ARTICLE https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x OPEN Banking disclosure and banking crises in Africa: does board gender diversity play a role? Daniel Ofori-Sasu 1,2✉, Maame Ofewah Sarpong3, Vivian Tetteh4 & Baah Aye Kusi2 The paper aims to investigate the impact of board gender diversity in explaining the rela- tionship between bank disclosure and the predicted probability of banking crises in Africa. The study employs robust panel estimates based on an aggregate dataset of banks in 42 African countries over the 2006–2018 periods. From the study, board gender diversity (more women on boards and the presence of women on boards) has a positive impact on infor- mation disclosure of banks. We find that board gender diversity and bank disclosure have the possibility of reducing a banking crisis. We observe that board gender diversity enhances the reductive effect of bank disclosure on a predicted probability of a banking crisis. The impli- cation is that women on boards provide prudent decisions on financial information disclosure that significantly reduce the possibility of a banking crises in order to ensure stable banking systems. 1 University of Ghana Business School, Legon, Ghana. 2 Central University, Tema, Ghana. 3 ISSER, University of Ghana, Accra, Ghana. 4Data Link Institute of Business and Technology, Tema, Ghana. ✉email: doforisasu@yahoo.com HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | (2022) 9:12 | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x 1 1234567890():,; ARTICLE HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x Introduction In recent years, the banking crises has become common resource dependency theory recognizes the need for women’soccurrence and periods of crises have brought a certain level of participation in top hierarchy roles in corporate governance anddisruption in most economies, not only in Africa but the world that firms can depend on women in corporate boardrooms as at large (Hoggarth et al., 2001). The need for greater monitoring resources to enhance firm value. This supports the work by of banks has emerged due to the common occurrences of banking Adeabah et al. (2018), who found that female directors on boards crises. One possible way to instil market discipline in the mon- promote bank efficiency. However, studies have not provided itoring process is through the inclusion of managers who have empirical evidence on how board gender diversity helps in distinctive characteristics and in turn, can offer a great oppor- reducing possible banking crises in order to achieve a stable tunity to influence the board’s decisions, and improve banking banking system (see, Oba and Fodio, 2013; Owen and Temesvary, system stability (Al-Amarneh et al., 2017). Corporate governance 2018; Pathan and Faff, 2013). The signalling theory posits that literature show that women contribute unique benefits and firms with good performance tend to make voluntary disclosures resources, as they tend to bring diverse backgrounds, human more readily, as doing so is regarded as an easy means for the capital and provide the board with unique information needed to company to distinguish itself from its peers (Bhattacharya and address agency problems, foster stakeholder value and aid miti- Ritter, 1983), hence leading to a lower possibility of a crisis in the gate possible crisis situations (Qi and Tian, 2012; Carter et al., banking system. Existing studies debate that disclosure is good for 2010; Grassa, 2018). However, the threat of disciplining action by banks as it offers greater prudence (Hossain, 2008; Eng and Mak, market participants (particularly, depositors and investors) puts 2003; Chau and Gray, 2002) while others argue that disclosure is management under heightened scrutiny which encourages greater bad for banks since banks have a general tendency to under prudence and efficiency among board members. Moreover, early disclose (Clatworthy and Jones, 2006). Banks may have the ability detection of banks’ risk exposures, weak governance system and to use greater information disclosure as a signal to attract more banking can contain the problem in a specific bank from deposits (Grassa, 2018), and hence increase bank performance. spreading to the entire industry. Thus, the amount of information However, full bank disclosure is not the optimal choice for banks that banks disclose matter because the absence of information and may affect bank performance differently. Given that, existing prevents market discipline from taking place. The attention given literature shows a positive impact of board gender diversity and to banking information disclosure and the role that board gender bank disclosure on performance, the question, however is, whe- diversity plays in moderating the amount of information dis- ther or not board gender diversity and bank information dis- closed in the banking sector, particularly in Africa, is yet to gain closure lead to a reduction in possible banking crisis? empirical support in the literature. Moreover, there has been an increasing number of women in This study seeks to examine the impact of board gender top management and this has increased research in the area of diversity in explaining the relationship between banking infor- board gender diversity. Conversely, research explaining the rela- mation disclosure and the banking crisis in Africa. In line with tionship between gender diversity on board and disclosures on the wake-up call hypothesis, this study first provides the rela- the possibility of the banking crisis is still growing in the banking tionship between board gender diversity and disclosure in the sector. The study argues that increased disclosure and presence of African banking system. It shows that board gender diversity women on boards should reduce the possibility of a crisis. This is increases information disclosure of banks and supports the because board gender diversity provides managers with unique argument of Lara et al. (2017). Disclosure can be defined as the information that allows for better decision-making and financial act of releasing all relevant financial information pertaining to a reporting (Qi and Tian, 2012) and increases public disclosure bank that may influence an investment decision (Baumann and (Adams and Ferreira, 2009) and corporate performance (Camp- Nier, 2004; Linsley and Shrives, 2005; Lanam, 2007). Corporate bell and Minguez-Vera, 