University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh UNIVERSITY OF GHANA HYDROGEOLOGICAL ASSESSMENT OF GROUNDWATER ON LEGON CAMPUS: APPLICATION OF GEOPHYSICAL AND NUMERICAL TECHNIQUES BY PATIENCE BOSOMPEMAA (10250248) THIS THESIS IS SUBMITTED TO THE EARTH SCIENCE DEPARTMENT, UNIVERSITY OF GHANA, LEGON IN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIREMENT FOR THE AWARD OF A MASTER OF PHILOSOPHY DEGREE IN GEOLOGY JULY, 2015 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh DECLARATION I, Patience Bosompemaa, hereby declare that this thesis is a result of an original research undertaken under supervision by Prof. Sandow Mark Yidana and Dr. Larry- Pax Chegbeleh towards the award of Master of Philosophy in Geology in the Earth Science Department, University of Ghana. And that to the best of my knowledge, it has not been presented elsewhere for another degree except where due acknowledgement has been made in the text. …………………………………….. Date……………………………… PATIENCE BOSOMPEMAA (Student) ……………………………………….... Date……………………………. PROF. SANDOW MARK YIDANA (Principal Supervisor) …………………………………… Date……………………………. DR. LARRY-PAX CHEGBELEH (Co-Supervisor) i University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh ABSTRACT The hydrogeological conditions of University of Ghana, Legon Campus was assessed using geophysical and numerical techniques. Data from borehole lithological logs and electrical resistivity survey was used to conceptualize the hydrogeological system of the terrain whiles using MODFLOW to generate groundwater flow simulation models under steady state conditions. The objective of the study was to conceptualize the hydrostratigraphy through geophysical techniques, develop a groundwater flow geometry for proper understanding of the mechanisms of groundwater flow in the area and to estimate groundwater budget and the responses of the aquifer system to stress. The calibrated steady state model together with a stochastic approach was used to simulate some scenarios of groundwater resource and its management in the area. The results of the study suggested three main lithostratigraphic units from geoelectric sections and the stratigraphic model and these units are phyllite, quartzite and laterite from the bottom to the top. Based on the borehole logs, the pseudo- sections and the geology of the area, the aquifer was encountered at a depth of about 38 m to 60 m which is attributed to probably the moderately weathered phyllite or quartzite giving an aquifer zone of thickness 22 m and this could be variable in space. The result suggests the dominance of local groundwater flow systems which results from the local changes in topography and hydraulic conductivity field. The estimated hydraulic conductivity values range between 4.0 m/day and 60.0 m/day and this is probably attributed to the local changes in the degree of weathering and/or fracturing in space. The estimated groundwater recharge ranges between 0.008 m/yr to 0.12 m/yr with an average of 0.064 m/yr representing 1% and 15%, with an average of 8.1% of the annual precipitation of 0.7 m in the area. The amount of water that entered the aquifer system through the general heads is 368368.08 m3/d and this is due to changes in the hydraulic ii University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh heads and the interconnectivity of the system with other aquifer systems. The contribution of recharge to the water budget seem low because the vertical percolation of rainwater is restricted due to the clayey nature of the terrain and the many physical developments which are seen on the Legon Campus. From the scenario analysis that were performed, decrease in recharge did not have any significant change on the groundwater water system. However, when the initial abstraction rates were increased up to about 50%, dry cells were observed around some of the wells. iii University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh DEDICATION This work is dedicated to my parents, Mr Frederick Owusu Afriyie and Madam Alice Serwah. To my entire family and friends, especially Mr Emmanuel Kweku Effah Asante who in one way or the other have contributed to my success. I am very grateful and God bless you. iv University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I am very grateful to God Almighty for his mercies and grace. My profound gratitude goes to my supervisors Prof. Mark Sandow Yidana and Dr Larry- Pax Chegbeleh for their immense supervision, hard work, constructive criticisms and support in making this thesis a success. God bless you abundantly. I am also grateful to Prof. Daniel Asiedu, Dr. Thomas Armah, Prof Atta- Peters and Prof. Prosper Nude of the Earth Science Department, University of Ghana for their support. To Mr. Stephen Essel of SAL Consult Limited, Millicent Obeng Addai, Emmanuel Kofi Abitty, Elizabeth Darko, Patrick Banahene, Daniel Kwayisi, Patience Garrey, Richard Dogbe, Mr Kyeremeh of Frankatson Limited and Rev. and Mrs Aggrey I say thank you for your support. I wish to thank Ebiasah Sampson Odoom, Amoo Michael, Asem Enock Elikplim, Nipa Sebastian and Anyormi David Prince all of the Department of Earth Science, University of Ghana for their immense support. Finally, I would like to extend my gratitude to HEISA Engineering Company Ltd for their assistance. v University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh TABLE OF CONTENTS DECLARATION .................................................................................................................. i ABSTRACT ........................................................................................................................ ii DEDICATION .................................................................................................................... iv ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ................................................................................................. v LIST OF FIGURES ............................................................................................................ ix LIST OF TABLES ............................................................................................................. xii LIST OF APPENDICES ................................................................................................. xiii CHAPTER ONE .................................................................................................................. 1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................................... 1 1.1 BACKGROUND AND JUSTIFICATION ........................................................... 1 1.2. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES ..................................................................................... 6 1.3 STUDY AREA .......................................................................................................... 7 1.3.1 LOCATION AND ACCESSIBILITY ................................................................ 7 1.3.2. CLIMATE AND VEGETATION ...................................................................... 7 1.3.3. TOPOGRAPHY AND DRAINAGE ................................................................. 7 1.3.4. SOIL ................................................................................................................... 9 1.3.5. GEOLOGY ......................................................................................................... 9 1.3.6. HYDROGEOLOGY ........................................................................................ 13 CHAPTER TWO ............................................................................................................... 14 LITERATURE REVIEW .................................................................................................. 14 2.1. GROUNDWATER RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT AND MANAGEMENT METHODS .................................................................................................................... 14 2.2 GEOPHYSICAL APPLICATIONS IN HYDROGEOLOGICAL INVESTIGATIONS ................................................................................................... 15 2.3 NUMERICAL TECHNIQUES IN HYDROGEOLOGICAL INVESTIGATIONS .................................................................................................................................... 21 CHAPTER THREE ........................................................................................................... 31 MATERIALS AND METHODS ...................................................................................... 31 3.1 DESK STUDY ......................................................................................................... 31 3.2 GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY ..................................................................................... 31 3.3 GROUNDWATER MODELLING.......................................................................... 35 3.3.1 CONCEPTUALIZATION OF THE HYDROGEOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK .................................................................................................................................... 37 3.3.1.1 Generating stratigraphy .............................................................................. 37 3.3.1.2 Generating solids ........................................................................................ 37 vi University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 3.3.2 MODEL FORMULATION ............................................................................... 38 3.3.3 NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF FLOW ....................................................... 42 3.3.3.1 Model Calibration ....................................................................................... 43 3.3.3.2 Sensitivity Analysis .................................................................................... 43 3.3.3.3 Stochastic Approach ................................................................................... 44 3.3.3.4 Analysis of Scenarios ................................................................................. 45 CHAPTER FOUR ............................................................................................................. 46 RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS ..................................................................................... 46 4.1 GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY ..................................................................................... 46 4.1.2 CORRELATION BETWEEN APPARENT RESISTIVITY AND LITHOLOGY ............................................................................................................. 48 4.1.3 DEDUCTIONS FROM RESISTIVITY PSEUDO-SECTIONS ....................... 50 4.1.3.1 Section for Mensah Sarbah Hall (SB) ........................................................ 50 4.1.3.2 Section for Hilla Limann Hall (HL) ........................................................... 51 4.1.3.3 Section for Alexander Kwapong Hall (KWP) ............................................ 52 4.1.3.4 Section for Valco Trust Hostel (VAL) ....................................................... 54 4.1.3.5 Section for Legon Hall Annex C (LGC)..................................................... 55 4.1.3.6 Section for Commonwealth Hall (CW) ...................................................... 57 4.1.3.7 Section for University of Ghana Botanical Gardens (UGBBH1) ............... 58 4.1.3.8 Section for University of Ghana Botanical Gardens (UGBBH2) ............... 59 4.1.3.9 Section for Earth Science (ESC)................................................................. 61 4.1.4 CONCEPTUALIZATION OF THE AQUIFER UNIT .................................... 62 4.2 GROUNDWATER FLOW MODELLING ............................................................. 63 4.2.1 STRATIGRAPHY............................................................................................. 63 4.2.1.1 Cross-section............................................................................................... 64 4.2.2 STEADY- STATE SIMULATIONS ................................................................ 65 4.2.2.1 Hydraulic head ............................................................................................ 65 4.2.2.2 The Hydraulic conductivity Field ............................................................... 70 4.2.2.3 Groundwater recharge ................................................................................ 72 4.2.2.4 Water budget ............................................................................................... 74 4.2.3 STOCHASTIC MODEL ................................................................................... 76 4.2.4 SCENARIO ANALYSIS .................................................................................. 79 CHAPTER FIVE ............................................................................................................. 103 CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS .......................................................... 103 5.1 CONCLUSIONS .................................................................................................... 103 vii University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 5.2 RECOMMENDATIONS ....................................................................................... 105 REFERENCES ................................................................................................................ 106 APPENDIX ..................................................................................................................... 116 viii University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh LIST OF FIGURES Figure 1.1: Location map of Legon and its surrounding areas showing the various communities ……………………………………….……………………………………. 8 Figure 1.2: Map of Greater Accra Metropolitan Assembly (GAMA) of Ghana showing Legon Campus within the Togo Structural Unit……………….……………………… 11 Figure 1.3: Geological map of the study area showing the various lithologies and borehole locations ………………………………………….…………………………………….. 13 Figure 3.1: An illustration for Schlumberger array and apparent resistivity (Morrison and Gasperikova, 2012)………………………………………………………………………………..33 Figure 3.2: Map showing the various VES survey points …..……….…………………. 34 Figure 3.3: Digitized map of the coverage area ……………………..……..……..……. 40 Figure 3.4: Map in plain view showing grid over the active domain ………….………. 41 Figure 3.5: Map in 3D showing grid over the active domain. ………………...……….. 42 Figure 3.6: Map in 3D showing the spatial interpolation on the elevation data …..…… 42 Figure 4.1: Curves types distribution in the study area ………………………….…….. 49 Figure 4.2: Resistivity pseudo section for SB ……………………………..………….. 52 Figure 4.3: Resistivity pseudo section for HL ……………………………..…………... 53 Figure 4.4: Resistivity pseudo section for AKWP ……………………..……………… 54 Figure 4.5: Resistivity pseudo section for VAL ……………………..………………… 56 Figure 4.6: Resistivity pseudo section for LGC ……………………..………………… 57 Figure 4.7: Resistivity pseudo section for CW ……………………..…………………. 58 Figure 4.8: Resistivity pseudo section for UGBBH1 ………………..………………… 60 Figure 4.9: Resistivity pseudo section for UGBBH2 …………………..……………… 61 Figure 4.10: Resistivity pseudo section for ESC ……………………...……………….. 62 Figure 4.11: A 3D view of the borehole logs that was generated from the twelve borehole logs …………………………….…………………………….……...………………….. 64 Figure 4.12: Oblique view of the solids created with some little amount of exaggeration depicting the lithostratigraphic framework of the basin ………...……………………... 65 Figure 4.13: Selected cross sections cut from the solid model in different directions….. 66 Figure 4.14: A match between the model computed heads and observed heads …...….. 67 Figure 4.15: The most prominent groundwater flowpaths in the study area ……...…… 69 Figure 4.16: Hydraulic head distribution of the calibrated model ……………………... 70 Figure 4.17: Calibrated hydraulic conductivity field for the study area ………...……... 72 ix University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.18: Recharge distribution for the study area ………………………..………… 74 Figure 4.19: Eight solutions from the stochastic approach …………………………….. 78 Figure 4.20: Standard deviation map for the hydraulic heads form the stochastic simulation ……………………………………………………………………….............................. 79 Figure 4.21: Hydraulic head distribution after 10% increment in abstraction rates ….... 82 Figure 4.22: Hydraulic head distribution after 20% increment in abstraction rates …… 82 Figure 4.23: Hydraulic head distribution after 25% increment in abstraction rates ....... 83 Figure 4.24: Hydraulic head distribution after 50% increment in abstraction rates …… 83 Figure 4.25: Hydraulic head distribution after 100% increment in abstraction rates....... 84 Figure 4.26: Hydraulic head distribution after 200% increment in abstraction rates....... 84 Figure 4.27: Same abstraction rate with 10% decrease in recharge …………………… 86 Figure 4.28: Same abstraction rate with 15% decrease in recharge …………………… 86 Figure 4.29: Same abstraction rate with 20% decrease in recharge …………………… 87 Figure 4.30: Same abstraction rate with 25% decrease in recharge …………………... 87 Figure 4.31: Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 10% …… 89 Figure 4.32: Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 20% …….. 89 Figure 4.33: Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 25% ….…. 90 Figure 4.34: Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 50% ….…. 90 Figure 4.35: Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 100% …… 91 Figure 4.36: Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 200%........ 91 Figure 4.37: Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 10% …….. 94 Figure 4.38: Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 20%........... 94 Figure 4.39: Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 25% …..… 95 Figure 4.40: Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 50% …….. 95 Figure 4.41: Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 100% …... 96 Figure 4.42: Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 200% …... 96 Figure 4.43: Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 10% …...... 97 Figure 4.44: Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 20% …...... 97 Figure 4.45: Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 25% …...... 98 Figure 4.46: Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 50% …..... 98 Figure 4.47: Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 100% ....... 99 Figure 4.48: Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 200% ....... 99 x University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.49: Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 10% ….... 100 Figure 4.50: Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 20% …… 100 Figure 4.51: Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 25% …… 101 Figure 4.52: Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 50% …… 101 Figure 4.53: Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 100% ….. 102 Figure 4.54: Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 200% ….. 102 xi University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh LIST OF TABLES Table 4.1: Statistical summary of VES modelled results ………..……………………... 48 Table 4.2: Summary of the 12 borehole logs from some boreholes drilled on Legon Campus …………………..………………………………………………………………………. 50 Table 4.3: Water budget for the study area from the steady state model ………….……. 76 Table 4.4: A table showing the initial flow rates for the scenario analysis ………....….. 80 Table 4.5: A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14wells for the scenario of increasing abstraction up to 200% …………………………...……………………… 81 Table 4.6: A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14wells for the scenario of maintaining abstraction with decreasing recharge by 10%, 15%, 20% and 25% …… 85 Table 4.7: A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14wells for the scenario of decreasing recharge by 10% and increasing abstraction up to 200% ………..…..….. 88 Table 4.8: A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14wells for the scenario of decreasing recharge by 15% and increasing abstraction up to 200% ……………..…. 92 Table 4.9: A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14wells for the scenario of decreasing recharge by 20% and increasing abstraction up to 200% ………..……… 92 Table 4.10: A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14 wells for the scenario of decreasing recharge by 25 % and increasing abstraction up to 200 %......................... 93 xii University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh LIST OF APPENDICES Appendix 1: Vertical electrical sounding results for each station ……………..……… 117 Appendix 2: Vertical electrical sounding model results for each station …………..…. 