables The study will make use of four (4) regressions. The dependent variable for all for regressions will be the Net Profit Margin (NPM). This variable will be used as a measure of the profitability of the various companies that would be analyzed in this study. For the first regression, the primary independent variables will be Cash Conversion Cycle (CCC) and its square (CCC2). This particular regression will be used to determine whether there is a concave connection between NPM and CCC as a whole. The primary independent variables for the second regression will be Receivables Collection Period (RCP) and its square(RCP2). The second regression seeks to determine if there exists a non-linear connection between NPM and RCP as a component of working capital management. The primary independent variables of the third regression will be the Inventory Turnover Period (ITP) and its square (IPT2). This regression seeks to determine the quadratic connection that may exist between NPM and ITP as a component of working capital management. Lastly, the primary independent variables for the fourth regression will be Payables Payment Period (PPP) and its square (PPP2). This last regression will be used to ascertain if there exists a quadratic connection between NPM and PPP as a component of working capital management. Consistent with empirical studies (Afrifa, 2016; Abdul-Hamid et al, 2017; Ville, 2015), the following control variables will be included in all the regressions because other literature have established that they are also factors that affect profitability. These controls include the age of the company (AGE), the size of the company measured with total assets (SIZE), the financial leverage of the company measured with total debt ratio (LEV) and its liquidity measured with current ratio (CR). 20 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 3.5 Empirical Estimation Models In order to achieve objective one (1) in chapter one, the following econometric model will be used: NPM 2it = β0 + β 1CCC it + β 2CCCit + β 3AGEit + β 4SIZEit + β 5LEVit + β 6CRit + ℰit - (1) Objective two (2) of this study will be achieved using the regression models below: NPM 2it = β 0 + β 1RP it + β 2RPit + β 3AGEit + β 4SIZEit + β 5LEVit + β 6CRit + ℰit - (2) NPMit = β 0 + β 1IP 2 it + β 2IPit + β 3AGEit + β 4SIZEit + β 5LEVit + β 6CRit + ℰit - (3) NPMit = β 0 + β 2 1PP it + β 2PPit + β 3AGEit + β 4SIZEit + β 5LEVit + β 6CRit + ℰit - (4) Objective three of the study will be achieved by using calculus and algebra in finding the roots and turning points of the quadratic functions derived from objective 1 and 2. These will help estimate the optimal working capital management policies for maximum profitability. 3.6 Summary Statistics and Correlation Analysis 3.6.1 Descriptive Statistics Table 3.1 presents a statistical description of the data used for this study. NPM has a mean of 5% and maximum and minimum of 27% and -78% respectively. RP has a mean of 60 days and a minimum and maximum of 0.72 day and 185 days respectively. The minimum and maximum of IP is 28 and 389 days respectively with a mean of 130 days. PP has a maximum of 589 days and a minimum of 28. The mean PP however, is 144 days. CCC shows a mean of 47 days, a maximum of 360 days and a minimum of -434 days. The oldest company in the population is 80 years old whereas the youngest is 14 years old. The mean age is 41 years. The biggest company in the population has a total asset value of GH¢419.38million and the smallest company has a total asset value of GH¢1.58million. The mean size is GH¢76.18million. The 21 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh mean LEV is 54%, the minimum is 8% and the maximum is 108%. CR also has a maximum of 9.81 times, a minimum of 0.18 times and a mean of 1.56 times. Table 3.1 – Descriptive Statistics 3.6.2 Correlation Analysis Table 3.2gives the correlation matrix of the data for this study. The correlation coefficients of the variables will be analyzed based on the regression models indicated in section 3.5 above. The correlation coefficient between CCC and NPM depicts a positive connection between the two variables. On the other hand, RP is also seen to be negatively correlated with NPM. The correlation matrix also reveals a positive connection between IP and NPM. Also, PP is shown in the correlation matrix to be negatively correlated with NPM. NPM is positively correlated with CR and SIZE but negatively correlated with AGE and LEV. The remaining control variables show no correlation coefficient greater than 0.8. This suggests that multicollinearity is unlikely to be present (Field, 2005). 22 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Table 3.2 – Correlation Matrix 3.7 Methodological Issues Firstly, outliers were detected during a preliminary data analysis conducted. As recommended by Beiner et al (2006), these outliers were dealt with by removing them from the data. Since this study involves panel data, the Hausman test was performed to determine whether to use Fixed Effect or Random Effect in estimating the panel regression model. After estimating the regression models, the turning points and roots of the curves were determined by using calculus and algebra respectively. With the turning points and roots of the curves, an estimate of optimum working capital management policies that would maximize profitability can be determined. These policies refer to those that affect receivable collection period, inventory turnover period, payable payment period and cash conversion cycle as a whole. 