2008). Therefore, reporting or commu- governance literature has explained the effect of governance on nicating information about a bank’s financial conditions reduces information disclosure among banks (Bidabad et al., 2017; information asymmetry between the bank and market partici- Bidabad and Sherafati, 2019). For instance, Bidabad and Sherafati pants while the diverse roles of women on boards provide an (2019) explained that a better governance system results in incentive in protecting the interest of stakeholders, thereby achieving goals like accountability, transparency and protection reducing agency problems and the possibility of a banking crisis. of shareholders’ rights. Therefore, a better governance system The study fills this gap by providing evidence to support the enhances disclosure. Despite the extant literature on the effect of independent relationship between board gender diversity (women individual characteristics of corporate governance on corporate on boards) and bank disclosure and a predicted probability of disclosure from a different context (Chantachaimongkol and banking crisis. Chen, 2018; Al-Janadi et al., 2016; Akhtaruddin et al., 2009; Aksu Finally, the study investigates the role of board gender diversity and Kosedag, 2005), less attention has been given to the effect of in explaining the relationship between bank disclosures and board gender diversity on bank disclosure, particularly in Africa. banking crises. For a bank to operate efficiently, improve per- For instance, Chantachaimongkol and Chen (2018) show that the formance, reduce the future occurrence of crisis and control its extent of corporate disclosure in ASEAN is positively linked to risk exposures prudently, it is important to understand board the number of board meetings, but it is negatively linked to board gender diversity and bank information disclosure. This can be size, and board independence. In line with this argument, few argued in relation to prior disclosure studies that combine cor- studies have analysed board gender diversity on corporate dis- porate governance and directors’ financial information experience closure (Terjesen et al., 2015). The current study fills this gap by with disclosures (Erhardt et al., 2003; Matsunaga and Yeung, examining the effect of board gender diversity on bank disclosure 2008; Chau and Gray, 2002). For instance, Erhardt et al. (2003) in Africa. explained that gender diversity leads to improved performance Secondly, it shows the independent effect of board gender and better financial performance leads to an increase in the diversity and disclosure on the possibility of a banking crisis. amount of information disclosed by firms (Nalikka, 2009) in While the resource dependency theory is expected to predict a developed economies. Further, theoretical ambiguity surrounding negative relationship between board gender diversity and banking the role of gender diversity amidst the growing number of women crises, the signalling theory is expected to predict a negative in management in explaining the relationship between informa- relationship between bank disclosure and banking crisis. The tion disclosure and banking crisis, emphasizes the need for 2 HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | (2022) 9:12 | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x ARTICLE empirical analysis in ascertaining the effects. Nevertheless, to and bank disclosure (Francoeur et al., 2008). The resource date, it appears there is a lack of studies that have dwelt on this dependency theory advances that female directors provide closer gap in empirical literature from an African perspective. monitoring, participate more in committee meetings, and are Given the discussion above, the paper contributes to bank more likely to ensure banking system stability. governance literature by specifically considering the impact of It is argued in the literature that, a country’s financial and board gender diversity on bank disclosure in Africa. The paper banking industry experiences a significant number of defaults contributes to the board gender diversity and corporate disclosure (large increase in nonperforming loans), causing a reduction literature by offering new insight into the influence of women on in the large part of bank capital and runs on banks, leading to boards and bank disclosure on the possibility of a banking crisis a systemic banking crisis. This problem is transmitted to occurring in Africa. Further, the paper contributes to the litera- involve a large number of institutions of the banking system. ture by providing insight for managers, shareholders, researchers A significant number of financial institutions were affected, and policymakers to estimate the role of women on boards in especially during the meltdown (Laeven and Valencia, 2010). empirically explaining the disclosure-banking crisis nexus from The financial market turmoil, which started in 2007/2008 and an African perspective. Africa presents an interesting case because turned into a global financial crisis affected the banking sector. the banking crisis occurs at unknown intervals throughout history The results caused significant losses, massive write-downs, in some African countries (Laeven and Valencia, 2018). More- increased impairments which altered banks’ capital ratios and over, there have been several changes to governance standards liquidity; and the functioning of many credit markets was and voluntary disclosure framework among banks in Africa influenced, when almost all banks recorded losses. However, (Egboro, 2016; Adeabah et al., 2018). It is on this premise that the all these circumstances made the publication of banks’ assets study empirically examines the role of board gender diversity and financial reporting, frequently under scrutiny, reflecting (women on boards) in explaining the relationship between bank one of the causes of the crisis. The annual reports of the banks disclosures and the banking crisis in Africa. during the crises were expected to provide useful information The rest of the work is organized into four sections. Literature for the prevention of other crises in the future and also to review of related studies is contained in the section “Literature explain to users what went wrong in the credit markets review: theories, empirics and hypothesis development”, and (Bogolsaw, 2008). Thus, non-disclosure of financial reports section “Data and methodology” discusses