125 xiii University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CHAPTER ONE INTRODUCTION 1.1 BACKGROUND AND JUSTIFICATION Groundwater accounts for daily potable water supply for over 1.5 billion people worldwide with even a higher dependency during drought conditions (DFID, 2001). The use of groundwater for irrigation, industrialization and domestic activities has gained a lot of attention in recent years. The increasing popularity of groundwater resources as a solution to the water delivery system originates from the fact that the resource has certain features that make it attractive as a source of potable water supply (Quist et al., 1988). Groundwater resources management forms an important yardstick for measuring the progress of nations and it is the sole water resource in arid and semi-arid regions. Also, groundwater resources have been proven to be the best buffer against the unremitting effects of climate change/variability on the global water resources. In Ghana, groundwater plays a vital role in the promotion of economic growth and reduction of poverty. There is rapidly increasing demand for water in industries particularly hydropower generation, agriculture, mining and environmental enhancement. Most urban communities in the country depend on tap water from the river basins which are developed and distributed through the pipe system in the area. Where rural communities are close enough to urban centres, they also tap into the extensions of the urban water delivery system. But most at times, these rural communities depend solely on groundwater resources for their day to day activities. Mygatt (2006) estimated that about 2 billion people in urban and rural communities worldwide depend on groundwater for daily consumption. 1 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Before the full potential of the groundwater resources can be harnessed, it must be explored and developed in a sustainable manner. Many scientific and traditional techniques have been utilized in the exploration for groundwater resources. In hydrogeological investigations, the conventional techniques that were used involved field surveys at two quite different spatial scales which are; low resolution tracer and pumping tests and high resolution borehole-based studies. For instance, core measurements provide information about a very small portion of typical field investigations at a very high resolution while surface geophysical techniques often provide lower resolution information but over larger spatial scales (Hubbard and Rubin, 2005). These techniques have been widely used in different areas, but are always impeded by insufficient information about the variations in the subsurface which does not usually apply to certain areas. In recent times, several works have been carried out by researchers in an attempt to bridge the wide gap between these two scales by using different innovative hydrogeological and geophysical tools with high to medium resolution capabilities. For instance, in several hydrogeological and geophysical studies, Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) technique has been efficient in imaging near surface features under adequate surface conditions (Davis and Annan, 1989; Jol and Smith, 1991; Lawson et al., 1996; Al- fares et al., 2002; Chalikakis et al., 2011; Carrrère et al., 2013). However, this technique does not identify the features which influence water dynamics. Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT) technique has been used in certain areas (for example Karst) to identify features due to its robustness and sensitivity to water content (Zhou et al., 2000; Cardarelli et al., 2006; Descloitres et al., 2008; Clement et al., 2009; Valois et al., 2010; Okpoli, 2013). This technique however requires repeated efforts of data quality and error models especially in difficult measurement conditions to give accurate results. Seismic refraction/ Multichannel Analysis of Surface Waves (MASW) techniques have also been used to investigate layered 2 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh media and to perform both large and small scale survey which provides information about the stratigraphy, hydrogeology and bedrock topography (Steeples, 2000; Tian et al., 2002; Olona et al., 2010; Hayashi et al., 2014) but it is an active source technique that requires an impulsive signal such as those from sledgehammer or weight drop or swept vibratory signal such as vibroseis to generate surface waves. However, borehole and geophysical surface measurements are combined to develop ground water flow models for studies in groundwater systems which compile geologic and groundwater data to develop deterministic analysis of groundwater transport analysis, and complex conceptual site models. Although some decisions can be made using best engineering or best geologic judgement, in many instances human reasoning alone is inadequate to synthesize the conglomeration of factors involved in analysing complex groundwater problems (Anderson and Woessner, 2002). In conventional hydrogeological practice and groundwater resources assessments, numerical groundwater models are being constructed and these models are significant in performing complex environmental analyses that other conventional methods are incapable of assisting in analysing. These models are significant in performing complex analyses and in making informed predictions. Groundwater flow simulation models have been used to solve complex hydrogeological problems such as tracing of contaminant pathways, conceptualization and quantification of hydrogeological conditions of aquifer systems and using the information to plan future data requirements. They are also used to explore groundwater system dynamics such as surface water-groundwater interactions, recharge areas, seepage rates, transportation dynamics, prediction of changes in aquifer behaviour and as a management tool in the management of complex and extensive aquifer systems. Models can be used in an interpretive sense to gain insight into the controlling parameters in a site- specific setting or as a framework for assembling and organizing field data 3 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh formulating ideas about system dynamics (Anderson and Woessner, 2002). Ground water models have been used in other parts of the world and have proven over several decades to be useful tools for addressing a range of ground water problems and supporting the decision-making process. Different numerical methods are available to solve the groundwater flow equations upon the definition of boundary and initial conditions and the two common methods that are used for the solution of the groundwater flow equations are the finite differences and finite element methods. For instance, Mondal and Singh, (2009) developed a numerical model in Dindigul District (Tamilnadu), India, using the finite difference technique coupled with method of characteristics to predict total dissolved solids, TDS migration for the next 20 years. Surinaidu et al., (2014) used the finite difference method based numerical groundwater flow model to develop a steady state model, twenty conceptual layers of total thickness 320 m. Many researchers such Konikow (1977), Konikow and Bredehoeft (1978), Rushton and Redshaw (1979); Guiguer and Franz (1996); Molenat and Gascuel-Odoux (2002), McDonald and Harbaugh (2003), Bakker et al., (2004), Huysmans et al., (2006) have used different numerical techniques to solve complex hydrogeological problems. Although there are some errors and uncertainties in any modelling study with regard to hydrogeological understanding, the conceptual model design, and model calibration and prediction simulations, as well as recharge and evapotranspiration estimation and simulation, it is one of the best approach to simulate and predict aquifer conditions. The best tool available to help groundwater hydrologists meet challenges of prediction is usually a groundwater model (Anderson and Woessner, 2002). The limitations of groundwater models are that they are based on assumptions and simplification of the physical system and are not the exact replicas of the physical hydrogeology of the basin. Like all models, groundwater flow models cannot predict the future with absolute certainty. 4 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh In Ghana, these models have not been so much popular in decision making due to the lack of data and expertise involved in the modelling. Nonetheless models should be used more because it will give a comprehensive and thorough knowledge about the current groundwater recharge and level in the country. The model allows more effective use of the available data; more complexities can be accounted for; and the implications of the assumptions used in the analysis and of the management decisions can be evaluated (Hamilton, 1982). The study undertakes an assessment of the hydrogeological conditions of rocks underlying University of Ghana, Legon Campus using a variety of geophysical and numerical modelling techniques. This study will help give a better appreciation of the hydrogeological conditions of the aquifers and assist in the management of the resource to ensure sustainability. In this particular area of study groundwater is being abstracted for supply to support municipal water supply especially to halls and academic departments because the public water supply system has serious challenges and are highly unreliable. Due to the increasing number of students and other supporting staff and its attended increase in the abstraction rate of the groundwater resources, it is imperative to assess the effects of these abstractions on the groundwater system and other ecosystem that depend on the groundwater systems. The best way to do this is not the use of yield data because the it only gives a point data but the numerical models combines the filed data and the hydrogeological conditions on the ground to assess the resource comprehensively and holistically. One added advantage of these models is their ability to estimate recharge with certain degree of accuracy depending on the data available and the expertise involved. The estimation of accurate groundwater recharge is a significant aspect of managing groundwater systems which will help identify recharge and discharge areas and good measures to be taken to protect such zones from contamination. 5 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh The numerical simulation is preceded by detailed conceptualization which involves geophysical surveys carried out to determine the hydrostratigraphy of the aquifer system in the area which will ultimately assist in determining the hydrogeological conditions of the aquifers. Since models are based on data on the hydrogeological conditions of an area, the conceptual framework arising from the geophysical surveys and borehole logs data will serve as initial inputs to a numerical groundwater flow model calibrated under steady state condition. Therefore, this will help constrain groundwater recharge and its spatial and temporal variation in the terrain. This study focuses on conceptualizing the hydrostratigraphy of the study area through geophysical techniques, developing a groundwater flow geometry and to estimate groundwater budget and the responses of the system to stress. 1.2. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES The main objective of the research is to estimate groundwater recharge rates and its spatial and temporal variations in the study area through model calibration. The specific objectives include;  To conceptualize the hydrostratigraphy through geophysical techniques.  To develop a groundwater flow geometry for proper understanding of the mechanisms of groundwater flow in the study area.  To estimate groundwater budget and the responses of the aquifer system to stress. 6 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 1.3 STUDY AREA 1.3.1 LOCATION AND ACCESSIBILITY Legon Campus of the University of Ghana is based at Legon, a suburb of the city Accra located in the Ga East Municipality of Ghana. It is situated about twelve kilometres northeast of the centre of Accra (Figure 1.1.) and falls between latitudes 5° 39' 0" North, and longitudes 0° 11' 0" West. The Campus is highly inhabited and has nearly 40,000 students and other supporting staff living around (University of Ghana, 2015). 1.3.2. CLIMATE AND VEGETATION The Municipality falls in the savannah agro-ecological zone. Rainfall pattern is bi-modal with the average annual temperature ranging between 25.1°C in August and 28.4°C in February and March. February and March are normally the hottest months (Ga East Municipal Assembly, 2006). The Municipality has two main vegetation namely shrub lands and grassland. The shrub lands occur mostly in the western outskirts and in the north towards the Aburi hills and consist of dense cluster of small trees and shrubs that grow to an average height of about five meters. The grassland which occurs to the southern parts of the district has now been encroached upon by human activities including settlements (Ga East Municipal Assembly, 2006). 1.3.3. TOPOGRAPHY AND DRAINAGE The land area consists of gentle slopes interspersed with plains in the west. The Akwapim range rises steeply above the western end and lies generally at 375- 420 m north of Aburi and fall to 300 m southward. 7 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 1.1: Location map of Legon and its surrounding areas showing the various communities 8 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh There are a few rivers and seasonal streams most of which are threatened by human activities. These include the Sisami stream at Sesemi and the Dakubi at Ajako with other small ponds at Abloradjei, Sesemi, Danfa, Otinibi and Old Ashongman. Most of these ponds are also threatened by human activities but the Assembly has made conscious efforts to preserve them for agricultural use. Feasibility studies are therefore being conducted for possibility of an Aqua-culture to generate income for the youth. There are lots of ground water which have been tapped to provide potable water for the rural communities and small towns (Ga East Municipal Assembly, 2006). 1.3.4. SOIL The soils in the Legon Campus being part of Accra can be divided into four main groups: drift materials resulting from deposits by wind-blown erosion; alluvial and marine motted clays of comparatively recent origin derived from underlying shales; residual clays and gravels derived from weathered quartzites, gneiss and schist rocks and lateritic sandy clay soils derived from weathered Accraian sandstone bedrock formations. In many low lying poorly-drained areas, pockets of alluvial ‘black cotton’ soils are found. These soils have a heavy organic content, expand, and contract readily causing major problems with foundations and footings. In some areas, lateritic soils are strongly acidic. Near the foothills of Accra are large areas of alluvial laterite gravels and sands. Many of these deposits are being exploited in an uncontrolled manner for constructional purposes (Accra Metropolitan Assembly, 2006). 1.3.5. GEOLOGY Legon Campus is underlain by the Togo Structural Unit (Fig. 1.2.) which forms part of the Pan African Dahomeyide orogen exposed in the south-eastern part of Ghana. In general, 9 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh the rocks of the Togo Structural Unit form a range of mountains and hills trending in the north northeast to south southwest from the Volta River to the Ghana- Togo border and beyond (Kesse, 1985). The Togo Structural Unit is predominantly composed of quartz- sericite- schist, quartzites, phyllites and chlorite- schist (Grant, 1969; Junner and Hirst, 1946; Robertson, 1925) as shown in Figure 1.2. In addition, phyllonites, cataclastics quartzites, micaceous quartzites and serpentinites form part of this Unit (Blay, 1971; Crook, 1963). Hornstones, jaspers, hematite quartz- schist, pebbly grits and argillaceous schist with quartz pebbles also occur in this Unit (Kesse, 1985; Junner and Service, 1936). Figure 1.2: Map of Greater Accra Metropolitan Assembly (GAMA) of Ghana showing Legon Campus within the Togo Structural Unit 10 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Junner and Service (1936) considered the hornstones, jaspers and hematite quartz- schist as post depositional rocks. The serpentinites occur along the western thrust fault which marks the western contact of the Togo Structural Unit to the Buem Structural Unit. The Togo Structural Unit overlies the Dahomeyan Structural Unit and forms its eastern boundary. It is bordered to the west by the Cape Coast granitoid complex rocks, the Voltaian and the Buem Structural Unit. Ahmed et al. (1977) suggested that the eastern boundary trust fault and the western boundary trust fault mark the eastern and western margin of the Togo Structural Unit respectively. The rocks in the Togo Structural Unit are highly deformed with intense folds, fractures, joints and faults which indicate a series of deformation of which the latest is related to the 600 Ma-500 Ma Pan African event (Kennedy, 1964; Grant, 1969; Crook, 1963; Robertson, 1925). The folds are predominantly isoclinal with axial planes inclined to south- east and minor recumbent folds with general dip of less than 300 (Kesse, 1985). Most of the rocks in the study area are dominantly quartzites and phyllites (Fig. 1.3.). The quartzites in the study area are mostly gray, medium to fine grained, thick foliated with joints and microfractures. The phyllites are mostly gray, fine –grained, thinly foliated with joint and microfractures. 11 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 1.3: Geological map of the study area showing the various lithologies and borehole locations 12 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 1.3.6. HYDROGEOLOGY The Togo Structural Unit consists of rocks such as quartzites, phyllites and schists. The rocks are inherently impermeable and groundwater occurrence in the geologic formation is controlled mainly by the development of secondary porosity e.g. fractures, faults, joints and the associated weathered zone (Akiti, 1986). The Accra plain has no perennial river with the exception of the Volta River which forms the northern and eastern borders of the plain. A distinct hydrologic feature of the plain is the east-west watershed which divides the plain into north and south drainage systems. Within the plains, groundwater potential is relatively high at the foothills of the Akwapim Mountains. Recharge to the aquifer is by direct percolation of rainfall along the Akwapim Mountains (Akiti, 1986). Minor or indirect recharge also occurs mainly in the rainy season when fractures or mega joints intercept the ephemeral stream courses (Kortatsi, 2006). The channels act as conduits that allow water to recharge the aquifer. Recharge of the groundwater system is estimated at 15% of the annual precipitation. Boreholes drilled in the plains at average depth of 55 m have yielded value of 2.7 m3/h and transmissivity values are generally low due to the clayey nature of the regolith (Kortatsi, 2006). The transmissivity vary from 0.2 m2/h in the clayey regolith to 4.5 m2/d in the plain (Darko, 2001). Legon Campus forms part of the Pan African Province and it is controlled by secondary permeability. Due to deformation most of the rocks found in the study area have lost their inherent primary permeability. As a result of this, the hydrogeological characteristics of rocks in the area which is controlled by fractures, faults, folds and joints came as a result of tectonism that occurred in the area. 13 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CHAPTER TWO LITERATURE REVIEW 2.1. GROUNDWATER RESOURCE DEVELOPMENT AND MANAGEMENT METHODS Groundwater resource development is the use of proven approaches with innovative technologies to develop sustainable groundwater resource supplies. It involves three phases of development. The first phase is exploration for the resource which may involve geophysical techniques; the second phase is drilling to penetrate the aquifer through various drilling methods, under which the following can be conducted: logging, interpretation of borehole information, and water wells, well/borehole development, pump selection, pumping test and the third phase involves water quality analysis. In the last decades, local techniques such as dowsing and dug wells were used to explore and develop ground water. In the last half century, the usage of mechanical means to drill wells, the arrival of relatively cheap energy sources and the introduction of the submersible turbine pump has changed the way of development of groundwater all over the world. Regional hydrogeological investigations have traditionally been undertaken using pumping tests, tracers and other traditional methods. For instance, Meier et al. (1988) carried out an evaluation study to show that the Jacob’s method leads to a good approximation of the effective transmissivity of heterogeneous media when constrained to late time data and this method was based on the assumption of aquifer homogeneity. Marc et al. (2001) used chemical and isotopic tracers to conduct a study in a Small Mediterranean forested catchment during autumn recharge to investigate hydrological processes. The result showed that subsurface drainage through soil macroporosity is one of the dominant processes in the formation of streamflow generation but one of the weaknesses with this method is that in-situ analyses are probably not possible. 