3.8 Summary This chapter gives detailed explanation of the research approach, the data source and sample selection. It also talks about the various variables, estimation models and methodological issues that were essential in obtaining the results presented in the next chapter. 23 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CHAPTER FOUR PRESENTATION AND ANALYSIS OF RESULTS 4.1 Introduction This chapter presents the results and findings of the study. This chapter is organized to address the objectives as stated in chapter one. The first part elaborates on the results and findings from studying the quadratic connection between cash conversion cycle and financial performance. The second part gives the outcome from the study of the quadratic connection that may exist between the components of cash conversion cycle and profitability of listed manufacturing firms in Ghana. The last part seeks to present the results after determining the roots and turning points of the quadratic model estimated in the first and second part. 4.2 Cash Conversion Cycle and Profitability In studying the quadratic connection between cash conversion cycle and profitability, model 1 in chapter 3 was used as the empirical estimation model. In this model, profitability measured by NPM was dependent on CCC and CCC2 as well as some other control variables. The results of this estimation is presented in table 4.1. In the table, the adjusted R2 shows that about 35% of the variations in NPM are accounted for by the independent variables in the regression model. The F statistic value also suggests that the independent variables as a whole are significant in determining the NPM of listed manufacturing companies in Ghana. The results also depict that CCC2 is statistically significant in determining NPM at 1% level of confidence. CR which is one of the control variables and the intercept also show statistical significance in determining the NPM of the study population at a 10% level of confidence. From basic algebra, the negative coefficient of CCC2 signifies that the quadratic connection between CCC and NPM is maximum in nature. The random effect 24 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh panel regression was used for the model estimation because the probability value from the Hausman test as shown in table 4.2 upholds the random effect panel regression. Using the coefficients in table 4.1, model 1 in chapter 3 can be rewritten as: NPMit = 1.70E-01 - 2.26E-06CCC 2 it + 1.93E-04CCCit - 1.15E-03AGEit - 9.00E-05SIZEit - 1.35E-01LEVit + 2.35E-02CRit + ℰit - (5) Table 4.1 Regression 1 Results Standard errors are reported in parentheses. *, **, *** indicates significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level respectively 25 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Table 4.2 Hausman Test 1 4.3 Components of Cash Conversion Cycle and Profitability 4.3.1 Receivable Period and Profitability The results of the study on the quadratic connection between receivable period and profitability, measured by NPM is illustrated in table 4.3 Model 2 in chapter 3 was the empirical model used to conduct this investigation. Table 4.3 shows the estimation output after running regression 2 in chapter 3. In this regression, the dependent variable was NPM and the primary independent variables were RP and RP2, together with other control variables as explained in chapter 3. The adjusted R2 for this regression as shown in table 4.3 denotes that about 14% of variations in NPM can be accounted for by the regressors of the regression. The F-statistic value also suggests that the predictors in the regression as a whole are significant in determining the profitability of the sample firms. However, the only variable that showed singular significance in determining the NPM was LEV. LEV showed a significant positive connection with NPM at a 1% confidence level. The intercept also demonstrated significance at the 5% level of significance. The quadratic connection between RP and NPM can be said to be maximum because the coefficient of RP2 is negative. The random effect panel regression was used in the model estimation because the probability value from the Hausman test as shown in table 4.4 upholds the random effect panel regression. We can also rewrite model 2 in chapter 3 as follows using the coefficients of the variables from the regression: 26 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh NPMit = 2.44E-01 – 5.63E-06RP 2 it + 5.07E-04RPit - 1.82E-03AGEit + 6.90E-05SIZEit - 2.86E-01LEVit + 1.69E-02CRit + ℰit - (6) Table 4.3 Regression 2 Results Standard errors are reported in parentheses. *, **, *** indicates significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level respectively Table 4.4 Hausman Test 2 27 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 4.3.2 Inventory Period and Profitability The results of the study on the quadratic connection between Inventory Turnover Period and profitability, measured by NPM is illustrated in table 4.5. The model used to