the data and metho- affects investors’ confidence in the financial system and could dology. The empirical results are contained in section “Empirical further lead to systemic crises in the banking sector. On one results and discussion” and section “Conclusion and policy hand, Gul et al. (2011) argue that societies enjoying a feminine implications” concludes the study. attitude tend to be more secretive, affecting information dis- closure practices (Chau and Gray, 2002). Women, according to Fondas (2000) are more independent as they are not part of Literature review: theories, empirics and hypothesis the “old boys” network, thus can increase the firm’s value. On development the other hand, women might provide more insights about This study draws inspiration from theories associated with corpo- companies, supporting the work by Bernardi et al. (2002) that rate governance, financial disclosure and banking crisis. These the presence of women on boards will improve board mon- include the resource dependency theory and the signalling theory. itoring (Carter et al., 2010), enhance the quality of public In line with board gender diversity–corporate disclosure nexus, the disclosure through better monitoring (Gul et al., 2011) and resource dependence theory explains the rationale for the board’s ensure a stable banking system that reduces the possibility of a function of linking a firm to the external environment, providing banking crisis. Women on boards contribute unique benefits advice and counsel and meeting the information needs of the and resources because they tend to bring diverse expertise and various stakeholders (Hillman and Dalziel, 2003; Bear et al., 2010). leadership competencies, soft-skill resources, human capital, The diversity characteristics of the board members that have been and backgrounds needed to improve company performance discussed in the current literature are board gender diversity. Board and protect the interest of shareholders (Folkman and Zenger, gender diversity is a mechanism to improve and increase corporate 2012). Thus, the presence of women on boards leads to governance and disclosure. The diversity of the board brings dif- increasing firms’ value (Fondas, 2000). ferent views and perspectives and problem-solving skills, leading to In economic literature, the disclosure relates to the signal- better quality decision-making at the board level (Lara et al., 2017). ling theory that states that informational asymmetry is In view of that it is argued that females on boards, with respect to reduced through the disclosure of risk-related information by communication channels, are able to better monitor, due to their the management of the informed party to investors (Anifo- experiences, networking and socialization skills, thus, resulting in wose et al., 2017). The role of information disclosure in the enhanced information environment (Lucas‐Pérez et al. 2015; Liu banking sector is to disclose financial information to users in et al. 2014). Following earlier studies, the study is motivated by the making a better investment decisions (Watts and Zimmerman, fact that the resource dependency theory induces a positive impact 1986). It is possible for depositors’ behaviour of making of women on boards in explaining corporate disclosure. investment decisions to be altered any time information is Prior studies apply the resource dependency theory to under- available. According to Berger and Davies (1998), disclosure is pin the importance of board gender diversity for various firm- beneficial as it allows investors to punish bad financial inter- level outcomes, such as financial performance (Liu et al., 2014; mediaries for higher risk-taking and reward good financial Miller and del Carmen Triana, 2009) and the possibility of a institutions for greater prudence. Despite, the benefits of banking crisis. Theories used to explain the importance of board financial disclosure or transparency to users, information gender diversity and how it influences banking system stability to disclosure by banks can cause investors to misinterpret par- include stakeholder theory and resource dependency theory. ticular information revealed by a single bank to reflect the Stakeholder theory advocates that the interest of the firm lies on weaknesses of the entire banking system, and this could be stakeholders and that the firm must be managed in the interest of costly, as it can trigger investor or creditors’ panic—leading to these stakeholders. Thus, companies involving more women on bank failure and crisis (Goldstein and Pauzner, 2005). A their boards reflect protecting the interest of various stakeholders, number of corporate attributes have been used in previous thus, a positive relationship between women’s presence on boards studies to explain the determinants of the financial disclosures HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | (2022) 9:12 | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x 3 ARTICLE HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x of banks. Financial disclosure is made in annual reports to H2: Board gender diversity and bank disclosure reduce a provide traditional users with information useful to them predicted probability of banking crisis; when making investment and regulatory decisions. Empirically, Kang et al. (2010) examined the effect of cor- H3: Board gender diversity enhances the negative impact of porate disclosure on banking stability in Kong Chian. They bank disclosure on a predicted probability of banking crisis. found that not only does corporate disclosure enhance stability in the banking system, but the diversity of board members has been one of the most important governance regulatory Data and methodology mechanisms (Kang et al., 2010) that helps to reduce the pos- The study finds out the impact of board gender diversity in sibility of crises in the banking sector. Watts and Zimmerman explaining the impact of bank disclosure on the banking crisis (1986) empirically show that financial information disclosure in Africa. The study employs an unbalanced panel dataset of increases the value of a firm because it helps financial state- 42 African countries over the 2006–2018 period. We use the ment users in making better investment decisions. They pooled ordinary least square (OLS) panel, random effect expanded that model, fixed effect model, two staged the least square (2SLS),financial information