14 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Groundwater resources management has to deal with balancing the exploitation of a complex resource (in terms of quantity, quality and surface water interactions) with the increasing demands of water and land users who can pose a threat to resource availability and quality (Tuinhof et al., 2002, 2006). Assessments of groundwater resources in terms of quality and recharge source are critical components of sustainable groundwater resources evaluation and management, especially in complex weathered/fractured crystalline bedrock terrain. The sustainable management of groundwater resources depends on the knowledge of the rates and spatial distribution of recharge to aquifers. The need for groundwater management does not usually arise until there is a significant decline in well yields and/or quality that affects one of the stakeholder groups (Yidana et al., 2008). Thus if there is uncontrolled pumping in a particular terrain it may damage the resource as a whole which may result in serious groundwater level decline, and in some cases aquifer saline intrusion or even land subsidence. Hence the management of groundwater resources suitable for optimal development has been of global significant for years now and this is crucial in recent times as the threat of climate change and its impacts on sustainable livelihoods will certainly have to be mitigated by the efficient management of groundwater resources for optimal development (Yidana et al., 2008). 2.2 GEOPHYSICAL APPLICATIONS IN HYDROGEOLOGICAL INVESTIGATIONS Geophysics as a branch of physics deals with the application of physics to study the earth. It uses the principles, effects of differences in the physical properties of rocks such as elasticity, density, conductivity or resistivity, magnetism and radioactivity of the earth. Geophysical investigation is done to study the subsurface geological formation by measuring physical field(s) on or beneath the surface, in the borehole or in the air that are 15 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh influenced by the internal distribution of these physical properties. There are two main aspects of geophysics and these are pure and applied geophysics. Pure geophysics involves the study of the substantial parts of the planet whilst applied geophysics involves investigating the earth’s interior by taking measurements either at or near the earth surface (Telford et al., 1990). In other words, it provides a complimentary and non-invasive approach to remotely learn about the subsurface. On the basis of scale, geophysics is classified as global or general geophysics and exploration or applied geophysics. Global or general geophysics deals with the general aspects of the earth as a whole to determine its internal structure and dynamics. Examples include; variations in temperature with depths, plate tectonics, seismicity and causes of reversals in the earth’s magnetic field. Exploration or applied geophysics deals with the study of the upper layers of the earth’s crust in order to; explore and estimate mineral ore deposits, locate oil and gas deposits, identify groundwater points, study archaeological sites, investigate pollution and waste sites, locate cavities, underground tunnels and cable and image the subsurface geological setting for civil engineering problem (Kearey et al., 2002). Some physical fields are generated by an active experiment such as seismic, electrical and electromagnetic whereas other fields are passive and do not require any man made source. Characteristics of these physical fields are controlled by the properties of the medium in which they propagate, as well as their source. It is the property of the medium which is determined by geophysical techniques and this is subsequently interpreted in terms of subsurface geological formation. Of all the physical properties of geological formation the electrical resistivity or conductivity is the highly varied (Palacky, 1987). Many hydrogeological problems have been resolved through the application of a suite of geophysical techniques. The application of a specific geophysical technique varies depending on the problems to be addressed. There are various approaches available for 16 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh regional hydro-geological investigations and for providing the necessary information required for optimal aquifer and basin yield management (Freeze and Cherry, 1979). Depending on the geological and hydrological environments, one or more of the different geophysical methods can be used in hydrogeological investigations such as ground- penetrating radar, high-resolution seismic reflection and refraction, electrical resistivity/polarization, electromagnetic, microgravity and magnetic methods. The choice of geophysical technique employed for hydrogeological investigations depends on the existence of different physical properties between the subsurface materials being investigated. The thickness of unconsolidated material, depth to water table as well as the location and extent of fault and shear zones can be evaluated using geophysics (Carruthers and Smith, 1992). These methods could provide critical details on the geometries and characteristics of subsurface structures and formations that influence groundwater occurrence and flow. A lot of these methods provide a representative information on the presence of groundwater due to the fact that the geophysical properties of water can be quite different from those of the host soils and rocks. For example, Ground Penetrating Radar (GPR) technique has been efficient in imaging near surface features under adequate surface conditions (Davis and Annan, 1989; Jol and Smith, 1991; Lawson et al., 1996; Al- fares et al., 2002; Chalikakis et al., 2011; Carrrère et al., 2013) but this technique could not be able to identify the features which influence water dynamics. Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT) technique has been used in certain areas (for example Karst) to identify features due to its robustness and sensitivity to water content (Zhou et al., 2000; Cardarelli et al., 2006; Descloitres et al., 2008; Clement et al., 2009; Valois et al., 2010; Okpoli, 2013). This technique also requires a lot of repeated efforts in data quality and error models especially in difficult measurement conditions to give accurate results. Seismic refraction/ Multichannel Analysis of Surface Waves (MASW) techniques have also been used to 17 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh investigate layered media and to perform both large and small scale survey which provides information about the stratigraphy, hydrogeology and bedrock topography (Steeples, 2000; Tian et al., 2002; Olona et al., 2010; Hayashi et al., 2013). However, in this study, the electrical resistivity method was employed using the Schlumberger configuration for vertical electrical soundings. Accordingly, electrical resistivity/conductivity methods have extensively been used in solving various problems related to the hydrogeological investigations (Keller and Frischknecht, 1966). Surface electrical resistivity method is one of the oldest and most commonly used geophysical exploration methods (Reynolds, 2011). Electrical resistivity (ER) surveying is mainly based on the principle that the distribution of electrical potential in the ground around a current-carrying electrode depends on the electrical resistivities and distribution of the surrounding soils and rocks. Applying an electrical direct current (DC) between two electrodes implanted in the ground and to measure the difference of potential between two additional electrodes that do not carry current is the usual practice in the field. ER is used to detect shallow structures and subtle changes in the soil apparent resistivity, which also makes it conductive for using it in geological and geophysical surveys (Telford et al., 1990). The electrical resistivity method has some inherent limitations that affect the resolution and accuracy that may be expected (Ijeh, 2014). Just as all other methods used for measurements of a potential field, the value of a measurement obtained at any location amounts to a weighted average of the effects produced over a large volume of material, with the nearby portions contributing most heavily. This tends to produce smooth curves, which do not lend themselves to high resolution for interpretations (Ijeh, 2014). . And also another feature that is common to all potential field geophysical methods is that a particular distribution of potential at the ground surface does not in most cases have a unique 18 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh interpretation. Although these limitations should be recognized, the non-uniqueness or ambiguity of the resistivity method is scarcely less than with the other geophysical methods. The Vertical Electrical Sounding (VES) has been used in some parts of Africa and sub- Sahara Africa extensively for different purposes. For example, Ibrahim (2013) conducted a geoelectric resistivity survey for site investigation in the East Matruh Area, North Western Desert, Egypt using resistivity data which was calibrated to the nearest boreholes in order to guide the interpretation. From the study the results were presented in litho- resistivity section and it delineated four subsurface layers. Chuma et al. (2013) modelled the subsurface geology and the groundwater occurrence of the Matsheumlope low yielding aquifer in the Bulawayo Urban, Zimbabwe. The study used vertical electrical method to establish the depth, thickness and sequence of geological units in the low yielding aquifer. The results indicated high spatial variation of the subsurface formations and groundwater potential over short distance which indicated complex nature of the mapping basement aquifers. Bashir et al. (2014) carried out an investigation on the aquifer composition and its potential to yield groundwater in some selected towns in Bida Basin of North Central Nigeria using vertical electrical sounding method. The results showed five geoelectric layers in the study area and the groundwater bearing layer varies between 37– 70 m across the study area. Marere and Ojo (2014) carried out a geophysical investigation which involved the vertical electrical sounding (VES) electrical resistivity method carried out at Emeyel, Bayelsa state South- South Nigeria to determine the aquifer configuration which assisted in the sitting of high borehole yield using the Schlumberger configuration. The results suggested that two to three geoelectric layers were delineated and the second layer was the horizon with high groundwater potential occurrence. 19 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Jatau et al. (2013) conducted a research on the geoelectrical drilling which was carried out in parts of the Abaji Area Council, Federal Capital Territory of North- Central Nigeria. The aim of the research was to establish groundwater potential of the area using seventy- two VES points. The study revealed 5- 7 lithologies sequence and the results indicated that the water bearing zone was within the moderate resistivity values obtained and the results correlated well with the existing geology. Alisiobi and Ako (2012) carried out an investigation on groundwater using combined seismic refraction and VES electrical resistivity methods around Ajebandele quarters, Ile- Ife, Osun State, Southwest Nigeria. The objective of the research was to determine the subsurface velocities, resistivities and thicknesses and also categorize the groundwater potential of the area. The study delineated a maximum of five layers with H, HK, AA, and HAA curve types and showed that the bedrock in the area occurred quite close to the surface. Although the number of layers delineated were different and the methods indicated viable aquifer at a fractured zone. Odoh et al. (2012) carried out a study in Ebonyi State, Southeast Nigeria on the prospecting groundwater fractured shale aquifer using an integrated suite of geophysical methods. The study used vertical electrical sounding method for Schlumberger configuration with the main objective of determining the formation resistivities and depth of the aquifer. The research suggested that the areas with low resistivity values were associated with the fractured zones which inferred high secondary porosity and high electrical conductivity. Based on the VES and horizontal profiling the integrated layer under the geoelectric was sand which signified a probable aquifer zone in Lagos University (Alabi et al., 2010). In Ghana there has not been much geophysical survey carried out for hydrogeological investigations and one of the few include: a geophysical study by Appiah et al. (2014) to 20 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh investigate groundwater potential of Buma in the Gonja East District of Northern Ghana. The aim of the research was to delineate suitable site for groundwater development and also estimate the depth to the aquifer using electrical resistivity profiling and vertical electrical sound technique for Schlumberger configuration. The research identified a four layered subsurface structure and suggested that the third layer revealed a significant amount of weathering/fracturing which indicated the zone of potential groundwater location. Asare and Menyeh (2013) conducted a study on the geoelectrical investigation of groundwater resources and aquifer characteristics in some small communities in the Gushiegu and Karaga Districts of the Northern Region of Ghana using vertical electrical sounding for Schlumberger configuration. The research indicated a three-layer subsurface layer which was largely congruous to the weathering profile above the fresh bedrock and concluded that the interpreted VES sections led to the knowledge of the depths most likely to locate sustainable sources of groundwater. 2.3 NUMERICAL TECHNIQUES IN HYDROGEOLOGICAL INVESTIGATIONS Models are tools that represent an approximation of a field situation. These models are applied to a variety of environmental issues and are particularly useful for interpreting and understanding the environmental issues having complex interaction of many variables in the system. Models also form an integral part of decision support systems by means of managing water resources, contaminant transport, salinity and drainage and should not be regarded as just an end point in themselves. Groundwater modelling involves simulation of aquifer and its response to various input/output systems. It has emerged as an acceptable tool to support decision making process in groundwater management towards sustainability of groundwater resources and also it helps in analysis of many groundwater problems. 21 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Groundwater Models have been applied to investigate a wide variety of hydrogeologic conditions. Since it is impossible to see into the sub-surface and observe the geological structures and the groundwater flow processes, boreholes are usually constructed and used for pumping and monitoring, and measuring the effects on water levels and other physical aspects of the system. Therefore, it is for this reason that groundwater flow models have been, and will continue to be used to investigate the important features of groundwater systems, and to predict their behavior under varied conditions. Groundwater flow models have been used widely to advise management decisions on the management of groundwater resources to meet growing needs and at the same time preserve ecological balance and water table stability (Yidana, 2008). Groundwater models are of the advantage of being used as a significant tool in solving complex hydrogeological problems such as tracing of contaminant pathways, conceptualization and quantification of hydrogeological conditions of aquifer systems and using the information to plan future data requirements. The use of numerical modelling techniques has the added advantage that it can be used for the purpose of forecasting recharge. Forecasting groundwater recharge has become important because of the impact of envisaged climate change and increased demand for groundwater resources in the future (Kirchner, 2003). They are used to explore groundwater system dynamics and also used in an interpretive sense to gain insight into the controlling parameters in a site-specific setting or as a framework for assembling and organizing field data formulating ideas about system dynamics (Anderson and Woessner, 2002). Groundwater models have proven over several decades to be useful in addressing a range of ground water problems which serves as a decision-making support system in addressing issues and have been widely used in other parts of the world. These models represent or approximate a real system and are tools that help in the organization and 22 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh understanding of hydrogeological data or the prediction of future hydrogeological events. Models are not a substitute for field investigations, but should be used as supplementary tools. Results are dependent on the quality and quantity of the field data available to define input parameters and boundary conditions (Wang and Anderson, 1982). Numerical modelling of groundwater is an attempt to simplify the physical hydrogeological system using physical equations and governing boundary conditions (Don et al., 2006). Numerical modelling techniques are currently being used and are among the most acceptable in carrying out basin wide hydrogeological assessments. There are different numerical methods that are used to solve groundwater flow equations upon the definition of boundary and initial conditions. The two common methods that are used for the solution of the groundwater flow equations are the finite differences and finite element methods. The finite difference methods are based on approximations of the partial differential equations by discrete linear changes over discrete space and/or time whilst the finite element methods serve as a spatial interpolation function between the calculated heads at the nodal points (Igboekwe and Achi, 2011). The success of numerical groundwater flow models in predicting subsurface flow phenomena depends on how adequately the groundwater flow equation is properly approximated to represent the real situation on the ground and how much each section of the domain is adequately represented in the conceptualization process (Yidana et al., 2012). Many codes such as MODFLOW use the finite difference solution method and FEMWATER is a common code using the finite element solution method. The computer code MODFLOW, which is a full three- dimensional groundwater flow model developed by the United State Geological Survey (McDonald and Harbaugh, 1988). Globally, groundwater numerical models have been used extensively in achieving various objectives using different techniques. For instance, Surinaidu et al. (2014) used the finite 23 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh difference method based numerical groundwater flow model to develop a steady state model with twenty conceptual layers of total thickness 320 m. Konikow (1976); Konikow and Bredehoeft (1978), Rushton and Redshaw (1979), Guiguer and Franz (1996), Molenat and Gascuel-Odoux (2002), McDonald and Harbaugh (2003), Bakker et al. (2004), Huysmans et al. (2006) have used different numerical techniques to solve complex hydrogeological problems and as a management tool to provide a framework for organising hydrologic data, quantifying the properties and behaviour of the systems, and allowing quantitative prediction of the responses of those systems to externally applied stresses. He et al. (2007) used a three-dimensional finite element model to characterize the groundwater flow in coastal plain of the Seto Inland Sea, Japan. This study involved taking field data which described the aquifer system and translated the information into input variables which the model code used to solve governing equations of flow. The results of the study demonstrated a high correlation between ground surface elevation and the elevation and the groundwater level in the shallow coastal aquifer. Van der Gun and Lipponen (2010) also carried out a study on reconciliation of groundwater storage depletion due to pumping with sustainability using the numerical technique. The study reviewed constraints or considerations that examined how there were or may be incorporated in decision making process, and evaluate to what extent the resulting pumping rates and patterns created conditions that complied with the principles of sustainability. The study suggested that decisions to pump groundwater are motivated by people’s need for domestic water and by expected benefits of using water for a variety of activities. Mondal et al. (2011) conducted a study in southern India using numerical and geophysical techniques to produce a groundwater flow model for a tannery belt in the terrain, under both steady and transient conditions. The result of the study suggested that the total groundwater abstraction was about 80.43% of the groundwater recharge, but 10.25% was used up by 24 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh evapotranspiration. The study also showed that the modelled aquifer could sustain a pumping rate of 24,892 m3/day without further decline in water level activities. In Ghana, the numerical modelling techniques have not been so much used in the past due to the lack of data and expertise involved in the modelling but the inputs from the numerical