conduct this investigation is model 3 as found in chapter 3 of this study. Table 4.5 shows the estimation output after running regression 3 in chapter 3. In this regression, the dependent variable was NPM and the primary independent variables were IP and IP2, together with other control variables as explained in chapter 3. Table 4.5 gives the results of the regression. The adjusted R2 as reported in the table is about 14%. This signifies that 14% of the variations in NPM can be accounted for by the predictors in the regression model. The F statistic value also signifies that the independent variables in the regression contribute largely to determining NPM. LEV was the only predictor that showed positive connection with NPM at a 1% degree of confidence. IP also showed a significant positive connection with NPM at a 10% degree of confidence. Because the coefficient of IP2 is negative, the nature of the quadratic connection between IP and NPM can be said to be maximum in nature. The random effect panel regression was used for the model estimation because the probability value from the Hausman test as shown in table 4.6 upholds the random effect panel regression. The coefficients in table 4.5 can be used in rewriting model 3 in chapter 3 as follows: NPMit = 1.78E-01 - 2.80E-06IP 2 it + 1.32E-03IPit - 2.75E-03AGEit + 8.36E-05SIZEit - 2.86E- 01LEVit + 1.07E-02CRit + ℰit - (7) 28 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Table 4.5 Regression 3 Results Standard errors are reported in parentheses. *, **, *** indicates significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level respectively Table 4.6 Hausman Test 3 29 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 4.3.3 Payable Period and Profitability The last regression performed in this study was performed to understand the quadratic connection that may exist between NPM and PP. Model 4 as found in chapter 3 was used in studying this connection. In this model, the dependent variable is NPM and the primary independent variables are PP and PP2. The results of this regression is presented in table 4.7 below. In the table, adjusted R2 is reported to be about 23%. This denotes that about 23% of the variations in NPM can be accounted for by the predictors in model 4 as found in chapter 3. The F statistic also suggests that the independent variables in the model have overall significance in determining NPM. PP2 showed a high significance at a 1% level of confidence, whereas PP and LEV showed significance at 5% degree of confidence. The intercept however showed significance at 10% degree of confidence. The coefficient of PP2 suggests that the nature of the quadratic connection between PP and NPM is maximum in nature. The random effect panel regression was used for the model estimation because the probability value from the Hausman test as shown in table 4.8 upholds the random effect panel regression. Model 4 in chapter 3 can therefore be rewritten as follows using the coefficients from table 4.7: NPMit = 1.66E-01 - 1.95E-06PP 2 it + 8.67E-04PPit - 2.42E-03AGEit + 1.56E-05SIZEit - 2.21E-01LEVit + 2.07E-02CRit + ℰit- (8) 30 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Table 4.7 Regression 4 Results Standard errors are reported in parentheses. *, **, *** indicates significance at the 10%, 5%, and 1% level respectively Table 4.8 Hausman Test 4 31 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 4.4 Optimal Working Capital Policies In this section, the functions derived from the four regressions will be further analyzed to determine the optimal cash conversion cycle period for maximum profitability. The turning point of the curve gives the value of the primary predictor that gives maximum NPM. The roots of the curve give that range of values of the predictor for which positive NPM would be obtained. Model 1 as found in chapter 3 was used in studying the quadratic connection that may exist between CCC and NPM. In this model, the primary predictors were CCC2 and CCC whiles the regressand was NPM. From the results of the regression, model 1 was rewritten to become model 5 as found below: NPM 2it = 1.70E-01 - 2.26E-06CCC it + 1.93E-04CCCit - 1.15E-03AGEit - 9.00E-05SIZEit - 1.35E-01LEVit + 2.35E-02CRit + ℰit - (5) By taking the first derivative of the function with respect to CCC using calculus, we get: d NPM = -4.52E-06CCC + 1.93E-04 d CCC At the turning point of a quadratic curve, the first derivative is equal to Zero. This implies that: 0 = -4.52E-06CCC + 1.93E-04 CCC = 42.7 days Therefore, in order to obtain maximum NPM, managers are to put in place working capital management policies that will ensure that CCC is approximately 43 days long. This assertion is true when the effect of the other variables on NPM are nullified. In basic algebra, at the roots of a quadratic function, the dependent variable is equal to zero. This means that model 5 has to be equated to zero in order to determine its roots. 