disclosure is beneficial to firms as it allows depositors to reward good banks for greater and dynamic system generalized methods of moment (GMM) prudence. Further, increasing participation of women on and the logistic regression model, but were applicable based boards enrich board information and strengthen nancial on the specification of the models.fi disclosure, as women on boards play an important role during Country data on macroeconomic indicators were obtained the communication and decision-making process as to which from the World Development Indicator (WDI) while data for (relevant) information to disclose in the reports (Erhardt et al., bank-specific variables were obtained from Bank scope and the 2003). Thus, Erhardt et al. (2003) found that women on boards Global Financial Development Databases. strengthen financial disclosure and by so doing, improve banking performance. However, during crisis situations, banks Model specification. Following the baseline model specification, are less relevant to disclose financial information. Thus, the the study examines three (3) key hypotheses as expressed below: magnitude and significance of the impact of disclosure on bank performance are weaker in countries with banking crises The effect of board gender diversity on bank information dis- compared to those who have never experienced a banking closure. crisis. More so, gender diversity increases the level of information BankDisclosure ¼ β NumWoB þ β WoB voluntarily disclosed by companies—thus, a positive rela- ijt 1 ijt 2 ijt 2 tionship between the extent of disclosure and rm pro tability þ β3NumWoBijt þ β4LERNERfi fi ijt ð1Þ (Erhardt et al., 2003). Nalikka (2009) finds that firms with þ β5OWNijt þ β6GDPperCapjt female chief financial officers are associated with higher þ β7ExRatejt þ β8InfRatejt þ λj þ δt þ μi þ εijt : voluntary disclosures in annual reports, using data from companies listed on the Helsinki Stock Exchange. Mitton (2002) indicates the benefits of greater information disclosure Equation (1) shows the effect of board gender diversity on bank in East Asia and presents in his findings that greater perfor- information disclosure. Board gender diversity is decomposed mance during periods of crisis is linked to greater disclosure into the number of women on boards and the presence of women quality while countries affected by the crises had lower dis- on a board. We expect women on boards to have a positive closure. It is shown that greater disclosure requirements can impact on the information disclosure of banks. This supports the enhance market discipline, reduce the cost of the banking resource dependency theory that female directors on boards crises (Rosengren, 1999); and reduce the possibility of a crisis provide closer monitoring, participate more in committee meet- in the banking sector (Tadesse, 2016). Grassa (2018) studied ings, and are more likely to improve information disclosure whether banks should disclose more information based on (Terjesen et al., 2016). However, we expect a negative relationship depositor discipline in East Asia, and found that healthy banks between the number of women on boards and information can raise deposits by disclosing more information, while weak disclosure of banks. This is because banks that provide a smaller banks cannot. number of female directors on their boards are more likely to From the theoretical and empirical reviews, it is evident that reduce information disclosure. We introduce the square term of the relationship between disclosure and the possibility of a the number of women on boards into the model and expect a banking crisis may be influenced by board gender diversity. positive relationship between the square term and information However, empirical evidence of this effect is non-existent in disclosure of banks. This implies that an additional increase of the African context. It is worthwhile noting that studies that women on boards brings more diverse views and skills on the investigate the direct or individual effects of board gender board, and hence promotes information disclosure of banks based diversity and bank disclosure on banking stability exist. The on the resource dependency theory. literature is however silent on how board gender diversity In what follows, the study looks at the effect of board gender affects disclosure–crisis nexus. Moreover, the existing litera- diversity on the relationship between bank disclosure and a predicted ture on board gender diversity, bank disclosure and banking probability of a banking crisis. The study shares the approach where crises have focused largely on single countries, developed the dependent variable is a dummy variable that distinguishes countries and developing countries (see Nalikka, 2009; Ani- between years of banking crisis and years without banking crisis in fowose et al., 2017; Chantachaimongkol and Chen, 2018; by Africa. We use a qualitative response logit model to estimate the Adeabah et al., 2018). probability of the occurrence of a banking crisis. Based on the above literature review, the following hypothesis is made: Effect of board gender diversity and bank information disclosure on the banking crisis. The panel logistic regression method is used H1: Board gender diversity (women on boards) increases to analyse the predictive ability of the banking crisis in Africa bank disclosure; since the dependent variable takes the value of zero 0 and one (1). 4 HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | (2022) 9:12 | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x ARTICLE The model is expressed as follows: test indicates that the variables are normality distributed around BankCrisis ¼ β NumWoB þ β WoB their mean. The variance inflation factor (VIF) shows thejt 1 ijt 2 ijt þ þ ð  Þ acceptability of each explanatory variable in the dataset. Follow-β4BankDisclosureijt β5 NumWoB BankDisclosure ijt ing the rule of thumb with a threshold of 10 for VIF, VIF values þ β6ðPres WoB  BankDisclosureÞijtþ β7LERNERijt ð2Þ were below the threshold of 10, indicating that the variables are þ β8OWNijt þ β9GDPperCapjt þ β10ExRatejt all acceptable in the model. Some tests were conducted and these þ β11InfRatejt þ λi þ δj þ μt þ εijt: include Breusch and Pagan LM test results. Moreover, the 2SLS was conducted to deal with possible endogeneity that might be The study uses panel logistic regression to analyse the effect of present in the