model for this study will be used in making decisions for groundwater resource allocations and management. For example, Yidana et al. (2015) used a calibrated steady state numerical groundwater flow model to carry out a preliminary analysis of the hydrogeological conditions and groundwater flow in some parts of a crystalline aquifer system in Afigya Sekyere South District of Ghana. The results suggested that the hydraulic conductivity varies in the range of 1.04 m/d and 15.25 m/d which was consistent with ranges achieved from pump- tests carried out in areas of similar lithologies. The estimated groundwater recharge at calibration ranged between 4.3% and 1.3% of the total annual precipitation. The model suggested that when groundwater rates were decreased from the current levels by up to 30% and increased groundwater abstraction by up to 50% there was a drastic drawdown in the hydraulic head by up to 20% of the calibrated model. Yidana et al. (2015) developed a steady state model to carry out a numerical analysis of groundwater flow and potential in parts of a crystalline aquifer in the Northern Ghana. The objective was to estimate the regional distribution of a key aquifer hydraulic parameter and recharge and also to predict the possible effects of different abstraction for groundwater recharge scenarios on the sustainability of groundwater resources in the area. The results indicated that the estimated aquifer hydraulic conductivities range between 1.70 m/d and 2.24 m/d and the estimated recharge about 3.6% to 16.4% of annual rainfall. The findings from this study suggested that at current recharge rates, the system could sustain groundwater abstraction when increased by up to 50% of the current abstraction rates with the minimal net drawdowns in the hydraulic head throughout the terrain and when 25 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh groundwater recharge was reduced by up to 10% and abstraction increased by 100%. However, an increase in groundwater abstraction by 100% with a reduction in recharge by 10% through a 20 year period could result in changes in the general flow geometry especially in the northern parts of the study area. Yidana et al. (2014) carried out a study on the analysis of recharge and groundwater flow in parts of a weathered aquifer system in northern Ghana. The groundwater pattern in the area was conceptualized using a steady state groundwater flow model which suggested that there was no apparent preferred direction of groundwater flow in the area. The study results suggested that the hydraulic conductivities range between 0.35 m/d and 5.24 m/d which suggested that although the hydrostratigraphic unit under the study was largely a weathered zone, the hydraulic conductivities were reduced due to presence of materials in the clay range. Yidana et al. (2013) used a calibrated steady state numerical groundwater flow model to characterize the spatial distribution of a key hydraulic parameter in a crystalline aquifer in southwestern Ghana. The model was calibrated against water level of 22 boreholes in the area. Results indicated that the range of groundwater recharge was between 0.25% and 9.13% of the total annual rainfall and the estimated hydraulic conductivity values in the range of 4.5 m/d to over 70 m/d to the simulated aquifer. However, the model suggested that with reduced recharge by up to 30% of the current rates, the system could only sustain increased groundwater abstraction by up to 150% of the current abstraction rates. Attandoh et al. (2012) carried out a study on the conceptualization of the hydrogeological system of some sedimentary aquifers in Savelugu–Nanton and surrounding areas, Northern Ghana. The objective of the study was to characterize the general groundwater flow pattern and provide local estimates of the distribution of hydraulic conductivity and recharge fields. 26 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh The result suggested a predominant NE– SW flow direction and the calibrated hydraulic conductivities range between 1.90 m/d and 10.81 m/d with an estimated vertical recharge that ranged between 0.3% and 4.1% of the annual rainfall. An increased abstraction by up to 50% suggested that it did not appear to register significant effects on groundwater budgets at the simulated recharge from the calibrated steady state model. Yidana et al. (2010) developed a groundwater flow model which was calibrated under steady state conditions for some aquifers of the southern Voltaian sedimentary system. The objective of the research was to determine the estimates of the hydraulic conductivities of the different hydrostratigrahic units of the southern Voltaian and the distribution of recharge from precipitation. The study suggested that the calibrated hydraulic conductivities ranged from 1.19 m/d to 6.3 m/d and the recharge ranged from 3.18e-05 m/d to 6.0e-04 m/d and using particle tracking six distinct flow paths were defined. Similarly, Yidana et al. (2010) carried out a study on the conceptual framework of groundwater flow in some crystalline aquifers in the southeastern Ghana. The objective of the study was to determine approximate levels of groundwater recharge, estimate aquifer hydraulic parameters, and then tested various scenarios of groundwater extraction under the current conditions of recharge using a steady state model of about 19 wells and boreholes. It was suggested that the groundwater flow patterns conformed to the general northeast- southwest structural grain of the country. The resulting recharge was estimated to range from 8.9x 10-5 m/d to 7.14x10-4 m/d which resulted in a basin wide average recharge of about 9.6% of total annual precipitation. The calibrated aquifer hydraulic conductivities ranged between 0.99 m/d and over 19.4 m/d. However, the study found that the groundwater extraction levels represented only 0.17% of the annual recharge. 27 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Numerical flow simulation has been used to identify flow paths and its conditions in the subsurface. For instance, Wu (2005) carried out a study in Jina City of China and detected an impermeable stratum (diorite) that blocked the flow of groundwater in an attempt to use groundwater modelling to explore the groundwater flow conditions in aquifers that feed springs as a result of their intermittent discharges and dry up. There is always a significant amount of uncertainty associated with a groundwater model and this uncertainty can be associated with the conceptual model or with the data and parameters associated with the various components of the model. Some model parameters such as hydraulic conductivity and recharge are particularly prone to uncertainty (Aquaveo, 2011). Calibrating a model to a rich set of observation data (monitoring wells, stream flows, etc.) may sometimes reduce this uncertainty. However, calibration of data are often scarce and even well-calibrated models have a high level of uncertainty (Aquaveo, 2011). A stochastic approach in numerical modelling is a tool for estimating probability distributions of potential outcomes by allowing for random variation in one or more inputs over time. It is one method for dealing with uncertainty. With a stochastic approach, a set of models was constructed where each model in the set is thought to be equally probable (Aquaveo, 2011). Each model was then used to make the prediction or simulate a given scenario and the results were used to estimate a probability or risk that a certain outcome will occur. While this approach still relies on underlying model assumptions to generate initial parameter estimates, it more honestly reflects the uncertainty associated with modeling. Two basic methods for generating stochastic simulations are parameter randomization and indicator simulations (Aquaveo, 2011). The parameter randomization method has to do with the selection of model parameters that are randomized using either a Random 28 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Sampling or Latin Hypercube approach and with this method each combination of input parameters defines a model instance. The indicator simulation approach deals with multiple equally probable realizations of the aquifer heterogeneity that are generated and each realization is used to define a model instance. Some of the studies that have been carried out using the stochastic approach are; Li et al., (2003) carried out a research on the computational practical method for stochastic groundwater modeling and suggested that the increase in computational effort is especially easy to accept since it offers the opportunity to assess groundwater model uncertainty in a scientifically credible way. Oreskes et al. (1994) carried out a study on the Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences suggested that by using as numerous and diverse confirming observations as possible, it is reasonable to conclude that the conceptualization embodied in the model is not flawed. Therefore, a diversified set of statistical tests and evaluations for the model will provide a structured approach for evaluating the model predictions and building confidence in the decisions based on these predictions. Yeh (1992) carried out a study on the stochastic modelling of groundwater flow and solute transport in aquifers. The purpose of the paper was to address these problems and to provide an introductory overview of the stochastic approaches which have been developed recently to tackle these problems in field- scale aquifers. The research suggested that there are large uncertainties in predictions. These uncertainties arise mainly from our inability to depict detailed spatial distributions of hydrologic parameters in large- scale aquifers. Although geological information is useful for defining large structures, some means of acquiring more detailed knowledge of the parameter distributions is necessary to improve our predictive capability. However, such techniques may not exist in 29 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh the foreseeable future unless there are some technological breakthroughs in field testing. Until then, we may have to rely on stochastic approaches to obtain probabilistic results. Although there are various errors and uncertainties in any modelling study in regard to hydrogeological understanding, the conceptual model design, and model calibration and prediction simulations, as well as recharge and evapotranspiration estimation and simulation, it is one of the best approach to simulate and predict aquifer conditions. The best tool available to help groundwater hydrologists meet challenges of prediction is usually a groundwater model (Anderson and Woessner, 2002). One of the limitations of groundwater models is that they are based on assumptions and simplification of the physical system and are not the exact replicas of the physical hydrogeology of the basin. Like all models, groundwater flow models cannot predict the future with absolute certainty but it allows more effective use of the available data; more complexities can be accounted for; and the implications of the assumptions used in the analysis and of the management decisions can be evaluated (Hamilton, 1982). This is the first research to be carried out on Legon Campus using geophysical and numerical techniques to assess the hydrogeological conditions that characterize the terrain and this makes the work unique. 30 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CHAPTER THREE MATERIALS AND METHODS 3.1 DESK STUDY Desk study was carried out to acquire information about the area of study. Literature and data on geology, hydrogeology as well as topographic maps of the study area were collected and reviewed. Information on some boreholes drilled in the study area which includes coordinates, depth, yield, static water level (SWL) and borehole logs were obtained from HEISA Engineering Company Limited. The locations, together with their corresponding ground elevations were verified and determined with the help of the Garmin Vista GPS. The location of all the wells as well as the ground elevations were determined using the Garmin Vista GPS. The hydraulic heads from all the wells were determined by subtracting the water levels from the ground elevations. Pumping test was carried out on some few boreholes in the study area to help give an idea about the hydrogeological parameters (hydraulic conductivity, transmissivity) of the terrain. It also aided in assigning appropriate values to the parameters during the calibration of the numerical model although the pumping test data was not used in the analysis. 3.2 GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY Geophysical survey was conducted to determine and delineate the subsurface layer parameters such as thicknesses and resistivities of the study area. In this study the Electrical Resistivity method was employed to determine the resistivity variation with depth of the subsurface formation. Electrical techniques, especially the resistivity surveys, are the most popular of geophysical methods for groundwater surveys because they often give a strong response to the subsurface conditions and are relatively cost- effective (Ernstson and Kirsch 31 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 2006a). The Vertical Electrical Sounding was employed because it is capable of detecting the slightest change in pore water conductivity (Banoeng -Yakubo et al., 2005). Different factors affect the resistivity in the subsurface. Pore spaces in rock particles may be in the form of intergranular voids, joint, or fracture openings and closed pores such as bubbles or vugs in or without lavas (Telford et al., 1990). Interconnected pores only contribute effectively to conductivity and the geometry of the interconnections. Single VES should only be applied in areas, where the ground is assumed to be horizontally layered with very little lateral variation, since the sounding curves only can be interpreted using a horizontally layered earth (1D) model. The ABEM SAS-4000 Terrameter was used. The Global Positioning System (GPS) was used to determine the coordinates of the boreholes where the VES was conducted. During the geophysical data acquisition, a calibrated rope and a data sheet were used for taking field data. The Schlumberger array was adopted for the study involving four collinear electrodes with the two outer electrodes being the current electrodes and the two inner electrodes the potential electrodes. The ABEM SAS-4000 Terrameter was placed at the centre peg where the borehole was located. The potential electrodes were kept fixed at 0.5 m away from the centre peg while the current electrode positions were varied at predetermined intervals. A series of measurements of resistance values were made by increasing the current electrode spacing in successive steps about a fixed point from 1.5 to 200 m along a survey line of 20 m. The potential electrodes were fixed in the same position (0.5 m) until the observed voltage and resistance were too small to be measured where it was increased to 5 m. The resistivity of the ground was measured by sending current into the ground at the current electrodes and the corresponding potential difference was measured at the potential electrodes. The ground resistance measurements at every VES point were automatically displayed on the digital readout screen for four cycle and then 32 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh written down on the field data sheet. The resistance measurements were repeated twice to ensure consistency of the field data. The apparent resistivity (ohm-meter) of the subsurface formation was calculated using the formula (Equation 3.1) by Morrison and Gasperikova (2012). …………. 3.1 Figure 3.1: An illustration for Schlumberger array and apparent resistivity (Morrison and Gasperikova, 2012) Where Ρa is the apparent resistivity, V/I is the resistance where ‘V’ is the voltage and ‘I’ is the current, ‘b’ is the distance between the current electrode and the potential electrode and ‘a’ is the distance between the potential electrodes. The apparent resistivity values obtained with increasing values of electrode separations were used to estimate the thickness, depth and apparent resistivities of the subsurface formations using IPI2WIN software. In the software, a bi–log plot was made with apparent resistivity on the ordinate axis and the current electrode spacing (AB/2) along the abscissa, the Schlumberger configuration was selected and an automatic iteration button pressed to carry out multiple iterations. This then gave a model of how the subsurface resistivities vary with depth by marching the observed curve with a standard curve. A correlation was then made of apparent resistivity with the geology, borehole logs and literature which gave interpretation of the VES results. 33 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh A total of forty-three Vertical Electrical Soundings (VES) were carried out in nine selected areas within the study area (Figure 3.2). Figure 3.2: Map showing the various VES survey points 34 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Five VES were carried out at eight locations each and three VES at one of the locations at 5 m intervals. Since Legon is still under development the existence of settlements, roads and pavements in the area made it difficult to establish a continuous traverse line at some borehole locations limiting the survey to nine locations where there was enough space to carry out. 3.3 GROUNDWATER MODELLING Groundwater Modelling System (GMS) 7.1 software was used to estimate recharge rates, characterize aquifer parameters and to simulate the groundwater flow systems in the terrain. This software system was selected because it has numerous applications in preparation and quick exchange of data in standard form and also the existence of different numerical codes for solving a lot of different hydrogeological problems. The software package incorporates the United States Geological Survey’s Modular three dimensional Finite Differences groundwater flow code, MODFLOW-2000 (Harbaugh et al., 2000), the Finite Element code, FEMWATER (Lin et al., 1997), and several solute transport codes. Therefore, depending on the data available and the objectives of the research to be achieved, a variety of codes were selected for the simulation. MODFLOW is based on the Darcy law and the law of conservation of mass as illustrated in Equation 3.2 and this governs groundwater flow under transient conditions. h 2h 2h 2h Ss  Kx  K y  K2 2 z Wt x y z2 ………… 3.2 35 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Where Ki, W, and Ss, respectively, refer to the hydraulic conductivity in the ith direction, sources/sinks, and the aquifer specific storage. This equation has been used in diverse forms to model groundwater flow depending on the prevailing conditions. In this present study, steady state conditions were assumed. In this respect, the time variable nature of the hydraulic head on the right hand side of equation 3.2 was regarded negligible because the current sinks are not considered significant enough to cause such changes. Thus under equilibrium conditions a steady state is assumed when inflow exactly balances outflow and there is no change in storage or where groundwater extraction is insignificant compared to the storage. As such, equation 3.3 was used:   2h  2h  2h K x  K y  K z   0  x 2 y 2 z 2  ……… 3.3 Both numerical groundwater flow modelling codes, (MODFLOW and FEMWATER) are flexible to use in the GMS system. On this basis, the United States Geological Survey’s Modular Finite Diference Groundwater Flow Modelling code, MODFLOW-2000 (Harbaugh, 2000), was chosen to simulate the groundwater flow system in the study area. MODFLOW was chosen for this study since it is arguably the most tested finite difference numerical code which has proven to predict hydrogeological systems correctly within the limits of the available data and field conceptualization. Even though MODFLOW cannot simulate multiphase flow and flow in the unsaturated zone, it can simulate confined, leaky and unconfined aquifers (Anderson and Woessner, 2002). 36 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 3.3.1 CONCEPTUALIZATION OF THE HYDROGEOLOGICAL FRAMEWORK 3.3.1.1 Generating stratigraphy A set of borehole logs data with codes assigned to the various lithologies together with their corresponding bottom and top elevation data was imported into GMS in excel form. A 3D view of the borehole logs was generated with each colour representing a different type of lithology. Horizon IDs were assigned at borehole contacts which is the interface between different materials on a borehole log and the horizons were created and numbered consecutively in the order that the strata are “deposited” that is from the bottom up (Aquaveo, 2008). The slightly weathered to fresh quartzite or phyllite was numbered as “0”, the weathered phyllite and phyllite as “1” and “2” respectively and the lateritic top soil as “3”. 