0 = 1.70E-01 - 2.26E-06CCC2it + 1.93E-04CCCit - 1.15E-03AGEit - 9.00E-05SIZEit - 1.35E- 01LEVit + 2.35E-02CRit + ℰit 32 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh By using the quadratic formula, and nullifying the effects of the other augmenting predictors, we have: CCC = -b ± √ (b2 -4ac) 2a = -1.93E-04 ± √((1.93E-04)2 -4(-2.26E-06) (1.70E-01)) 2(-2.26E-06) CCC= -234 and CCC=320 The above exercise was performed on the other three regression models. The results are shown in Table 4.9, figure 4.1, figure 4.2, figure 4.3 and figure 4.4. Table 4.9 In section 2.2.1 in chapter two, the defensive approach to managing working capital was discussed extensively. This approach seeks to take advantage of the benefits that come with having more than enough current assets to defray current liabilities. Such advantages include the low risk of current liability default and the ability to meet demand anytime it rises in an uncertain environment (Arnold, 2008). As such, companies that adopt this approach will be ready to receive supplies for cash and give customers liberal credit terms. In section 2.2.2 in chapter two, there is a discussion on the aggressive approach to managing working capital. This approach holds an opposing view from that of the defensive approach. The aggressive approach funds its short term assets with short term liabilities. This approach sometimes funds long term assets with short term liabilities. In this way, the firm would pay 33 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh lesser finance cost (Andrew & Gallagher,2000). The main aim of this approach is to make sure that funds are not tied up in receivables or inventory at an expensive opportunity cost. The question that arises is: is there an optimum policy for managing working capital that would maximize profitability and balance the risk and returns that come with the two extreme approaches described above? The answer to this question can be found in Table 4.9 and illustrated in figure 4.1, figure 4.2, figure 4.3 and figure 4.4. Figure 4.1 NPM-RP Quadratic Relationship Curve Figure 4.1 gives an illustration of the quadratic connection that exists between receivables collection period and net profit margin. The curve is a maximum curve because the coefficient of the quadratic term in model 6 (RP2) is negative. This means the curve is a rise and fall curve. According to the results of this study, the optimum receivables collection period that maximizes net profit margin is 45 days. The first root which is -168 days signifies that taking 34 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh prepayments from customers beyond 168 days will result in negative net profit margin. The second root which is 258 days also signifies that offering credit period to customers beyond 258 days will result in negative net profit margin. It is therefore recommended that prepayment period should not exceed 168 days and credit period should also not exceed 258 days. However, the optimum credit period for maximum net profit margin is 45 days. These assertions are true if the effects of other factors on net profit margin are nullified and the focus is placed on receivables collection period. Figure 4.2 NPM-IP Quadratic Relationship Curve Figure 4.2 illustrates the quadratic connection that exists between inventory turnover period and net profit margin. This curve is also maximum because the coefficient of the quadratic term (IP2) in model 7 is also negative. This means the curve rises and falls. According to the results of this study, the optimum inventory turnover period for maximum net profit margin is 236 days. Obviously, it is impractical to have a negative inventory turnover period in the 35 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh manufacturing sector so, the first root of the curve can be ignored. Nevertheless, the second root signifies that if inventory turnover period grows beyond 582 days, the result will be negative net profit margin. However, the optimum inventory turnover period for maximum net profit margin is 236 days. These assertions are true if the effects of other factors on net profit margin are nullified and the focus is placed on inventory turnover period. Figure 4.3 NPM-PP Quadratic Relationship Curve Figure 4.3 graphically illustrates the nature of the quadratic connection between payable payment period and net profit margin. This curve is also maximum because the coefficient of PP2 in model 8 is negative. This suggests that the curve rises then falls. The results of this study indicate that the optimum payable payment period for maximum net profit margin is 222 days. The first root of the quadratic curve suggests that a negative net profit margin will be experienced if companies pay their suppliers more than 144 days before an invoice is raised. The second root also signifies that if it takes a manufacturing company in Ghana more than 36 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 589 days to pay its suppliers, this company will experience negative Net Profit Margins. In order to make maximum net profit margins, the payable payment period should be around 222 days. These assertions are true if the effects of other factors on net profit margin are nullified and the focus is placed on payable payment period. Figure 4.4 NPM-CCC Quadratic Relationship Curve Figure 4.4 gives an illustration of the quadratic connection that exists between cash conversion cycle and net profit margin. The curve is a maximum curve because the coefficient of the quadratic term in model 5 (CCC2) is negative. This means that the curve is expected to rise and fall. The results of the study indicate that manufacturing companies in Ghana are likely to experience maximum net profit margin, if they maintain a cash conversion cycle of about 43 days, ceteris paribus. Furthermore, the results suggest that in order to keep experiencing positive net profit margin, the cash conversion cycle should not exceed 320 days, also the payable payment period should not exceed the sum of the receivable collection period and the 37 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh inventory turnover period by more than 234 days. This will ensure that the net profit margin of such entities remain in the positive region. 