model. However, the nature of the dependent board gender diversity and bank disclosure on the predicted variable, which is a dummy variable (probability distribution), probability of a banking crisis. To deal with possible endogeneity calls for the use of a logistic regression model. This is presented in between the variables, the study employs the dynamic panel Table 6. estimation. Following Ozili (2018), we use the dynamic panel estimation techniques including the system-GMM estimation and the model is specified as. Empirical results and discussion ¼ þ The study presents descriptive statistics of the explanatory vari-BankCrisisjt αBankCrisisjt1 β1NumWoBijt ables. Summary statistics and Pearson’s correlation are used to þ β2WoBijt þ β4BankDisclosureijt screen and test the reliability of the dataset. These are presented þ β5ðNumWoB  BankDisclosureÞijt ð Þ in order to ensure consistency, efficiency, reliability and robust-þ 3β ðPres WoB  BankDisclosureÞ þ β LERNER ness of findings (see Table 2). Return on asset (ROA) is averagely6 ijt 7 ijt þ β OWN þ β GDPperCap þ β ExRate about 9.1%. The average number of women on Boards was 18 ijt 9 jt 10 jt þ þ þ þ þ while there was an average of 10% for a woman to be present on aβ11InfRatejt λi δj μt εijt : board. Bank disclosure recorded an average of 5.19, ranging In Eqs. (1)–(3), subscript i denotes the cross-sectional between 0 and 10. The average Lerner index of banks is 0.52, dimension (bank), i ¼ 1; :::;N ; j denotes cross-sectional dimen- ranging between –1.1979 and 2.22. The average percentage of sion (country specifics), j= 1,…,M; and t denotes the time-series board members owning shares in the company is 51.97%. The log dimension (time), t = 1, …, T; βi; i ¼ 1; :::; 11, are regression of GDP per capita recorded a mean of 2.76. Exchange rates parameters to be estimated; λ is the bank fixed effect i; δ is the recorded an average of 6.645 rates to the dollar and inflationi j country fixed effect; and μ is the time fixed effect t; and ε is recorded an average of 8.86. Table 3 reports the Pearson corre-t ijt idiosyncratic error term which controls for unit-speci c residual lation coefficient matrix to check for possible multicollinearityfi in the model for the ith bank in the jth country at period t. between the explanatory variables. For multicollinearity to occur, The error term of the model was tested for their assumptions of the correlation coefficient between any two variables should be normality, autocorrelation and homoscedasticity. The coef cients 0.7 or more (Kennedy, 2008). We find no multicollinearity pro-fi of variables were tested to address the presence of multi- blem and we proceed to run the regression. collinearity among the predictors. Prior to estimating the interaction effect of board gender Regression results. The study finds out whether board diversity is diversity and bank disclosure on a predicted probability of important in explaining the effect of bank disclosure on the banking crisis, the study looks at the independent effect of board banking crisis in Africa. First, we find out the effect of gender gender diversity and bank disclosure on a predicted probability of diversity on bank disclosure. Second, we conduct an independent banking crisis. effect of gender diversity and bank disclosure on the probability From Eq. (2) the study expects a negative impact of board of a banking crisis. Finally, it examines the role of board diversity, gender diversity and bank disclosure on a predicted probability of specifically women on boards in explaining the relationship banking crisis. This supports the resource dependency theory and between bank disclosures and the banking crisis in Africa. the signalling theory. The resource dependency theory argues that women are more independent as they promote network Board gender diversity and bank disclosure. We present a experience, thus can increase the firm’s value and reducing the robustness check by employing pooled OLS panel, fixed effect possibility of a banking crisis. The signalling theory shows the model, random effect model, two-staged least square (2SLS) and benefits of financial disclosure or transparency to users, and that the logistic regression model to analyse the effect of women on information disclosure by banks increases the firm value and boards (diversity) on disclosure of banks. We test for the reduces the possibility of the banking crisis. appropriate estimation model that best explains our results by Next, the study interacts with board gender diversity and bank using the Hausman test and Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian disclosure and regresses it on the predicted probability of a Multiplier Test. Board gender diversity was measured using the banking crisis. The study computes the net effect and interprets number of women on board and the presence of women the results based on marginal effects. Our interpretations are close on board. to the work of Bramber et al. (2006) and we expect that board From Table 4 (Models 1–4), the number of women on boards gender diversity enhances the negative impact of bank disclosure was negatively linked to bank disclosure. This suggests that a on a predicted probability of banking crisis. decrease in the number of women directors limits the amount of Description of all variables, measurements and expectations of information disclosed. Thus, smaller number of women on board the results are presented in Table 1. decreases bank disclosure. The study found a positive impact of the square of the number of women on boards and bank Estimation technique. The study conducts some diagnostics disclosure. This implies that banks that increase the number of tests. Table 2 shows the summary statistics of the variables women onboard above-average levels promote banking disclo- employed in the models to screen for outliers that have the sure. The resource dependency theory predicts a positive potential to affect the efficiency, consistency and biasness of the relationship between board gender diversity and corporate estimated coefficients. The summary statistics do not show any disclosure as board gender diversity is expected to increase board evidence of outliers and the Shapiro–Wilk (SWILK) normality independence, decrease information asymmetry, and hence HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | (2022) 9:12 | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x 5 ARTICLE HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x Table 1 Summary of variables. Variable Measurement Priori expectation Dependent variables Banking crisis Dummy Variable for Banking Crisis BankCrisis= 1, if banks in country j have experienced crisis Expected to change as (BankCrisis) within a year, 0 otherwise predictors change Independent variables Board Gender Presence of Women on Women on Board=Dummy variable: 1, when a woman is Negative/positive Diversity Boards (WoB) an executive member, and 0 otherwise Number of women on Boards Proportion of women to men on the board (NumWoB) Greater proportion of women on sqNumber of Women= the Square of the ratio of women to Board (sqNumber of Women) men on the board Bank Information Disclosure Information BankDisclosure= categorical variable (0–10): level of Negative/positive Disclosure (BankDisclosure) investor protection through disclosure of ownership and financial information or level of releasing relevant financial information pertaining to a bank (from no disclosure= 0, — to — maximum disclosure= 10). Control variables Bank specific Competition(LERNER) Lerner Index (LERNER)= PriceMarginalCostPrice Negative variables Ownership (OWN) Percentage of board members who hold shares in the bank Negative Macroeconomic Exchange rate (ExRate) Annual Exchange rate per year Positive variables GDP growth (GDPpercapt) Natural logarithm of GDP per capital Negative Inflation rate (InFratet) Inflation rate per year Positive/Negative Source: Computation from World Development Indicator (WDI), World Governance Indicator (World Bank), Global Financial Development Database and Bankscope and Authors’ computation. Table 2 Summary statistics. Variable Mean Std. dev. Min Max SWILK VIF (mean VIF= 1.27) Banking Crisis 0.0591 0.2359 0 1 0.00*** Number of Women 1.1011 1.5186 0 11 0.00*** 1.98 Women on Boards 0.0985 0.1248 0 1 0.00*** 1.97 Bank Disclosure 5.1982 2.3684 0 10 0.00*** 1.01 LERNER 0.5100 0.4930 −1.1979 2.2209 0.00*** 1.03 OWN 0.5197 0.4996 0 1 0.00*** 1.01 GDPperCap 2.7602 4.0427 −17.4726 24.2148 0.00*** 1.04 ExRate 6.645 7.81 0.9165 10.2657 0.00*** 1.07 infRate 8.8618 5.5289 −1.8006 33.2242 0.00*** 1.03 Women on Boards=Dummy variable: 1, when a woman is an executive member, and 0 otherwise; Number of women on board measured as the proportion of Women on Board; Bank Disclosure= categorical variable (0–10): level of investor protection through disclosure of ownership and financial information or level of releasing relevant financial information pertaining to a bank (from no disclosure= 0, — to — maximum disclosure= 10); Lerner index is the only measure of competition; Ownership (OWN) is the percentage of board members who hold shares in the bank; Exchange Rate (ExRate) is the Annual Exchange rate per year; GDP per capita (GDPperCap) is the natural logarithm of GDP per capital. Table 3 Pairwise correlation matrix and the significance of the variables. (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) Number of Women (1) 1 Women on Boards (2) 0.6897 1 Bank Disclosure (3) −0.597*** −0.671*** 1 LERNER (4) −0.391*** −0.363*** 0.574*** 1 Own (5) 0.282* 0.213*** 0.102*** −0.482*** 1 lnGDPperCap (6) 0.649* 0.448*** 0.325*** −0.131*** −0.107*** 1 ExRate (7) −0.221* 0.697* 0.317*** 0.1064** 0.092 0.2619*** 1 InfRate (8) −0.009 −0.368* 0.357** −0.0291 0.118* 0.438* 0.1023* 1 Women on Boards=Dummy variable: 1, when a woman is an executive member, and 0 otherwise; Number of women on Boards measured as the proportion of Women on Boards; Bank Disclosure= categorical variable (0–10): level of investor protection through disclosure of ownership and financial information or level of releasing relevant financial information pertaining to a bank (from no disclosure= 0, — to — maximum disclosure= 10); Lerner index is the only measure of competition; Ownership (OWN) is the percentage of board members who hold shares in the bank; Exchange Rate (ExRate) is the Annual Exchange rate per year; GDP per capita (GDPperCap) is the natural logarithm of GDP per capital. Significance level: ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1. increase information disclosure. Again, the presence of women on relationship between gender–board diversity and corporate board has a positive impact on bank disclosure (see Models 1–4). disclosure. This supports the resource dependency theory that induces a From our results, although the number of women on boards positive impact of gender-board diversity on corporate disclosure. has a negative and significant relationship on disclosure across It agrees with the work of Lara et al. (2017), who found a positive the models, we observe that the square of women on boards has a 6 HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | (2022) 9:12 | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x ARTICLE Table 4 The relationship between board gender diversity and bank disclosure. Variables Pooled OLS panel Fixed effect Random effect 2SLS Model 1 Model 2 Model 3 Model 4 Number of Women −0.104*** (0.0231) −0.104*** (0.0186) −0.104*** (0.0185) −0.161*** (0.0326) sqNumber of Women 0.0789*** (0.0240) 0.0784*** (0.0131) 0.0789*** (0.0138) 0.127*** (0.0329) Women on Boards 1.279*** (0.368) 1.278*** (0.258) 1.279*** (0.258) 2.372*** (0.547) LERNER 0.294*** (0.0662) 0.314*** (0.0604) 0.294*** (0.0638) 0.107 (0.111) OWN 0.0685 (0.0638) 0.0652* (0.0363) 0.0685* (0.0365) −0.0401 (0.0896) LnGDP per capita 0.0263** (0.0105) 0.0256** (0.00902) 0.0263*** (0.00906) −0.00357 (0.0197) Exchange Rate 1.43e−05 (1.11e−05) 1.04e−05 (9.41e−06) 1.43e−05 (9.76e−06) 7.01e-05** (2.96e−05) Inflation Rate 0.0128** (0.00566) 0.0163*** (0.00289) 0.0128*** (0.00432) −0.00824 (0.00988) Year Effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Country Effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Instrument (Board Expenses) 0.00318**(0.00135) Constant 4.961*** (0.0823) 4.927*** (0.0783) 4.961*** (0.0918) 5.536*** (0.184) Observations 2869 2869 2869 2869 R-squared 0.013 0.013 Hausman test Chi 11.26 Prob > chi 0.0808* Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian multiplier test Chi 0.00 Prob > chi 1.00 The dependent variable is bank disclosure which is a categorical variable (0–10). For robustness checks, it employs the pooled OLS, Fixed Effect, Random Effect and the Two Stage Least Square (2SLS). Women on Boards=Dummy variable: 1, when a woman is an executive member, and 0 otherwise; Number of women on boards measured as the proportion of Women on Boards; level of investor protection through disclosure of ownership and financial information or level of releasing relevant financial information pertaining to a bank (from no disclosure= 0, — to — maximum disclosure= 10); Lerner index is the only measure of competition; Ownership (OWN) is the percentage of board members who hold shares in the bank; Exchange Rate (ExRate) is the Annual Exchange rate per year; GDP per capita (GDPperCap) is the natural logarithm of GDP per capital. Robust standard errors in parentheses. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1. positive and significant relationship on disclosure (see Models which may interfere with the goal of achieving banking stability. 1–4). This suggests that an increasing degree of women on boards Moreover, women on boards may bring independent views that confirms a positive relationship between board gender diversity align the interest of shareholders with board directors and protect and disclosure through resource dependency theory and the interest of owners to achieve the objective of attaining stakeholder theory where women play an important role in banking system stability. protecting the interest and information of investors and We observe that the presence of women on a board, is stakeholders. Our results show non-linear or an indirect negatively and significantly linked to the possibility of the U-shaped relationship between the number of women on board banking crisis in the regression (Model 5). This shows that and bank disclosure. Thus, protection of shareholder’s interest or the presence of women on boards has a direct negative effect on banks’ financial information (disclosure) reduces but reaches a the possibility of the banking crisis. This can be explained that the limit as the number of women on board grow. Thus, disclosure presence of women on the boards provide an incentive to reduce may decrease as the number of women on boards increases to a the banking crisis while controlling for a prudent information point where the relation hits the optimal or maximum point from disclosure environment. which disclosure will increase. The implication is that banks The study found that disclosure has a negative and significant should keep an optimal number of women on boards in order to relationship with the predicted probability of a banking crisis (Model enhance disclosure. 5). This can be explained that disclosure reduces information asymmetry and confirms the signalling theory that disclosure is Independent effect of board gender diversity and bank disclosure beneficial as it allows investors to take higher risks and reward good on banking crisis. Next, we find out the independent effect of financial institutions for greater prudence. This shows that increasing board gender diversity and disclosure on the predicted probability disclosure is likely to reduce the possibility of a banking crisis. This is of banking crisis, using the logistic model. We conduct a because banks in countries with strong information-sharing robustness check (pooled OLS panel, fixed effect model, random mechanisms are able to decrease the banking crises. effect model and two-staged least square (2SLS)) to identify the The negative impact of board gender diversity and bank disclosure consistency and efficiency of the estimates, as shown in Table 5. on the banking crisis is consistent and robust across all the models However, we interpret our results using the logistic regression (Models 5–9). The findings can be explained that a large proportion model (Model 5) due to the nature of the dependent variable (i.e., of women on boards and the presence of women on boards increase a dummy variable (probability distribution). the amount of information disclosed, especially for banks who In Table 5, our results present a negative and significant are prone to taking more risk and whose market had yet to perceive relationship between the number of women on boards and serious problems. Moreover, women on boards bring diverse predicted probability of banking crisis (model 5). This shows that opinions in the boardroom, bring strategic inputs to the board, increasing the number of women on a board is likely to decrease influence decision making and ensuring leadership and boardroom the likelihood of a banking crisis. This is in line with the work by behaviour, and hence increase banking system stability and reduce Lucas‐Pérez et al. (2015) and Liu et al. (2014); as this implies that the likelihood of a banking crisis. more women on boards may reduce the problem of cohesiveness, In what follows, we investigate the joint effect of board gender control and flexibility of decision making, decrease communica- diversity and disclosure on the predicted probability of a banking tion costs, as well as reducing gender conflict and imbalances crisis. HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | (2022) 9:12 | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x 7 ARTICLE HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x Table 5 Robust checks: Independent effect of board gender diversity and bank disclosure on banking crisis. Variables Logistic regression Pooled OLS panel Fixed effect Random effect 2SLS Model 5 Model 6 Model 7 Model 8 Model 9 Number of Women −0.496*** (0.0482) −0.0426*** −0.0421*** −0.0426*** (0.00205) −0.0873*** (0.0211) (0.00544) (0.00225) Women on Boards −3.245*** (0.859) −0.218*** (0.0378) −0.211*** (0.0216) −0.218*** (0.0194) −1.590*** (0.205) Bank Disclosure −0.973*** (0.317) −0.00327** −0.00312** −0.00327*** 0.00610 (0.0101) (0.00154) (0.000775) (0.000902) LERNER 1.835*** (0.186) 0.110*** (0.0123) 0.117*** (0.0208) 0.110*** (0.0217) −0.0693 (0.0512) OWN 0.899*** (0.185) 0.0448*** (0.00857) 0.0450*** 0.0448*** (0.00324) −0.00452 (0.0455) (0.00368) LnGDP per capita 0.104*** (0.0186) 0.00503*** 0.00569 (0.00477) 0.00503 (0.00413) −0.0561*** (0.00102) (0.00885) Exchange Rate −0.000872*** −1.76e-05*** −1.86e-05*** −1.76e-05*** −4.39e-05*** (6.34e-05) (1.58e-06) (4.45e-06) (3.72e-06) (1.12e-05) Inflation Rate 0.0892*** (0.0134) 0.00482*** 0.00543 (0.00401) 0.00482 (0.00346) −0.0144*** (0.000706) (0.00453) Year Effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Country Effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Instrument (Board 0.00764*** Expenses) (0.000509) Constant −4.722*** (0.500) −0.0679*** −0.0766* (0.0378) −0.0679** (0.0308) 0.720*** (0.0803) (0.00907) Observations 2,917 2,917 2,917 2,869 R-squared 0.116 0.120 Pseudo-R square 0.6122*** 0.5648*** Hausman test Chi 15.18 Prob>chi 0.0337** Breusch and Pagan Lagrangian Multiplier test Chi 0.00 Prob>chi 1.00 The dependent variable is banking crisis, constructed with dummy, equal to 1 if a country experienced banking crisis. For robustness checks, it employs the pooled OLS, Fixed Effect, Random Effect and the Two Stage Least Square (2SLS). Robust standard errors in parentheses. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1. Interaction effect of board gender diversity on the relationship (presence of women on a board and number of women on a between bank disclosure and banking crisis. We use the logistic board) and banks’ information disclosure on the banking crisis. model to examine the role that board gender diversity plays in This was done by using the system-GMM analysis that controls explaining the relationship between bank disclosures and banking for possible endogeneity between board gender diversity, crises. The dynamic system GMM model is employed as a disclosure and banking crisis. robustness check. In Table 6, the previous year’s crisis in the banking sector had a In Table 6, we find that the unconditional effect of bank positive impact on the current banking crisis (see Models 12 and disclosure was negatively and significantly linked to the banking 13). This shows that the banking crisis in the past is persistent crisis. The coefficient of the presence of women on boards is over time. Bank disclosure has a negative and significant positive. However, the coefficient of the interaction term between relationship with the banking crises (Models 12 and 13). This the presence of women on boards and bank disclosure was indicates that increasing the level of bank information disclosure, negative and significant. Thus, the conditional effect of bank reduces information asymmetry and builds investor confidence disclosure is negative and significant (see model 10). For instance, and thereby attracting more investment opportunities for higher using model 10, the net effect of bank disclosure on the presence returns to the banks. Hence, bank disclosure has a reductive effect of women on boards based on the coefficients is as follows: on the banking crisis. Banking crisis=−0.109+ (−0.0299)(presence of women on The estimated net effect of bank disclosure on banking crisis board)=−0.1389, when a woman is present on a board. The conditioned on board gender diversity shows that the negative net effect is negative and this suggests that the negative impact of impact of bank disclosure on banking crisis is magnified in the bank disclosure on the predicted probability of banking crisis is presence of board gender diversity (see Models 12 and 13). The enhanced when a woman is present on board. Thus, the presence implication is that women on boards should provide a prudent of women on boards increase the reductive effect of bank decision on financial information disclosure that would significantly disclosure on the likelihood of a banking crisis. enhance banking profitability in periods with the banking crisis. In Model 11, the conditional effect of bank disclosure is negatively and significantly linked to the predicted probability of banking crisis (see Model 11). The net effect is estimated to be Conclusion and policy implications −0.1336. This suggests that the reductive effect of bank disclosure The study extends the existing literature on gender board diver- on the predicted probability of banking crisis is enhanced when sity and disclosure in the African banking system. The aim of the the number of women on boards increases. In Models 12 and 13, study is to investigate the role of board gender diversity (presence the study analyses the interaction effect of board gender diversity of women on boards and the number of women on boards) in 8 HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | ( 2022) 9:12 | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x HUMANITIES AND SOCIAL SCIENCES COMMUNICATIONS | https://doi.org/10.1057/s41599-021-01019-x ARTICLE Table 6 Interaction Effect of board gender diversity on the relationship between bank disclosure and banking crisis. Logistic regression Dynamic GMM Model 10 Model 11 Model 12 Model 13 Banking Crisist−1 0.925*** (0.00591) 0.858*** (0.0153) Bank Disclosure −0.109*** (0.0400) −0.155*** (0.0433) −0.997*** (0.275) −0.654*** (0.248) Number of Women 0.365*** (0.0397) 0.525*** (0.0796) Women Present on a Board −3.844*** (0.798) −2.611*** (0.492) −0.0429*** (0.00206) −1.247** (0.495) Women on Board*Bank Disclosure −0.0299** (0.0142) 0.146* (0.0850) Number of Women*Bank Disclosure 0.217** (0.109) −0.185*** (0.0686) LERNER 1.840*** (0.178) 1.818*** (0.183) 1.825*** (0.182) 0.120 (0.491) OWN 0.973*** (0.179) 0.913*** (0.182) 0.885*** (0.182) 0.460*** (0.117) LnGDP per capita 0.132*** (0.0172) 0.113*** (0.0181) 0.110*** (0.0182) −0.0965 (0.0769) Exchange Rate −0.00108*** −0.000943*** −0.000966*** 7.21e-05 (7.20e-05) (7.22e-05) (7.22e-05) (0.000185) Inflation Rate 0.0822*** (0.0115) 0.0889*** (0.0128) 0.0894*** (0.0130) 0.0622*(0.0339) Year Effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Country Effect Yes Yes Yes Yes Constant -5.945*** (0.343) -6.486*** (0.384) -5.296*** (0.293) −0.886 (0.656) Pseudo-R square 0.5088*** 0.6114*** Hansen Test 0.001 0.293 AR(1) 0.000 0.000 AR(2) 0.199 0.748 Observations 2,917 2,935 2,935 4,330 Net Effect −0.1389*** −0.1336*** −0.9826*** −0.8577*** Robust standard errors in parentheses. ***p < 0.01, **p < 0.05, *p < 0.1. explaining the effect of bank disclosure on the banking crisis. The managers to use greater information disclosure as a signal to study employs different panel estimates based on a dataset of 42 attract more market participants. African countries over the 2006–2018 periods. First, the study Future research can look at how board gender diversity and examines the effect of board gender diversity on the disclosure of information disclosure are associated with banking stability in the banks. It further explains the independent effect of board gender different regulatory frameworks for other regions. diversity and disclosure on the banking crisis. Lastly, it analyses the interaction effect of gender diversity and disclosure in Data availability explaining the possibility of the banking crisis. 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