3.3.1.2 Generating solids A polygon was generated in a form of a polygonal boundary around the boreholes to serve as the boundary for the creation of Triangulated Irregular Network (TIN) (Aquaveo, 2008). The polygons that was defined was used to create a TIN and the solids were created from the borehole horizons using the interpolation scheme. It was interpolated to cover the entire domain using Krigging methods. TINs were formed by connecting a set of XYZ points (scattered or gridded) with edges to form a network of triangles. The surface was assumed to vary in a linear fashion across each triangle. From this a simple solid model was created consisting of three layers of different materials. The solids were given a better view by cutting three cross sections through the solid model. 37 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 3.3.2 MODEL FORMULATION There was no river and stream networks in the study area to be digitized out and incorporated into the model. The domain was divided into zones where coverages were created for hydraulic conductivities and recharge as presented in Fig. 3.3. The zonations were based on the knowledge of the geophysical data, geology and topography of the area to give indications to where there may be possible high conductivities as well as recharge and discharge areas. In the coverage for hydraulic conductivity, polygons were created to simulate spatial variations in hydraulic conductivity in the area. Initial values were assigned appropriately based on knowledge of the characteristics of rock types in the study area, geophysical data, borehole logs, and geology of the area. Similarly, the recharge coverage was designed to simulate variabilities in groundwater recharge at different locations in the area. The terrain was conceptualized as a single layer model based on the available data. From the geophysical survey and borehole logs, the lower limits of the aquifer system were conceptualized as a confining layer to coincide with the impervious material beneath. The upper limit was modelled as a convertible layer to coincide with semi-confining conditions prevailing in the area. In the absence of physical boundaries to limit flow on all sides, the vertical walls were all conceptualized as General Head Boundaries, GHB (Anderson and Woessner, 2002). This would enable the simulation of net groundwater flow across the boundaries of the terrain. The GHB is a head dependent condition which simulates flow across a boundary based on the head difference across the boundary and the conductance of the material across the boundary (Equation 3.4). Consider; Q = Cd dℎ ………… 3.4 Where Q, Cd, and dℎ are, respectively, the flow across the boundary, the conductance of the material, and the hydraulic head difference across the boundary. 38 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 3.3: Digitized map of the coverage area An observation coverage was created to accommodate hydraulic data from 22 boreholes for the purpose of calibration. Coverages were similarly created by the GHB condition and the northern, southern, eastern and the western sections of the model were assigned general head boundaries because there were no obvious physical or geographical boundaries in the model domain. A grid system was then automatically developed to overlay the entire domain. A uniform rectangular grid system was used for the entire domain as the intended purpose was to generalise flow without focus on any particular location. A uniform square grid system of dimensions 70 m × 70 m was automatically developed over the conceptualized model of the entire domain to begin the simulation under steady-state 39 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh conditions (Figs 3.4 and 3.5). This was done to ensure that a general flow was generated without focussing on any particular location. The study area has an approximate area of 8,535,043.509 m2 (8.53 km2). Data of the top and bottom elevation of the aquifer were imported as text files and modelled using the 2D scatter point sets. The spatial interpolation map (Fig. 3.6.) shows the highest elevation above 55 m and the lowest around 3.6 m and this gives an idea about the recharge and discharge zones. Figure 3.4: Map in plain view showing grid over the active domain 40 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 3.5: Map in 3D showing grid over the active domain. Figure 3.6: Map in 3D showing the spatial interpolation on the elevation data 41 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 3.3.3 NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF FLOW After all the initial values were assigned to the various coverages in the map model, MODFLOW was initialized and the conceptual was mapped to MODFLOW/MODPATH in order to get the model ready for numerical simulation. The top and bottom elevation data which were in default states were converted to the actual field values. The solver and flow packages in MODFLOW-2005 (Harbaugh, 2005) are available under the global options in the GMS. Three flow packages are available: these are the Layer Property Flow (LPF), the Block Centred Flow (BCF), and the Hydrogeologic Unit Flow packages (HUF). There are five solver packages: these are strongly implicit procedure, the Pre-Conditioned Conjugate Gradient (PCG), the Slice Successive Over-relaxation (SOR), and the Geometric Multi- grid (GMG) approach (Yidana et al., 2013). In this study, the LPF and PCG were, respectively, chosen as the flow and solver packages to simulate the conditions in the domain. The default Layer Property Flow (LPF) package was used to model the aquifer in the study area under convertible conditions. In the LPF package, the user defines the layer elevations, horizontal hydraulic conductivities and vertical anisotropies and MODFLOW computes the cell-by-cell conductance using the hydraulic conductivity values and the layer geometry. In addition, the LPF package has only two options for layer types: convertible or confined. In this study, the convertible option was selected because from the geophysical survey the aquifer units in the study area are mostly semi-confined. This allows MODFLOW the flexibility to assign confined or unconfined conditions to locations based on the computed water level. Using ordinary kriging the model was interpolated to cover the entire domain. It was then possible to obtain spatial variations in the thickness of the aquifer using the top and bottom elevations. The starting heads were automatically generated from the data imported during the conceptualization. 42 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 3.3.3.1 Model Calibration Model calibration is the process of adjusting the model to reflect field conditions. It is only the calibrated model that can be used to simulate scenarios and characterize the hydraulics of the terrain being modelled. The hydraulic head data was the only observation data used to calibrate the model as there are no known springs and other drains in the area. The hydraulic head was calculated by subtracting the static water level (SWL) from the elevation of the ground. The calibration objective was therefore to ensure that the model computed hydraulic head data closely matched the observed data within a margin of error established during the conceptualization process. The model was manually calibrated initially by varying the hydraulic conductivities, head stage and recharge and run each time. The calibration target was set at ±2.5 m, which means that for each of the observation wells, calibration was said to have been achieved whenever the observed and model computed hydraulic heads were within 2.5 m of each other. The process was later switched to the automatic approach through the Parameter Estimation (PEST) because of its ability to limit parameter value ranges and parallel process utilities and the pilot point method was used to simulate the hydraulic conductivity. The pilot point approach makes it possible to simulate a continuous hydraulic conductivity field for proper characterization of the aquifer. 3.3.3.2 Sensitivity Analysis Sensitivity analysis is recommended after calibration of every model. The purpose of sensitivity analysis is to measure the stability of the model in the face of subtle changes in some of the model parameters. It was performed by making slight variations in the key parameters and noting the effects on the calibrated model. When a calibrated model shows significant departures from calibration after slight variations in the key parameters, it is said to be unstable and can therefore not be relied upon to predict scenarios. Under such 43 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh circumstances, the model will have to be recalibrated. In this project, sensitivity analysis was performed automatically through the PEST. In this way, histograms would be generated at the end of the calibration to indicate parameter sensitivities. 3.3.3.3 Stochastic Approach A stochastic model is a tool for estimating probability distributions of potential outcomes by allowing for random variation in one or more inputs over time and/or space. A stochastic modelling approach is one method for dealing with uncertainty. With a stochastic approach, a set of models was constructed where each model in the set is thought to be equally probable. Each model was then used to make the prediction or simulate a given scenario and the results were used to estimate a probability or risk that a certain outcome will occur. While this approach still relies on underlying model assumptions to generate initial parameter estimates, it more honestly reflects the uncertainty associated with modelling. Two basic methods for generating stochastic simulations are parameter randomization and indicator simulations and with this study the parameter randomisation method was used because each combination of input parameters defines a model instance. With the indicator simulation approach, multiple equally probable realizations of the aquifer heterogeneity are generated and each realization is used to define a model instance (Aquaveo, 2011). In this study the Latin Hypercube method was used and this is due to the fact that it allows for a greater degree of confidence with fewer model runs. The stochastic option in GMS was selected before the various parameter (recharge, hydraulic conductivity) data was edited. The number of runs was set and the parameter values for each run was entered. This was a convenient way to set up the sensitivity run of the model and the stochastic simulation. The standard deviation, mean and the number of segment for each of the parameters were entered. MODFLOW was then run in a stochastic mode showing a 44 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh spreadsheet of a set of parameter values associated with each model with sixteen model solutions that has converged successfully and had been checked by default. The total number of model simulation was sixteen. The model was run to estimate a probability or risk that a certain outcome will occur for sixteen solutions Aquaveo, 2011). 3.3.3.4 Analysis of Scenarios Since the model was conceptualized and calibrated under steady state conditions, it is not appropriate for modelling fluctuations in groundwater storage. However, the steady state model with the eight stochastic solutions were used in a limited fashion to evaluate recharge and abstraction scenarios. Out of the 22 observation, 14 wells with available yields were used in this study. The yields estimated during pumping tests were applied as the initial abstraction rates. In the first scenario analyses, abstraction rates were increased by 10%, 20%, 25%, 50%, 100%, and 200% whilst maintaining recharge at the calibrated rates. In the second scenario, the abstraction rates remained same whilst the recharge was decreased by 10%, 15%, 20% and 25%. In the third scenario, the recharge was deliberately reduced by 10%, 15%, 20%, and 25% whilst abstraction rates were increased at 10%, 20%, 25%, 50%, 100%, and 200%. These scenarios were determined somewhat arbitrarily to provide a preliminary test of the capacity of the system to contain probable stresses. Although not a transient model, the simulation of these scenarios will provide the same information regarding the tolerable groundwater abstraction rates in the area. 45 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CHAPTER FOUR RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS 4.1 GEOPHYSICAL SURVEY A total of Forty-three (43) vertical electrical soundings (VES) were carried out at nine borehole locations with five (5) VES each conducted at eight borehole locations and except for one location where three (3) VES were conducted due to lack of space to carry out the survey. The geophysical survey was conducted to assist in the conceptualization of the terrain concerning the identification of the extent of aquifers in the vertical lithological succession. The results and interpretation of each VES station are presented in Appendix 1. Since this study is within the Togo formation, a maximum investigation depth of about 80 m was chosen for the purpose of the study in order to determine the aquifer zone and thickness within the terrain. The apparent resistivity plots will help give a better understanding in the variations of the lateral resistivity. Vertical electrical sounding curves were interpreted quantitatively to determine the depth to each lithological layer with corresponding apparent resistivity to the basement bedrock (Appendix 2) and correlated with available borehole logs to determine their corresponding geological formations. Various apparent resistivity configurations are used to describe the various curve types. Assuming ρ1, ρ2, and ρ3 are the apparent resistivities of three subsurface layers beginning with ρ1 at the top, followed by ρ2 and ρ3, then four possible curve types can be deduced according to Lowrie (2007). With the curve types description, whenever ρ1 > ρ2 < ρ3, an H-type curve is defined, ρ1 < ρ2 < ρ3 gives an A-type curve, ρ1 < ρ2 > ρ3 gives a K-type curve and Q-type curve has ρ1 > ρ2 > ρ3 but in situations where more than three subsurface layers exist the resulting type curve is obtained by combining these curve types 46 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh consecutively at any given time. The results of the study suggest that three to five subsurface layers exist in the area resulting in ten different resistivity sounding curve types: The H (ρ1 > ρ2 < ρ3), A (ρ1 < ρ2 < ρ3), K (ρ1 < ρ2 > ρ3), KH (ρ1 < ρ2 > ρ3 < ρ4), QH (ρ1 > ρ2 > ρ3 < ρ4), HK (ρ1 > ρ2 < ρ3 > ρ4), KQH (ρ1 < ρ2 > ρ3 > ρ4 < ρ5), QQH (ρ1 > ρ2 > ρ3 > ρ4 < ρ5), KHK (ρ1 < ρ2 > ρ3 < ρ4 > ρ5), and HAK (ρ1 > ρ2 < ρ3 < ρ4 > ρ5) type curves. A statistical summary of the VES modelling results using the IPI2WIN software is presented in Table 4.1. Table 4.1. Statistical summary of VES modelled results APPARENT RESITIVITY OF LAYERS (Ohm-m) THICKNESS OF LAYER (m) ρ1 ρ2 ρ3 ρ4 ρ5 T1 T2 T3 T4 Min 7.41 4.36 25.3 1.5 6.9 0.75 1.05 5.4 30.6 Max 785 929 24512 7542 11290 30.3 77.9 170 139 Mean 268.66 318.31 1267.43 1616.8 4275.76 2.38 11.54 52.69 71.69 The distribution of the curve types (Figure 4.1.) are KH (32%), HK (19%), QH (9%), K (9%), KQH (7%), A (7%), QQH (5%), HAK (5%), H (5%) and KHK (%) signifying KH curve types as predominant while KHK curve types being the least occurrence in the study area. 47 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CURVES TYPE DISTRIBUTION 2% 5% 5% 7% 9% 19% 32% 5% 9% 7% H A KH KQH QH QQH HK K KHK HAK Figure 4.1: Curves type distribution in the study area 4.1.2 CORRELATION BETWEEN APPARENT RESISTIVITY AND LITHOLOGY The geology of the study area consists of rocks of the Togo Structural Unit, such as quartzite, phyllite and schist (Fig. 1.3.). Since the earth is not homogeneous these different rock materials in the subsurface respond differently to the flow of applied external electrical current and hence a variation in apparent resistivity. Various researchers have tried to combine drill logs, apparent resistivity and other geophysical studies to correlate the lithology of a given area. Vertical electrical sounding method has been applied and the results were able to delineate different geoelectric sections which were correlated with available borehole logs; to determine their corresponding geological formations (Bashir et al., 2014). A summary of the twelve borehole logs drilled in the study area is shown in Table 4.2. During the drilling of these boreholes laterite was encountered at an average depth of about 9 m from the ground surface. The permeability of the laterite gives an indication of the intensity of runoff and interflow that occurs in the area and also regulates 48 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh groundwater recharge to underlying bedrock. Moderate to highly weathered quartzite/phyllite was encountered at an average depth from 9 m to 38 m which indicates that it could be an aquifer zone since the rocks are weathered enough to enhance the permeability of the rocks. However, groundwater could not be extracted in large quantities for supply. Moderately weathered quartzite/phyllite was mostly found at an average depth of about 38 m to 60 m and this could be the aquifer zone where more yield was encountered and as well as secondary permeability indicating the presence of water. Low weathered to fresh quartzite/phyllite was also found at an average depth of about 60 m to 80 m which acts as the confining layer due to the massive nature and the degree of fracturing and other secondary permeability observed in the borehole lithological logs. Table 4.2. Summary of the 12 borehole logs from some boreholes drilled on Legon Campus DEPTH RANGE (m) GEOLOGICAL FORMATION 0 to 9 laterite 9 to 38 moderate to highly weathered quartzite/phyllite 38 to 60 moderately weathered quartzite/phyllite 60 to 85 slightly weathered to fresh quartzite/ phyllite However, in order to determine the depth and thickness of the aquifer, this is used together with literature on the geology of the area to interpret the pseudo sections from the VES results. The results and interpretation of these soundings are discussed in Appendix 1 with a summary in Table 4.1. 49 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 4.1.3 DEDUCTIONS FROM RESISTIVITY PSEUDO-SECTIONS Nine pseudo-sections of the resistivity data were prepared from the computer derived one dimensional layered model using the VES results to illustrate resistivity variations within some segments of the study area by combining all the VES results for each location. The selections of sounding stations for cross sections were based on closeness to each other along the survey line and the availability of enough space to carry out the survey. 4.1.3.1 Section for Mensah Sarbah Hall (SB) The resistivity pseudo-section SB shown in Figure 4.2 is a combination of the five VES results along a survey line of about 20 m with the depth of investigation of about 80 m. A statistical summary of the result and interpretation of these VES are shown in Appendix 1. From the pseudo-section very low apparent resistivity ranging from 0 Ωm– 42.2 Ωm is recorded beneath VES3 and 4 covering a depth of about 6- 15 m and 7- 38 m respectively. Based on the borehole logs and the geology of the area it is inferred that it could probably be the highly weathered phyllite or quartzite with high level of saturation. The low apparent resistivity ranging from 42.2- 64.9 Ωm that extends from VES1 to the midway of VES 4 and 5 could be highly weathered phyllite or quartzite with low of saturation. The midrange apparent resistivity values of about 64.9- 115 Ωm extend throughout the area from VES1 to 5 and were encountered at 34– 65 m from VES1 to 3 where the borehole is sited then to a deeper depth. This could be attributed to moderately weathered formation of phyllites and quartzites which could be the aquifer zone. High apparent resistivity values ranging from 115 Ωm and above are observed at the topmost and beneath at a depth of about 65m to 80 m which extends from VES1 to 3. The topmost material was observed to be lateritic topsoil and beneath could probably be slightly weathered to fresh phyllites or quartzites. 50 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.2: Resistivity pseudo section for SB 4.1.3.2 Section for Hilla Limann Hall (HL) The plot of the resistivity pseudo-section is shown in Figure 4.3 with five vertical electrical soundings conducted along a survey line of about 20 m covering a depth of investigation of about 80 m. A statistical summary of the results and interpretation of these VES are discussed in Appendix 1. Low apparent resistivity values ranging from 0– 183 Ωm were observed in the midcentral part of the section from a depth of about 9- 80 m from VES1 to 2 and VES4. At VES3 where the borehole is sited and VES5, depth range is about 8– 30 m. The very low apparent resistivity ranging from 0- 127 Ωm at VES2 and 4 could be attributed to highly weathered phyllite or quartzite with high level of saturation. The low resistivity materials could be probably high weathered phyllite or quartzite with low or no 51 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh saturation. The midrange apparent resistivity of about 183- 298 Ωm observed at VES3 and 5 at a depth of about 30– 80m could be attributed to moderately weathered formation of phyllites and quartzites which could probably be the aquifer zone. High apparent resistivity ranging from 298 Ωm and above, extending from VES1 to 5 are observed at the topmost part of the section at a depth of about 9 m from the ground surface. Based on the geology, borehole logs and field observations this could be attributed to lateritic topsoil. 