4.5 Summary The chapter contains a presentation of the results of the study as well as a discussion of the findings from the study. The results indicate that there is a quadratic connection between cash conversion cycle and profitability. There is also a quadratic connection between the components of cash conversion cycle and profitability. The results of the study revealed the optimum working capital management policies that would ensure maximum profitability. 38 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5.1 Introduction This chapter contains a summary of the study. It provides the motive for the research, the findings that were made as well as recommendations for further studies on the quadratic connection between working capital management and profitability. 5.2 Summary Over the years, a lot of studies have been conducted to examine the connection between working capital management and profitability. These studies can be broadly classified into three groups. The first group of studies sought to suggest that there exists a positive connection between working capital management and profitability. The findings of these studies support the defensive approach to working capital management as discussed in section 2.2.1 of this study. The second group of studies discovered a negative connection between working capital management and profitability. This group of studies on the subject advocate the aggressive approach to managing working capital as explained in section 2.2.2 of this study. The last group of studies advocate the conservative approach to managing working capital. This approach seeks to balance the risk and returns from working capital in order to maximize profitability. However, the optimum working capital management policies with which profitability can be maximized is not known. The objective of this study was therefore to examine the quadratic connection that may exist between cash conversion cycle as well as its components and profitability. The study also attempted to use the roots and turning points of the quadratic curves to determine the optimum working capital policies that would maximize profitability, measured with net profit margin. 39 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh The findings suggest that, when all other factors are held constant or nullified, manufacturing companies in Ghana have to maintain a cash conversion cycle period of about 43 days in order to maximize profitability. The regression model derived suggests that positive net profit margin will be experienced if cash conversion cycle can be maintained between -234 and 320 days. The range of receivable collection period for which positive net profit margin will be experienced, according to the results of this study was identified to be between -168 and 258 days. However, the optimum level of receivables collection period for maximum net profit margin is 45 days. The study on the quadratic connection between inventory turnover period and net profit margin also revealed that 236 days is the ideal inventory turnover period that manages to risk and return such that maximum net profit margin is achieved. The study further revealed that in order to keep net profit margin in the positive zone, inventory turnover period should be between -109 and 582 days. However, inventory cannot practically be a negative so the range was revised to be between zero (0) and 582 days. Lastly, the quadratic connection between payables payment period and net profit margin was examined. The results of this analysis also revealed that the optimum payable payment period that will maximize net profit margin is 222 days. Furthermore, the range of payables payment period that will ensure positive net profit margin is between -144 and 589 days. 5.3 Recommendations The research focused on the Ghanaian setting of listed manufacturing companies. This limits the scope of the research which can be augmented by further research into a wider sample of 40 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh manufacturing companies including unlisted manufacturing companies in Ghana, unlisted and listed manufacturing companies in other countries. The industrial focus of the study also poses as a limitation to the study. The manufacturing industry was the focus of the study and therefore results and interpretations made were pertinent to manufacturing concerns. It is recommended that a similar study be conducted to focus on a different setting like the trading industry. 41 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh REFERENCES Abdul-Hamid M., Sawandi N., Simon S. (2017). 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