4.1.3.3 Section for Alexander Kwapong Hall (KWP) The plot of resistivity pseudo-section (Figure 4.4.) involves five vertical electrical soundings conducted along a survey line of about 20 m covering a depth of investigation of about 80 m. A statistical summary of the results and interpretation of these VES are presented in Appendix 1. Low apparent resistivity values ranging from 0– 268 Ωm were observed at the extreme portions of the section from VES1 to midway of VES2 and 3 at one end from a depth of about 7– 80 m and to the other end from midway of VES3 and 4 to VES5 from a depth of about 9– 80 m. 52 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.3: Resistivity pseudo section for HL Figure 4.4: Resistivity pseudo section for AKWP 53 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh The very low apparent resistivity ranging from 0- 164 Ωm at VES1 and 2 could be attributed to highly weathered phyllite or quartzite with high level of saturation. The low resistivity materials could be probably high weathered phyllite or quartzite with low or no saturation. The midrange apparent resistivity of about 268- 5188 Ωm observed at VES3 from a depth of about 9 – 80 m could be attributed to moderate to highly weathered phyllites or quartzites which could be a groundwater potential zone based on the geology and borehole logs. High apparent resistivity ranging from 518 Ωm and above, extending from VES1 to 5 are observed at the topmost part of the section at a depth up to 9 m from the ground surface and this could be attributed to lateritic topsoil. 4.1.3.4 Section for Valco Trust Hostel (VAL) The plot of resistivity pseudo section (Figure 4.5.) reveals three VES points conducted along a survey line of about 10 m and the depth of investigation of about 45 m. A statistical summary of the results and interpretation of the VES are discussed in Appendix 1. From the pseudo-section, low apparent resisitivity in the range of 123 Ωm – 231 Ωm is recorded at midways of VES1 and 2 and VES2 and 3 covering a depth of up to 45 m from the ground surface. This could probably be moderate to highly weathered phyllite or quartzite with low level or no saturation. The midrange apparent resistivity of about 231- 534 Ωm observed at midway of VES2 and 3 could be attributed to moderately weathered phyllite, which could be the aquifer zone and those observed around VES1 up to a depth of about 10 m from the surface could also be attributed to lateritic topsoil. High apparent resistivity values of 534 Ωm and above are observed at the extreme end of the section at VES3 at a depth of about 10– 45 m. This could be probably low weathered to fresh phyllite or quartzite. 54 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.5: Resistivity pseudo section for VAL 4.1.3.5 Section for Legon Hall Annex C (LGC) The resistivity pseudo-section (Fig. 4.6.) involves five VES points along a survey line of about 20 m with the depth of investigation of about 80 m. A statistical summary of the results and interpretation of these VES are discussed in Appendix 1. The pseudo-section shows generally low apparent resistivity at the central portion extending from VES1 to 5. The very low resistivity ranging from 0 Ωm – 271 Ωm observed from midway of VES1 and 2 to VES4 at depth of about 10– 30 m could probably be the highly weathered phyllite or quartzite with high level of saturation. The low apparent resistivity ranging from 271- 341 Ωm at a depth of about 8– 49 m could be moderate to highly weathered phyllite or quartzite with low level of saturation. 55 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.6: Resistivity pseudo section for LGC The midrange apparent resistivity of about 341- 464 Ωm extends from a depth of about 32- 80 m throughout the section from VES1 to 5 and this could be attributed to moderately weathered formation of phyllites and quartzites which could probably be a groundwater potential zone. High apparent resistivity values ranging from 464 Ωm and above are observed at the topmost part of the section at a depth up to 8 m from the surface. This topmost material observed could suggest lateritic topsoil. 56 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 4.1.3.6 Section for Commonwealth Hall (CW) The plot of the resistivity pseudo section (Figure 4.7.) shows five vertical electrical conducted along a survey line of about 20 m and the depth of investigation is about 80 m. A statistical summary of the result and interpretation of these VES are discussed in Appendix 1. From the pseudo-section low apparent resisitivity ranging from 251 Ωm – 501 Ωm is observed at the topmost portion extending from VES1 to 5 up to a depth saturation. But at VES3 where the borehole is sited and VES5, very low apparent resistivity of 0- 251 Ωm are observed up to a depth of about 4 m could be attributed to highly weathered phyllite or quartzite with high level of saturation. These observations are due to the fact that Commomwealth Hall (CW) is located on a highland and therefore most of the lateritic top soil might have been eroded. The midrange apparent resistivity of about 501- 1259 Ωm are observed at depth 0– 14 m at VES1 and extends to about 80 m at VES2 to 5. Figure 4.7: Resistivity pseudo section for CW 57 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh This could probably be attributed to moderate to highly weathered phyllite or quartzite which could be the aquifer zone. High apparent resistivity of 1259 Ωm and above are observed at the extreme end of the section at VES1 extending from a depth of about 14– 80 m. This could be probably low weathered to fresh phyllite or quartzite. 4.1.3.7 Section for University of Ghana Botanical Gardens (UGBBH1) The plot of resistivity pseudo-section (Fig. 4.8.) involves five vertical electrical soundings conducted along a survey line of about 20 m covering a depth of investigation of about 80 m. A statistical summary of the results and interpretation of these VES are discussed in Appendix 1. Low apparent resistivity values ranging from 0– 75 Ωm were observed at VES2, VES3 and VES4 from a depth of about 0– 80 m, 0– 12 m and 0– 40 m respectively. From VES1 to 2 and VES4, the low resistivity materials could be probably high weathered phyllite or quartzite with low or no saturation. The midrange apparent resistivity of about 75- 237 Ωm observed at VES1 and VES3 to 5 could be attributed to moderate to highly weathered formation of phyllites and quartzites and could probably be the aquifer zone. High apparent resistivity ranging from 237 Ωm and above at VES1 up to a depth of about 10 m from the ground surface could probably be lateritic top soil. 58 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.8: Resistivity pseudo section for UGBBH1 4.1.3.8 Section for University of Ghana Botanical Gardens (UGBBH2) The plot of the resistivity pseudo-section is shown in Figure 4.9 involving five vertical electrical soundings conducted along a survey line of about 20 m covering a depth of investigation of about 45 m. A statistical summary of the results and interpretation of these VES are discussed in Appendix 1. Low apparent resistivity values ranging from 0– 20 Ωm were observed at the central portion where there is an existing borehole at VES3. 59 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.9: Resistivity pseudo section for UGBBH2 It trends from midway of VES1 and 2 to the midway of VES4 and 5 at depth 0– 5 m and extends quite deep to a depth of about 9 m from the ground surface at VES3. This low apparent resistivity values were confirmed on the ground by the presence of stagnant water around the neighbourhood of the borehole. The low resistivity materials could be probably highly weathered phyllite or quartzite with high level of saturation. The midrange apparent resistivity of about 20- 100 Ωm observed beneath the stretch of the survey line and this could be attributed to moderate to highly weathered formation of phyllites and quartzites. High apparent resistivity ranging from 100 Ωm and above at VES5 from 40– 45 m could probably be low weathered to fresh phyllite or quartzite. 60 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 4.1.3.9 Section for Earth Science Department (ESC) The plot of the resistivity pseudo-section is shown in Figure 4.10 involving five vertical electrical soundings conducted along a survey line of about 20 m covering a depth of investigation of about 80 m. Figure 4.10: Resistivity pseudo section for ESC 61 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh A statistical summary of the result and interpretation of these VES are discussed in Appendix 1. Low apparent resistivity values ranging from 0– 285 Ωm were observed at VES1 and VES3, VES4 and VES5 at depth of about 10– 40 m, 8– 70 m and 22– 45 m, 8– 45 m respectively. The low resistivity could be probably highly weathered phyllite or quartzite with low or no saturation. The midrange apparent resistivity of about 285- 433 Ωm observed VES1 to 5 could be attributed to moderate to highly weathered formation of phyllites and quartzites which could be the aquifer zone. High apparent resistivity ranging from 433 Ωm and above are observed at the topmost part of the section from VES1 to 5 up to a depth of about 10 m from the ground surface could probably be lateritic top soil. 4.1.4 CONCEPTUALIZATION OF THE AQUIFER UNIT Conceptualization of an aquifer unit is a means of achieving a graphic idealisation of the actual geologic conditions. Pseudo-sections from the geophysical survey were developed to help determine the aquifer zone which is probably areas of low resistivity and also give an idea about the thickness and depth of the aquifer. Based on the borehole logs, the pseudo- sections and the geology of the area, the aquifer was encountered at a depth of about 38 m to 60 m which could be attributed to the moderately weathered formation giving an aquifer zone of thickness of about 22 m and this could be variable in space. The aquifer system was considered to be semiconfined because the upper boundary of the aquifer is not restricted by any confining layer. This is because from the pseudo sections there could be impermeable and permeable layer established at the topmost part of the aquifer. Beneath the aquifer there could be rocks that are slightly weathered to fresh phyllite or quartzite and this could be impermeable hence the top of the aquifer was conceptualized as unconfined to coincide with atmospheric conditions. This unit was conceptualized as a single layer. 62 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 4.2 GROUNDWATER FLOW MODELLING 4.2.1 STRATIGRAPHY The three dimensional view of the borehole logs that was generated from the twelve borehole logs with each colour representing a different type of lithology is shown below (Fig. 4.11) The reddish brown is a lateritic top soil, the light yellow is a weathered quartzite and the metallic gold is a weathered phyllite. Figure 4.11: A 3D view of the borehole logs that was generated from the twelve borehole logs The subsurface data obtained from the lithological well logs was used to develop a stratigraphic succession of Legon Campus using the horizon to solids approach as shown in Fig. 4.12. The solid model reveals the presence of three main lithostratigraphic units. From bottom to top, these units are; phyllite, quartzite and laterite. The laterites form the top most extensive formation and covers the entire areas followed by the quartzites and then the phyllites of the Togo Structural Unit. Thicknesses of the laterite ranges from 75 m - 84 m, quartzite ranging from 64 m - 95 m and phyllite ranges from 15 m - 78 m. 63 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.12: Oblique view of the solids created with some little amount of exaggeration depicting the lithostratigraphic framework of the basin The stratigraphic succession depicted from the solid model (Fig. 4.12.) of the Legon Campus corresponds to the results from the geophysical survey and the geology of the Togo formation. Thus, the resulting model is geologically reasonable and may be close to the actual stratigraphic distribution. 4.2.1.1 Cross-section This section (Fig. 4.13.) represents various variations both lithostratigraphically from bottom to top and relative thickness as observed in different portions within the study area. It corresponds generally to each borehole stratigraphic information. 64 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.13: Selected cross sections cut from the solid model in different directions 4.2.2 STEADY- STATE SIMULATIONS 4.2.2.1 Hydraulic head Hydraulic head is the mechanical energy that causes groundwater to flow. It can be calculated in two ways: the sum of pressure head (hp) and elevation head (z), or h= (hp+z) and the difference between the land surface and depth of water or h= land elevation – depth to water. Where the pressure head (hp) is the height that water rises in a piezometer (a well that is open only at the top and bottom of its casing), the elevation head (z) is the elevation of the bottom of the piezometer or measuring point in feet above sea level. Knowledge on the distribution of the hydraulic head in a field provides useful information on the groundwater flow direction in that particular system. The relative levels of the hydraulic head between two stratigraphic units in a formation will determine the relative horizontal flow between the two. Consequently, groundwater will move vertically from the unit with higher head to that with relatively low head (Fetter, 2001). The distribution of hydraulic heads from the steady state simulation was obtained through calibration of the model. From the relationship between the observed and model computed hydraulic heads 65 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh for the 22 wells used for the calibration (Figure 4.14.), it can be seen that there is a reasonable match between the observed and model computed values suggesting a close fit. This indicates that the model is reasonably calibrated within the limits of the data used and is therefore a representative of the hydrogeological conditions prevailing in the study area and that accurate predictions/ scenario analysis can be made. Figure 4.14: A match between the model computed heads and observed heads 66 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh The calibrated model under steady state condition (Fig. 4.15.) represent the distribution of hydraulic heads in the terrain whiles Figure 4.16 represent the distribution of groundwater flow patterns. From the hydraulic head map (Fig. 4.15.), the hydraulic heads generally range from 50 m to 124 m with an average head of 87 m. The distribution suggests that the highest hydraulic heads are in the north western and north eastern part of the terrain and the lowest hydraulic heads are in the south eastern, south western and the northern part of the terrain. Previous studies in similar geologic materials in Ghana are not available for immediate comparison. But comparing with work done in parts of Eastern Region by Yidana et al. (2011) in the same rock terrain the hydraulic heads range from 60 m to 120 m which is similar to the range of hydraulic heads in the area of study. In their case, the major controls on groundwater flow were fractures and fracture induced weathered zones with preferred orientation (Yidana et al., 2011). The pattern and distribution of groundwater contours generally follow the pattern of the topography which gives an idea about the flow systems in the study area. The highest heads were around Commonwealth Hall and Faculty of Law where the elevation is high and the lowest heads were around parts of Botanical Gardens, Hilla Limann and its surrounding areas where elevations were observed to be low. According to Toth (1963), local groundwater flow systems occur where the surface topography has a well-defined local relief. With an increase in depth-to-width ratio, intermediate flow systems can occur, in which at least one local flow system exists between their recharge and discharge areas. Regional flow systems normally have their recharge area in the basin divide and the discharge area at the valley bottom. Eight prominent flow paths have been defined in the study area (Fig. 4.15.) through detailed particle tracking from MODPATH (Pollock, 1994). 67 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.15: The most prominent groundwater flowpaths in the study area However, there is no clearly defined direction of flow, indicating that the local structural entities that control the flow system are not oriented in any preferred direction. Local flow systems apparently dominate the flow in the area. This may be attributed to the fact that groundwater flow and the general hydrogeological conditions of the aquifers in the study area are purely based on the weathered and fractured zones. Where the aquifer is highly heterogeneous with respect to the key aquifer hydraulic parameters, flow is largely haphazard and local flow systems are predominant. The same is true when the terrain is of considerably variable topography (Fetter, 2001). 68 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.16: Hydraulic head distribution of the calibrated model Although, complex topographical variations have a bearing in dictating the flow systems, it has been noted that even where the topography is largely flat just like the study area, significant spatial variations in the horizontal hydraulic conductivities can induce local flow systems. The variety of local flow systems, have led to the development of several hydraulic barriers to flow in the northern and middle sections of the study area. The flow pattern observed in this area is unique and shows the unique nature of the materials in the terrain. However, the few northeast-southwest flows into the Keta lagoon are similar to the 69 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh observations among the crystalline basement aquifer system in south eastern Ghana and the Afram plains (Yidana et al., 2011). 4.2.2.2 The Hydraulic Conductivity Field The hydraulic conductivity field is an essential output of the calibrated groundwater flow model as it helps in conceptualizing the general pattern of the transmissive properties of the aquifer and certainly helps in the management of the groundwater resources from it. A smooth map of the horizontal hydraulic conductivity field in the domain was established through the pilot point method (Hill, 1998). The calibrated hydraulic conductivity values (Fig. 4.17.) range from 4.0 m/day to 60.0 m/day and adequately explains the observed groundwater flow pattern (Fig. 4.15.). The hydrogeological properties of the aquifers in the study area are controlled by secondary permeabilities created in the wake of fracturing and/or weathering, which create ingresses for increased groundwater recharge and storage. The hydrogeological properties of the rocks are based on the pervasiveness of weathering and fracturing of the rocks. Where the degree of secondary permeability is high, the hydraulic conductivities are high, and the lithologies serve as good aquifers. The highest hydraulic conductivity values are in southwestern (Valco Trust Hostel and Hilla Limann Hall areas) and southern (Alexander Kwapong Hall and its surroundings) parts of the study area and the lowest in the northern (University of Ghana Botanical Gardens), northwestern (Commonwealth Hall) and eastern (Mensah Sarbah Hall Annex D areas) sections of the study area. Thus the high hydraulic conductivity values are as a result of the induced secondary permeability such as faults, joints, folds and fractures that accompany the deformational processes. The high hydraulic conductivity areas must be highly fractured and weathered to have registered such high values. From the geophysical results and 70 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh borehole logs, most of the wells were completed in the weathered zone, which is clearly variable in terms of thickness and clay content. Figure 4.17: Calibrated hydraulic conductivity field for the study area The high difference in the hydraulic conductivity data is consistent with the resistivity pseudo sections in Fig. 4.2 to 4.10. Generally, these results reveal lateritic materials on the ground surface which could probably be clay. However usually in areas where clay content is reduced, hydraulic conductivity is extremely high, and vice versa. Hence the high hydraulic conductivity which is observed in the southern portion of the study area may 71 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh possibly mean that the underlying material basically made up of quartzites and phyllites as shown in the resistivity pseudo-sections and the summary of the 12 lithological logs. A similar approach by Yidana et al. (2012) in the Densu Basin in the Southern Ghana where the Togo formation underlie the southeastern part of the basin which is similar to the lithology in this study area resulted in a range of 2 m/d to 40 m/d which falls within the range of values for hydraulic conductivity of this study. And this suggests significantly heterogeneous aquifer system. 4.2.2.3 Groundwater recharge Accurate estimation of recharge rates in a particular area is difficult due to the many parameters that influence recharge rates. However, knowledge on recharge rate is essential in any sustainable groundwater management decision making process. Model calibration with adequate field data has been proven to be appropriate methodology to be used for recharge estimates. The spatial distribution of groundwater recharge in the study area through the model calibration can be observed in Figure 4.18. The estimated groundwater recharge at the point of calibration ranges between 0.008 m/yr to 0.12 m/yr with an average of 0.064 m/yr representing 1% and 15% with an average of 8.1% of the annual precipitation of 0.7 m of annual rainfall in the area. From the recharge map (Fig. 4.18.) it can be seen that the highest recharge occurs towards the south and the rest of the terrain have low recharge rates. These estimates are in tandem with the work of Yidana et al., (2012) who used numerical simulations in calculating the recharge rates in the Densu River Basin. They estimated average recharge rates to be 13% of the annual precipitation in the area. Several other workers (Addai et al., 2015; Oteng-Mensah et al 2014; Yidana et al., 2012; Yidana et al., 2010; Adomako et al., 2010; Lutz et al., 2007) have estimated recharge rates in Ghana using different methodologies. All these works found recharge rates to range from 5% to 72 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 10% of annual rainfall in each of the study areas. Even though the study area receives the same amount of rainfall and other climatic conditions are the same, the recharge rates distributions are not the same throughout. This can be attributed to the hetereogenities in the geology of the area. The study area is underlain by the Togo Structural Units which have been affected by the Pan African Orogeny. These rocks are metamorphosed and highly fractured. The fracture density of these rocks is not the same throughout the study area. Where the overburden is thick, vertical infiltration is expected to be restricted there by reducing the amount of water that would have recharged the aquifer systems. Figure 4.18: Recharge distribution for the study area 73 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh This is because this part of the country including the study area throughout the year has high evapotranspiration accompanied with high temperatures and low relative humidities which significantly reduce the fraction of precipitation that begins transit into the aquifer system. The high conductivity values (Fig. 4.18.) of some of the lowlands enhanced their infiltration capacity to recorded high recharge rates in the area due to the highly fractured/weathered rocks present. The reduced groundwater recharge in the study area could be attributed to high levels of evaporation of infiltrating precipitation whose downward trajectory is limited due to significant clay content or the lateritic top soil. Also, the Legon Campus has seen a lot of modern infrastructural modifications. Most part of campus is paved with rubber lining underneath. This prevents infiltrating water to get into the groundwater systems. So even though the geology of the study area is basically Togo Structural units with a lot of pervasive structures such as faults, joints and folds the amount of infiltrating water is reduced due to these linings and concrete. 4.2.2.4 Water budget A water budget reflects the relationship between input and output of water through a particular region. The water budget that was acquired from the whole aquifer system basically from the groundwater flow model is presented in Table 4.3. The amount of water that enter the aquifer system through the general heads is 368368.08 m3/d. This amount is accounted for by the changes in the hydraulic heads and the interconnectivity of the system with other aquifer systems and surface water bodies. This means that subsurface inflows are very critical to groundwater resources sustenance in the terrain. Some stagnant surface water bodies were observed in some part of the study area especially around the University of Ghana Botanical Gardens (UGBBH2). Due to the inflows of surface water bodies to groundwater resource, proper sanitation measures must be taken in order to safe guard the 74 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh integrity of the groundwater resources in the study area. Any contamination activities that happen on the surface will eventually end up in the groundwater system. The contribution of recharge to the water budget seems low. This buttresses the earlier point that vertical percolation of rainwater is restricted due to the clayey nature of the terrain and the many physical developments which are seen on the Legon Campus. The total amount of water the system receives is 368731.62 m3/d. Assuming the student population and other supporting staff of about 43,000 and the per capita water consumption is 50 litres which translates into 0.05 m3, this will amount to 1548.00 m3/d of water which is far below the estimated amount from the water budget analysis. This means that enough water is available for other activities such as laboratory work since the University of Ghana is a vibrant research institution. Also the many eateries around can tap into the system without any major issues. However, care must be taken so that the groundwater resources are not depleted since day in and day out, more inundation attending urban developments are seen around. Looking at the water budget (Table 4.3), the amount of water that leaves the system is 368728.09 m3/d which is slightly higher than the input amount. The wetlands that were observed around the botanical garden even during the dry season give an indication of baseflow occurring in the area. Baseflow is enhanced where the aquifers are unconfined and in unrestricted hydraulic connection with surface water bodies (Yidana, 2010). However, baseflow estimate is beyond the scope of this work. 75 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Table 4.3 Water budget for the study area from the steady state model BUDGET TERM FLOW (m3/d) Flow Budget for Zone1 IN: Constant heads 0 General heads 368368.08 Recharge 363.54 Total IN 368731.62 OUT: Constant heads 0 General heads 368728.09 Recharge 0 Total OUT 368728.09 SUMMARY: IN - OUT 3.53 Percent Discrepancy 0.000958 4.2.3 STOCHASTIC MODEL With a stochastic approach, a set of models is constructed where each model in the set is thought to be equally probable. Each model is then used to make the prediction or simulate a given scenario and the results are used to estimate a probability or risk that a certain outcome will occur. The stochastic approach was carried out to show that the solutions for the steady state model is unique and this was done by using sixteen (16) different set of solutions. Eight random solutions were chosen from the sixteen solutions for analysis for the stochastic approach. These solutions (Fig. 4.19.) are almost the same. This shows that the steady state model is very unique to the study area thus there is no significant difference among the distribution of hydraulic heads in all the solutions. 76 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.19: Eight solutions from the stochastic approach 77 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Further analysis was performed using the statistical analysis tool in MODFLOW under stochastic simulations. From the standard deviation map that was developed for the various hydraulic heads from the stochastic simulation, it was observed that the highest variance in the hydraulic heads were in the central part of the terrain and also towards the south eastern part. Generally, the overall standard deviations of the hydraulic heads are very low. Most parts of the terrain are characterized by a low standard deviation of 0.01 which is depicted by the blue colour. Thus the hydraulic heads that are in these areas are very unique as compared to the high standard deviation zones (Fig. 4.20.) of 0.16 which are depicted by the colour red. Figure 4.20: standard deviation map for the hydraulic heads from the stochastic simulation 78 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh 4.2.4 SCENARIO ANALYSIS Scenario analysis is done to gauge the possible impacts of reduced rainfall and the corresponding effects on groundwater recharge in the area, following climate change/variability and increased population with its attending increased demand for water. It is expected that with the increasing interest in groundwater abstraction for most uses within the campus, the resource will soon be commercially explored to serve the whole university community. The calibrated steady state model was used to predict the effects of various scenarios of reduced recharge rates and increased abstraction rates on the hydraulic head while in the stochastic mode. Fourteen abstraction wells were created and flow rates reflective of the water consumption in the area were assigned to them. These flow rates assigned were advised by the yield of the various boreholes used for this present study. From Table 4.4 it is seen that all the flow rates of the wells are almost within the same range except for Valco Trust Hostel which has an initial flow rate of 216 m3/d. Table 4.4 A table showing the initial flow rates for the scenario analysis initial flow rate Tube Wells (m3/d) ISH1_BH21 -101 HILLA_LIMANNBH22 -144 HILLA_LIMANNBH23 -108 ALEXANDER_KWAPONGBH24 -144 ELIZABETH_FRANCES_SEYBH25 -144 JEAN_NELSON_AKABH26 -173 JEAN_NELSON_AKABH27 -108 JEAN_NELSON_AKABH28 -101 ELIZABETH_FRANCES_SEYBH29 -115 ELIZABETH_FRANCES_SEYBH30 -101 LAW_FACULTYBH16 -130 LEGON_ANNEXC_BH2 -101 VALCO_GRAD_HOSTELBH4 -216 EARTH_SCIENCE_DEPT -130 79 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh This is because Valco Trust Hostel depend solely on the groundwater resources unlike the other places where they are being supplemented with pipe water from Ghana Water Company Limited. For the first scenario, the estimated recharge rates remain same with increased abstraction rates by 10%, 20%, 25%, 50%, 100% and 200% to check the effects on the hydraulic head (Table 4.5). This scenario was performed to address the issue of increase in the student population and demand for more water as the lifestyle of people get complex. Thus the implication of this observation is that groundwater will be progressively be mined from the aquifers if recharge is maintained constant, and abstraction rates are increased as a result of increased population and demand in the ensuing years. Table 4.5 A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14wells for the scenario of increasing abstraction up to 200% well 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Initial 84.4853 80.4116 66.2998 60.7832 51.5316 48.8589 51.5523 10% 84.1075 80.1048 65.8105 59.7651 50.4172 48.1122 50.7803 20% 83.7296 79.7979 65.321 58.6611 49.1886 47.3103 49.9472 25% 83.4852 79.5423 64.9167 57.9211 48.6331 46.9446 49.5954 50% 82.7222 79.1412 65.3094 0 45.1389 45.1389 47.6333 100% 80.9091 77.7664 63.6554 0 0 0 0 200% 77.29 75.0331 60.2549 0 0 0 0 well 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Initial 57.9728 61.4165 58.1392 62.1643 58.4668 59.9465 62.5935 10% 57.1912 60.7238 56.9583 61.5773 57.9013 59.4637 62.1252 20% 56.3883 60.0282 55.3886 60.9851 57.3343 58.9787 61.6551 25% 56.0886 59.791 54.449 61.0048 57.1117 58.8158 61.5651 50% 54.2677 58.3736 0 60.0729 56.4822 58.2557 60.6979 100% 0 0 0 59.1176 54.6624 56.7473 59.0652 200% 0 0 0 64.5242 0 57.4396 59.1574 80 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh There is no obvious shift in the nature of the potential field when the current abstraction rates from the existing pumping wells are increased by up to 25% as shown in Figure 4.21, Figure 4.22, and Figure 4.23. This means that the groundwater resources within the domain would be sustainable up to 25% increase in abstraction. Excessive pumping can lead to groundwater depletion, wherein groundwater is extracted from an aquifer at a rate faster than it can be replenished. As the initial abstraction rates assigned to the various wells were increased from 50% up to 200%, there is a drastic decline in hydraulic heads indicated by the dry cells (Figure 4.24 to 4.26) in the southern portion of the domain but the general groundwater flow geometry remained the same as achieved. The consequence of this will be a drastic reduction in groundwater supply thereby affecting the livelihood of the people. The many organisms apart from human beings that rely heavily on the ecosystem will also be greatly affected. Figure 4.21: Hydraulic head distribution after 10% increment in abstraction rates 81 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.22: Hydraulic head distribution after 20% increment in abstraction rates Figure 4.23: Hydraulic head distribution after 25% increment in abstraction rates 82 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.24: Hydraulic head distribution after 50% increment in abstraction rates Figure 4.25: Hydraulic head distribution after 100% increment in abstraction rates 83 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.26: Hydraulic head distribution after 200% increment in abstraction rates Significant drawdown in the average hydraulic head will affect the functioning of the overall ecosystems which depend on higher groundwater levels for sustenance. Depletion can have significant effects on surface and unsaturated subsurface (vadose) waters, and on the terrestrial, riparian, and other ecosystems which depend on these waters. The roots trees, grasses, shrubs also depend on groundwater for their survival by tapping water from the aquifer system so the dry cells representing dry wells means that the groundwater table will be so low that their roots cannot reach for water and this could affect the vegetation causing them to die out after a period of time. For the second scenario, the abstraction rates remained same whilst the recharge was decreased by 10%, 15%, 20% and 25% to check the effects on the hydraulic head (Table 4.6). The recharge rates were reduced to check the response of the groundwater water system to the advent of climate change/variability which have been observed over the years to cause rainfall patterns to be erratic and reduced in amount. 84 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Table 4.6 A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14wells for the scenario of maintaining abstraction with decreasing recharge by 10%, 15%, 20% and 25% well 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Initial 84.4853 80.4116 66.2998 60.7832 51.5316 48.8589 51.5523 10% 84.4783 80.3986 66.2663 60.7504 51.516 48.8491 51.541 15% 84.4748 80.3921 66.2495 60.734 51.5082 48.8442 51.5354 20% 84.4713 80.3857 66.2328 60.7176 51.5004 48.8392 51.5298 25% 84.4679 80.3792 66.2161 60.7011 51.4926 48.8343 51.5241 well 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Initial 57.9728 61.4165 58.1392 62.1643 58.4668 59.9465 62.5935 10% 57.9591 61.4033 58.1311 62.1497 58.4629 59.9421 62.5835 15% 57.9522 61.3967 58.127 62.1424 58.461 59.94 62.5835 20% 57.9454 61.3901 58.123 62.1351 58.4591 59.9378 62.5802 25% 57.9385 61.3835 58.119 62.1278 58.4571 59.9356 62.5769 As it is shown in Figures 4.27, 4.28, 4.29 and 4.30 respectively. There is no obvious shift in the nature of the potential field when the recharge was decreased by up to 25%. Figure 4.27: Same abstraction rate with 10% decrease in recharge 85 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.28: Same abstraction rate with 15% decrease in recharge Figure 4.29: Same abstraction rate with 20% decrease in recharge 86 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.30: Same abstraction rate with 25% decrease in recharge From the scenario analysis, it is observed that there was very little reduction in the basin wide drawdown of the hydraulic heads in the study area. This means that if the current trend in recharge rates decrease with time due to low humidity and low rainfall and the wells are pumped at their initial rates the groundwater resource in Legon Campus will still be sustainable. In this case the ecosystem will not be endangered and there will be no sea water intrusion. This observation ties in well with early submission that recharge to the groundwater system is through sub-surface flows rather than direct recharge from precipitation. In the light of this, research must be done to ascertain the sources of the recharge so that they can be protected from contamination. In the third instance, worse case scenarios were analyzed. Firstly, 10% reduction in recharge rates and an increment in the abstraction rates up to 200% of the fourteen wells was performed and changes in the hydraulic heads were again noted (Table 4.7). Again 15%, 20%, and 25% reduction in recharge rates and an increment in the abstraction rates up to 200% of the fourteen wells was performed and changes in hydraulic heads were also recorded. 87 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Table 4.7 A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14wells for the scenario of decreasing recharge by 10% and increasing abstraction up to 200% well 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Initial 84.4853 80.4116 66.2998 60.7832 51.5316 48.8589 51.5523 10% 84.0831 80.0589 65.6736 59.6245 50.4561 48.132 50.8175 20% 83.7052 79.7521 65.184 58.5083 49.2327 47.3331 49.9896 25% 83.5163 79.5987 64.9391 57.9028 48.5638 46.9042 49.5417 50% 82.6978 79.0955 65.1731 0 45.2095 45.1084 47.6841 100% 80.8847 77.7205 63.5186 0 0 0 0 200% 77.2654 74.9867 60.1166 0 0 0 0 well 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Initial 57.9728 61.4165 58.1392 62.1643 58.4668 59.9465 62.5935 10% 57.2482 60.7857 57.0425 61.7506 57.9348 59.5077 62.2046 20% 56.45 60.0946 55.5075 61.1591 57.368 59.0228 61.7347 25% 56.0253 59.7284 54.2794 60.8568 57.0826 58.7778 61.4975 50% 54.3354 57.7189 0 60.2463 56.5152 58.2993 60.7771 100% 0 0 0 59.3126 54.7063 56.7941 59.1477 200% 0 0 0 64.5912 0 57.4961 59.2437 For the first part of this scenario where recharge was deliberately reduced by 10% with increased abstraction rates by 10%, 20%, 25%, 50%, 100%, and 200%. It is observed that there was slight reduction of drawdown of the hydraulic heads in the study area as abstraction is increased by up to 25% abstraction (Fig. 4.31 to 4.33) but at 50% and 88 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.31.: Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 10% Figure 4.32. Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 20% 89 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.33. Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 25% Figure 4.34. Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 50% 90 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.35. Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 100% Figure 4.36. Recharge reduced by 10% with abstraction rates increased by 200% beyond up to 200% shown in Figure 4.34 to 4.36, there is a drastic decline in hydraulic heads indicated by the dry cells in the southern portion of the domain. This means that the groundwater resource is sustainable when recharge is reduced up to 25% and abstraction is increased up to 25%. Again same scenario was made where there was 15%, 20% and 25% 91 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh reduction in recharge rates and an increment in the abstraction rates up to 200% of the fourteen wells and changes in the hydraulic heads were noted (Tables 4.8, 4.9 and 4.10). Table 4.8 A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14wells for the scenario of decreasing recharge by 15% and increasing abstraction up to 200% well 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Initial 84.4853 80.4116 66.2998 60.7832 51.5316 48.8589 51.5523 10% 84.0806 80.0543 65.6626 59.6128 50.4446 48.125 50.8087 20% 83.7027 79.7474 65.173 58.4956 49.2197 47.3253 49.9796 25% 83.5138 79.594 64.9281 57.8892 48.5501 46.8961 49.5315 50% 82.6953 79.0909 65.1622 0 45.1887 45.0987 47.6722 100% 80.8822 77.7159 63.5077 0 0 0 0 200% 77.2628 74.982 60.1054 0 0 0 0 well 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Initial 57.9728 61.4165 58.1392 62.1643 58.4668 59.9465 62.5935 10% 57.2374 61.7328 57.03145 61.7328 57.9308 59.5028 62.1965 20% 56.4382 61.1412 55.4921 61.1412 57.3639 59.018 61.7265 25% 56.0134 60.8388 54.2511 60.8388 57.0786 58.7729 61.4893 50% 54.3226 60.2286 0 60.2286 56.5112 58.2946 60.7691 100% 0 59.2928 0 59.2928 54.7011 56.789 59.1393 200% 0 64.7131 0 64.7131 0 57.4788 59.229 92 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Table 4.9 A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14wells for the scenario of decreasing recharge by 20% and increasing abstraction up to 200% well 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Initial 84.4853 80.4116 66.2998 60.7832 51.5316 48.8589 51.5523 10% 84.0781 80.0496 65.6516 59.601 50.4332 48.1181 50.7999 20% 83.7002 797428 65.162 58.4828 49.2066 47.3175 49.9697 25% 83.5113 79.5894 64.9171 57.8755 48.5363 46.888 49.5213 50% 82.6928 79.0862 65.1513 0 45.1677 45.089 47.6602 100% 80.8797 77.7112 63.4966 0 0 0 0 200% 77.2603 74.9772 60.0941 0 0 0 0 well 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Initial 57.9728 61.4165 58.1392 62.1643 58.4668 59.9465 62.5935 10% 57.2265 60.7635 57.0204 61.7151 57.9268 59.498 62.1884 20% 56.4265 60.0717 55.4766 61.1234 57.3599 59.0131 61.7184 25% 56.0015 59.7053 54.2224 60.8209 57.0745 58.7679 61.4811 50% 54.3097 58.421 0 60.2109 56.5073 58.2897 60.761 100% 0 0 0 59.273 54.6959 567839 59.1309 200% 0 0 0 64.6924 0 57.4741 59.2211 Table 4.10 A Table showing the change in hydraulic heads of the 14wells for the scenario of decreasing recharge by 25% and increasing abstraction up to 200% well 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Initial 84.4853 80.4116 66.2998 60.7832 51.5316 48.8589 51.5523 10% 84.0755 80.045 65.6406 59.5892 50.4217 48.1111 50.7912 20% 83.6977 79.7381 65.151 58.47 49.1935 47.3097 49.9597 25% 83.5088 79.5847 64.9061 57.8619 48.5223 46.8799 49.511 50% 82.6903 79.0816 65.1403 0 45.1465 45.0792 47.6482 100% 80.8804 77.7134 63.508 0 0 0 0 200% 77.2577 74.9725 60.0829 0 0 0 0 well 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 Initial 57.9728 61.4165 58.1392 62.1643 58.4668 59.9465 62.5935 10% 57.2156 60.7537 57.0093 61.6973 57.9228 59.4931 62.1803 20% 56.4148 60.0602 55.4611 61.1056 57.3559 59.0082 61.7103 25% 55.9896 59.6937 54.1928 60.8029 57.0704 58.763 61.4729 50% 54.2969 58.4086 0 60.1932 56.5034 58.285 60.7529 100% 0 0 0 59.2555 54.6938 56.7806 59.1236 200% 0 0 0 64.6718 0 57.4694 59.2131 93 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Same observations occurred for reduced recharge at 15%, 20% and 25% as shown in Figure 4.37 to 4.54. Reductions in groundwater recharge resulting from climate change/variability effects could further lead to drastic drawdowns in the hydraulic head as groundwater abstraction rates is increased by 50%, 100% and 200%. As was observed from the tables, there was drawdown of almost 70 m which can cause aquifer dewatering. Figure 4.37. Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 10% Figure 4.38. Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 20% 94 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.39. Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 25% Figure 4.40. Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 50% 95 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.41. Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 100% Figure 4.42. Recharge reduced by 15% with abstraction rates increased by 200% 96 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.43: Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 10% Figure 4.44. Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 20% 97 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.45: Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 25% Figure 4.46: Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 50% 98 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.47. Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 100% Figure 4.48: Recharge reduced by 20% with abstraction rates increased by 200% 99 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.49. Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 10% Figure 4.50. Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 20% 100 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.51. Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 25% Figure 4.52. Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 50% 101 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Figure 4.53: Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 100% Figure 4.54. Recharge reduced by 25% with abstraction rates increased by 200% This huge decline suggests that an increase in abstraction beyond 50% will dry up those wells lowering the groundwater level below sea level which could lead to sea water intrusion or intrusion of contaminated water and also affect the functioning of the ecosystems. 102 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh CHAPTER FIVE CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 5.1 CONCLUSIONS Detailed geophysical survey using the vertical electrical sounding method was conducted to delineate the hydrostratigraphic units of the area that was used in the conceptualization of the numerical groundwater flow model. The geophysical survey was investigated up to a depth of about 80m which revealed three to five subsurface layers from the modelled VES curves giving rise to ten different resistivity sounding curve types. The distribution of the curve types showed that KH curve is predominant while KHK curves is the least occurrence curve in the study area. The results were able to delineate different geoelectric sections that were correlated with available borehole logs and geology to determine the corresponding geological formations, thicknesses and depth of the aquifer systems in the terrain. The geoelectric sections and the stratigraphic model revealed three main lithostratigraphic units and these units are phyllite, quartzite and laterite from the bottom to the top. Based on the borehole logs, the pseudo- sections and the geology of the area the aquifer was encountered at a depth of about 38 m to 60 m which was attributed to be probably the moderately weathered phyllite or quartzite giving an aquifer zone of thickness 22 m and this could be variable in space. The aquifer system was considered to be semiconfined and this unit was conceptualized as a single layer. A steady state numerical groundwater flow model was calibrated and the result suggests that aquifer hydraulic conductivity values in the area ranges between 4.0 m/day and 60.0 m/day. The highest hydraulic conductivity values are in southwestern and southern parts of the study area and the lowest in the northern, northwestern and eastern sections of the 103 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh study area. The variation in the hydraulic conductivity in the terrain is attributed to the local variations in the degree of weathering and/or fracturing in space. Local flow systems dominate the flow in the area since there is no clearly defined direction of flow. This indicates the local structural entities that control the flow system are not oriented in any preferred direction. This may be attributed to the fact that groundwater flow and the general hydrogeological conditions of the aquifers in the study area are purely based on the weathered and fractured zones. Where the aquifer is highly heterogeneous with respect to the key aquifer hydraulic parameters, flow is largely haphazard and local flow systems are predominant. The same is true when the terrain is of considerably variable topography. The estimated groundwater recharge from the calibrated steady-state model ranges between 0.008 m/yr to 0.12 m/yr with an average of 0.064 m/yr representing 1% and 15% with an average of 8.1% of the annual precipitation of 0.7 m of annual rainfall in the area. The highest recharge occurred towards the south and the rest of the terrain have low recharge rates. From the water table budget, the source of recharge to the groundwater resource is sub- surface inflows. The amount of water that enter the aquifer system through the general heads is 368368.08 m3/d. This amount is accounted for by the changes in the hydraulic heads and the interconnectivity of the system with other aquifer systems. The contribution of recharge to the water budget seem low due to the fact that the vertical percolation of rainwater is restricted due to the clayey nature of the terrain and the many physical developments which are seen on the Legon Campus. From the water budget the amount of water that leaves the system is 368728.09 m3/d which is slightly higher than the input amount. Even though no research has been in the area to ascertain baseflow in the area, the wetlands that were observed around the botanical garden even during the dry season give an indication of baseflow occurring in the area. 104 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh From the scenario analysis that were performed, decrease in recharge did not have any significant change on the groundwater water system. However when the initial abstraction rates were increased up to about 50%, dry cells were observed around some of the wells. 5.2 RECOMMENDATIONS  A holistic hydrogeological investigation involving qualitative groundwater resources must be done in the study to know the quality of the groundwater resource being consumed.  The sources of sub-surface inflows into the groundwater system in the area must be studied using tracers so that they can be delineated and protected from contamination.  The high recharge areas should be delineated and protected so they are not encroached upon to diminish the already low recharge in the study area. 105 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh REFERENCES Accra Metropolitan Assembly (2006). Retrieved June 12, 2015, from http://gaeast.ghanadistricts.gov.gh Akiti, T. T. (1986). Environmental isotope study of groundwater in crystalline rocks of the Accra Plains. 4th Working Meeting Isotopes in Nature. Leipzig. September 1986. 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The groundwater recharge regime of some slightly metamorphosed Neoproterozoic sedimentary rocks: an application of natural environmental tracers. Hydrological Processes, DOI: 10.1002/hyp.9859. Yidana, S., M., and Ophori, D., (2008). Groundwater Resources Management in the Afram Plains Area, Ghana. Journal of Civil Engineering, 12 (5): pp. 339-347 Zhou, W., Beck B., F., and Stephenson J., B., (2000). Reliability of dipole- dipole electrical resisitivity tomography for defining depth to bedrock in covered karst terranes. Environ Geol. 39 (7): 760-766 115 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh APPENDIX Appendix 1: Vertical electrical sounding results for each station Appendix 2: Vertical electrical sounding model results for each station 116 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 1. Summary of vertical electrical sounding results ρa Thickness Depth Curve Station Layer (ohm-m) (m) (m) type Interpretations SBVES1 1 98.3 0.75 0.75 KH laterite 2 142 3.94 4.69 laterite 3 40.4 56.7 61.4 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 4 7542 hard or consolidated material SBVES2 1 110 0.762 0.762 KQH laterite 2 174 1.87 2.64 laterite 3 50.6 27.7 30.3 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 4 32 30.6 60.9 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 5 11290 hard or consolidated material SBVES3_BH 1 134 0.75 0.75 QH laterite 2 73.6 1.37 2.12 laterite 3 38.2 46 48.1 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 4 272 hard or consolidated material SBVES4 1 184 1.26 1.26 QH laterite 2 72.4 5.42 6.68 laterite 3 25.3 61.5 68.2 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 4 6616 hard or consolidated material SBVES5 1 72.5 1.66 1.06 KH laterite 2 139 12.3 13.4 laterite 3 62.6 106 119 moderate weathered phyllite/quartzite SBVES1 1 98.3 0.75 0.75 KH laterite 2 142 3.94 4.69 laterite 117 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 1 (continued) ρa Thickness Depth Curve Station Layer (ohm-m) (m) (m) type Interpretations 3 62.6 106 119 moderate weathered phyllite/quartzite 4 4903 hard or consolidated material HLVES1 1 156 0.75 0.75 KQH laterite 2 929 1.05 1.05 laterite 3 214 5.93 7.49 laterite 4 129 139 141 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 5 4372 hard or consolidated material HLVES2 1 244 0.75 0.75 KH laterite 2 437 4.34 5.18 laterite 3 109 170 178 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 4 2074 hard or consolidated material HLVES3_BH 1 176 0.75 0.75 KH laterite 2 341 3.31 4.06 laterite 3 126 27.2 31.3 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 4 311 hard or consolidated material HLVES4 1 179 0.75 0.75 KH laterite 2 285 3.98 4.49 laterite 3 118 144 148 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 4 2317 hard or consolidated material HLVES5 1 231 0.75 0.75 KH laterite 2 454 4.66 5.41 laterite 3 145 73.7 79.1 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 118 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 1 (continued) ρa Thickness Depth Curve Station Layer (ohm-m) (m) (m) type Interpretations 4 637 hard or consolidated material AKWPVES1 1 601 1.38 1.38 QQH laterite 2 355 4.92 6.3 laterite 3 210 45.2 51.5 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 4 41.7 47 98.5 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 5 8875 hard or consolidated material AKWPVES2 1 615 1.55 1.55 QQH laterite 2 395 4.22 5.77 laterite 3 217 24.4 30.2 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 4 101 134 164 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 5 9073 hard or consolidated material AKWPVES3_BH 1 684 0.75 0.75 QH laterite 2 406 7.4 8.15 laterite 3 284 87.7 95.9 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 4 614 hard or consolidated material AKWPVES4 1 610 1.07 1.07 HK laterite 2 296 2.18 3.24 laterite 3 464 13.9 17.1 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 4 223 hard or consolidated material AKWPVES5 1 785 3.87 3.87 QH laterite 2 412 7.94 11.8 laterite 3 141 95.1 107 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 119 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 1 (continued) ρa Thickness Depth Curve Station Layer (ohm-m) (m) (m) type Interpretations 4 1678 hard or consolidated material VALVES1 1 476 0.75 0.75 HK laterite 2 228 1.67 2.42 laterite 3 404 5.4 7.82 laterite 4 185 hard or consolidated material VALVES2_BH 1 144 5.9 5.9 K highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 2 363 2.83 8.73 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 3 121 hard or consolidated material VALVES3 1 398 1.03 1.03 H laterite 2 270 7.63 8.66 laterite 3 1260 hard or consolidated material LGCVES1 1 442 0.845 0.845 KH laterite 2 579 5.26 6.1 laterite 3 242 47 53.1 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 4 1113 hard or consolidated material LGCVES2 1 232 0.75 0.75 KH laterite 2 426 8.02 8.77 laterite 3 195 40.6 49.3 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 4 577 hard or consolidated material LGCVES3_BH 1 302 0.856 0.856 KHK laterite 2 425 4.63 5.49 laterite 3 202 43.5 49 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 120 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 1 (continued) ρa Thickness Depth Curve Station Layer (ohm-m) (m) (m) type Interpretations 4 2068 35.7 84.7 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 5 22.2 hard or consolidated material LGCVES4 1 304 0.776 0.776 KH laterite 2 421 4.68 5.45 laterite 3 243 37.3 42.8 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 4 424 hard or consolidated material LGCVES5 1 379 0.75 0.75 KH laterite 2 705 3.97 4.72 laterite 3 258 39.7 44.5 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 4 604 hard or consolidated material CWVES1 1 451 0.75 0.75 HK highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 2 278 5.26 6.01 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 3 9267 11 17 low weathered to fresh quartzite 4 1242 hard or consolidated material CWVES2 1 373 0.75 0.75 HK highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 2 269 9.86 10.6 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 3 5749 14.9 25.5 low weathered to fresh quartizite 4 694 hard or consolidated material CWVES3_BH 1 206 0.75 0.75 HAK highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 2 146 5.31 6.06 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 3 616 11 17.1 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 4 3928 37.1 48.2 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 121 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 1 (continued) ρa Thickness Depth Curve Station Layer (ohm-m) (m) (m) type Interpretations 5 6.9 hard or consolidated material CWVES4 1 516 0.75 0.75 HK highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 2 265 8.87 9.62 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 3 3869 14.8 24.4 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 4 1157 hard or consolidated material CWVES5 1 340 0.75 0.75 HAK highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 2 137 1.37 2.12 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 3 414 14.9 17 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 4 1847 31.1 48.1 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 5 338 hard or consolidated material UGBBH1VES1 1 414 0.75 0.75 KQH laterite 2 783 5.29 6.04 laterite 3 221 11 17 laterite 4 106 119 136 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 5 229 hard or consolidated material UGBBH1VES2 1 42.5 0.818 0.818 KH laterite 2 86.9 3.25 4.07 laterite 3 30.8 117 121 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 4 3690 hard or consolidated material UGBBH1VES3_BH 1 41.8 12.8 12.8 K highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 2 624 26.3 39.1 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 3 140 hard or consolidated material 122 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 1 (continued) ρa Thickness Depth Curve Station Layer (ohm-m) (m) (m) type Interpretations UGBBH1VES4 1 15.5 0.825 0.825 K highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 2 93.2 14.6 15.4 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite with low water saturation 3 36.2 17.2 32.6 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 4 104 hard or consolidated material UGBBH1VES5 1 108 0.75 0.75 K laterite 2 253 8.16 8.91 laterite 3 120 hard or consolidated material UGBBH2VES1 1 21.2 3.43 3.43 A laterite 2 59.9 59.5 62.9 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 3 254 hard or consolidated material UGBBH2VES2 1 16.9 2.42 2.42 HK highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 2 12 5.4 7.82 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 3 248 17.4 25.2 low to moderately weathered phyllite quartizite 4 25.2 hard or consolidated material UGBBH2VES3_BH 1 7.41 0.75 0.75 HK highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 2 4.36 4.85 5.6 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 3 537 10.2 15.8 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 4 1.5 hard or consolidated material UGBBH2VES4 1 22.6 0.75 0.75 HK highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 2 14.9 7.09 7.84 moderate to highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 3 94.8 74.4 82.2 low to moderately weathered phyllite quartzite 4 9.45 hard or consolidated material 123 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 1 (continued) ρa Thickness Depth Curve Station Layer (ohm-m) (m) (m) type Interpretations UGBBH2VES5 1 24.5 1.74 1.74 A laterite 2 48.8 46.5 48.2 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 3 2190 hard or consolidated material ESCVES1 1 396 7.89 7.89 H laterite 2 239 68.4 76.3 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 3 543 hard or consolidated material ESCVES2 1 321 36.5 36.5 A moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 2 53.1 3.65 40.2 low weathered to fresh quartizite 3 108030 hard or consolidated material ESCVES3_BH 1 215 1.25 1.25 KH laterite 2 335 9.64 10.9 laterite 3 139 133 144 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite saturated with water 4 4342 hard or consolidated material ESCVES4 1 285 4.13 4.13 KH laterite 2 577 11.8 15.9 laterite 3 155 36.8 52.8 moderately weathered phyllite/quartzite 4 691 hard or consolidated material ESCVES5 1 176 0.75 0.75 KH laterite 2 361 9.21 9.96 laterite 3 194 136 146 highly weathered phyllite/quartzite with low or no water saturation 4 6289 hard or consolidated material VES, vertical electrical sounding; BH, borehole; SB, Mensah Sarbah hall; HL, Hilla Limann, AKWP, Alexander Kwapong; VAL, Valco trust hostel; LGC, Legon hall annex c; CW, Commonwealth hall; UGB, University of Ghana botanical gardens; ESC, Earth Science Department 124 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 2 SBVES1 model result SBVES2 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES4 model result SBVES5 model result HLVES1 model result SBVES5 model result 125 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 2 (continued) HLVES2 model result HLVES3 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result HLVES5 model result HLVES5 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result AKWPVES1 model result AKWPVES2 model result HLVES4 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result AKWPVES3 model result AKWPVES4 model result 126 SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 2 (continued) AKWPVES5 model result VALVES1 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result VALVES2 model result VALVES3 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result LGCVES1 model result LGCVES2 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result LGCVES3 model result LGCVES4 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result 127 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 2 (continued) LGCVES5 model result CWVES1 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result CWVES2 model result CWVES3 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result CWVES4 model result CWVES5 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result UGBBH1VES1 model result UGBBH1VES2 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result 128 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 2 (continued) UGBBH1VES3 model result UGBBH1VES4 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result UGBBH1VES5 model result UGBBH2VES1 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result UGBBH2VES2 model result UGBBH2VES3 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result UGBBH2VES4 model result UGBBH2VES5 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result 129 University of Ghana http://ugspace.ug.edu.gh Appendix 2 (continued) ESCVES1 model result ESCVES2 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result ESCVES3 model result ESCVES4 model result SBVES3 model result SBVES3 model result ESCVES5 model result SBVES3 model result 130